DVOA Playoff Odds Report

Make Playoffs Win Super Bowl Earn No. 1 Pick
199.99% 134.1% 130.9%
299.97% 220.9% 228.4%
399.8% 315.9% 327.8%
495.9% 47.8% 44.6%
594.6% 56.8% 53.6%
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through Week 11 (no MNF)

Recent Articles

One Foot Inbounds

OFI: Oklahoma State Rattles Big 12
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OFI: Oklahoma State Rattles Big 12

With Oklahoma State's upset of West Virginia, the Big 12 race will stay exciting until the end.

Extra Points

Injury Aftermath: Week 11
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Injury Aftermath: Week 11

Another major injury for Washington, as they become only the second team this season to lose their starting quarterback for the year. Also, the Chargers lose another starting defender, the Eagles are again in danger of running out of cornerbacks, and the Buccaneers likely lose a member of their vaunted receiving corps for a while.

2 comments, Last at 19 Nov 2018, 7:43pm by PatsFan

Audibles

Audibles at the Line: Week 11
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Audibles at the Line: Week 11

This week's Audibles features a huge road comeback for the Steelers in Jacksonville; a huge swing in playoff chances in the NFC East; and two wins for road underdogs from the AFC West. Also: adventures in Buccaneers quarterbacking, Week 11 edition.

61 comments, Last at 19 Nov 2018, 7:53pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

Open Discussion

Week 11 Open Game Discussion
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Week 11 Open Game Discussion

The last time the Packers visited Seattle, a berth in the Super Bowl at stake. The stakes aren't quite as high on Thursday night, but the loser is still going to be in dire straights in a crowded NFC playoff race. Other big games this weekend include Houston-Washington, Minnesota-Chicago on Sunday night, and this year's Game of the Century, the Chiefs facing the Rams in Mexico City Los Angeles. Use this thread to discuss them all.

150 comments, Last at 19 Nov 2018, 7:47pm by Mountain Time ---- formerly Ninjalectual

Week in Quotes

The Week in Quotes: November 16, 2018
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The Week in Quotes: November 16, 2018

This week: vengeance, abandonment, danger, lip syncing, moustaches, sad farewells, petty theft, undying hope, strange decisions to punt, and ketchup.

10 comments, Last at 19 Nov 2018, 3:07pm by LionInAZ

Recent Articles

Word Of Muth

Word of Muth: Farewell, 49ers
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Word of Muth: Farewell, 49ers

San Francisco has fallen out of the playoff race, which means this will be the last time they appear in Word of Muth this year -- which is too bad, because between scheme, talent, and execution, they were one of the better offensive lines in the league this season.

3 comments, Last at 17 Nov 2018, 2:17pm by mrt1212

FO on ESPN: Feature Columns

ESPN: Midseason Top 25 Prospects
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ESPN: Midseason Top 25 Prospects

It's time for our semiannual list of Top 25 Prospects: lower-round and undrafted players who we think can make an impact in the next few seasons. This midseason list is led by Maurice Hurst of the Raiders and also includes the likes of Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Phillp Lindsay along with two Houston Texans in the top five.

Clutch Encounters

Clutch Encounters: GB-SEA
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Clutch Encounters: GB-SEA

The Packers and Seahawks bring drama back to Thursday Night Football. Were those really catches by the Seahawks, and what are these numbers that Mike McCarthy is going by to punt the ball away with one timeout?

28 comments, Last at 19 Nov 2018, 2:47pm by big10freak

Stat Analysis

Introducing Total Points
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Introducing Total Points

Alex Vigderman of Sports Info Solutions introduces Total Points, a tool for player evaluation. Like DVOA, it starts with play-by-play data, but then it adds charting information to more accurately measure the contributions of each player on the field. And it will tell you that Matt Ryan has been the NFL's best quarterback for several years now.

6 comments, Last at 19 Nov 2018, 10:28am by 3cardmonty

FO on ESPN: Upset Watch

ESPN Upset Watch: Vikings-Bears
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ESPN Upset Watch: Vikings-Bears

Chicago is the better team by DVOA, but Minnesota is coming off the bye week and gets Stefon Diggs back. At ESPN+ Chalk, we look at what the Vikings need to do in order to upset the Bears in an important NFC North meeting. Cover Watch looks at the Monday Chiefs-Rams game.

2 comments, Last at 16 Nov 2018, 10:49am by andrew

7th Day Adventure

Seventh Day Adventure: Week 12
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Seventh Day Adventure: Week 12

Hope you have access to the Longhorn Network; it's the only place to watch Hakeem Butler and the Iowa State Cyclones take on Texas in a key Big 12 matchup that's the most important game of the week. Other key games include Notre Dame-Syracuse, West Virginia-Oklahoma State, and Central Florida-Cincinnati.

Film Room

Film Room: Kansas City Offense
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Film Room: Kansas City Offense

The Chiefs are the NFL's highest-scoring team, but they're not perfect. Derrik Klassen shows how the Arizona Cardinals used press coverage and unorthodox blitz packages to frustrate Patrick Mahomes and company -- and explains why it still wasn't enough in the end.

3 comments, Last at 16 Nov 2018, 12:32am by alan frankel