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2018 Free Agency Cost-Benefit Analysis

Is Kirk Cousins the best free-agent quarterback in recent memory? Should Trumaine Johnson or Malcolm Butler have gotten the larger contract? And what makes a free-agent contract good or bad, anyway?

Recent Features

Football Outsiders Features

Super Bowl LII DVOA/Quick Reads

Here are all our advanced numbers from Super Bowl LII. As you can imagine, the offensive numbers are pretty high. The Patriots end up with the higher DVOA, but that's not how games get decided.

39 comments, Last Comment at 22 Feb 2018, 7:31pm by eagle97a

Feb 05, 2018 06:50am by Vincent Verhei || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Film Room: Rob Gronkowski

The skeleton key in New England's offense, Gronk is a matchup nightmare for any defense -- and an especially difficult opponent for the Philadelphia Eagles.

8 comments, Last Comment at 21 Feb 2018, 9:02pm by Obat Pembesar Penis

Jan 31, 2018 03:18pm by Derrik Klassen || read all Film Room articles

Word of Muth: Getting the Job Done

Philadelphia's offensive line wasn't perfect against Minnesota, but did enough to lead the Eagles to an NFC championship -- and there's reason to believe they'll be even more effective in the Super Bowl.

2 comments, Last Comment at 02 Feb 2018, 5:43pm by Sifter

Feb 01, 2018 10:26am by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

QR Bonus: Keys To Beating Philadelphia

The Patriots won't necessarily need a big game from Tom Brady to win the Super Bowl -- but the Eagles absolutely will need one from Nick Foles.

26 comments, Last Comment at 21 Feb 2018, 8:15pm by Obat Pembesar Penis

Jan 30, 2018 11:46am GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Audibles at the Line: Super Bowl LII

The Philadelphia Eagles dethrone the New England Patriots in a game that sets the all-time record for most total yards from scrimmage.

260 comments, Last Comment at 08 Feb 2018, 10:46am by Pat

Feb 05, 2018 12:22am GMT by Andrew Potter || read all Audibles articles

FEI Final Ratings

Another year, another Alabama championship. Is it a good thing for the sport of college football that one program is so dominant over its competition?

0 comments

Jan 10, 2018 06:32pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: Freshmen Propel Alabama

Replacing starter Jalen Hurts, Alabama quarterback Tua Tagavailoa threw a 41-yard walk-off touchdown pass to fellow freshman DeVonta Smith on second-and-26 in overtime for yet another Alabama championship.

12 comments, Last Comment at 10 Jan 2018, 2:27pm by Anger...rising

Jan 09, 2018 12:47pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: National Championship Preview

Most expected Georgia to face Alabama in the SEC Championship Game. We're finally getting that matchup, but the stakes are even higher than anticipated.

0 comments

Jan 07, 2018 02:53pm by Ian Boyd || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Any Given Sunday: Jaguars Over Steelers

Wow, an underdog upset the Steelers? Get out of town -- then, head to New England, for the AFC Championship Game.

12 comments, Last Comment at 19 Jan 2018, 11:31am by sbond101

Jan 16, 2018 02:55pm GMT by Rivers McCown || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Month In Quotes: March 2018

This month: surprising combine performances, good and bad; bizarre questions from prospect interviews; and reaction to some of the biggest moves in free agency.

8 comments, Last Comment at 13 Apr 2018, 11:57pm by dbostedo

Apr 06, 2018 04:12pm by Cale Clinton || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Football Outsiders On-Line Mock Draft

As the calendar turns to April, we're proud to introduce the first ever Football Outsiders On-Line Mock Draft. Using our full range of analytical tools, we predict the entire first round, complete with trades, surprises, and everything else that makes the draft special.

22 comments, Last Comment at 03 Apr 2018, 1:48pm by bravehoptoad

Apr 01, 2018 11:31am by The Outsiders || read all Scramble articles

Most Recent Articles

19 Apr 2018, 10:26am by Bryan Knowles

2018 Free Agency Cost-Benefit Analysis

Is Kirk Cousins the best free-agent quarterback in recent memory? Should Trumaine Johnson or Malcolm Butler have gotten the larger contract? And what makes a free-agent contract good or bad, anyway?

» More...

15 comments, Last at 21 Apr 2018, 8:08pm by gomer_rs

18 Apr 2018, 12:32pm by Derrik Klassen

Futures: Ronnie Harrison

Though teammate Minkah Fitzpatrick gets more headlines, the other Alabama safety prospect in this year's draft deserves plenty of attention too.

» More...

1 comment, Last at 19 Apr 2018, 10:40am by jtr

17 Apr 2018, 12:41pm by Tom Gower

2012 NFL Draft: Six Years Later

The five quarterbacks taken in the first two rounds in 2012 combined to win zero games in 2017. Meanwhile, two third-rounders have won Super Bowls, and a fourth-rounder just got an $84 million contract. Let's look back at how that went down.

» More...

42 comments, Last at 21 Apr 2018, 9:32pm by Grendel13G

17 Apr 2018, 11:50am by The Outsiders

ESPN: 2018 NFL Draft Guides

FO writers have put together draft guides for all 32 teams, looking at three things for each franchise: the biggest need, a quiet need, and a position that is definitely not a need.

» More...

0 comments

16 Apr 2018, 11:48am by Nathan Forster

SackSEER 2018

The experts say that North Carolina State's Bradley Chubb will be the first edge rusher taken in the NFL draft, but our forecast system doubts he'll be much more productive than some of his peers.

» More...

16 comments, Last at 18 Apr 2018, 3:00pm by mehllageman56

12 Apr 2018, 11:23am by Aaron Schatz

BackCAST 2018 (ESPN version)

FO's BackCAST projections for running backs are here, led by Saquon Barkley. Barkley gets the second highest projection since 1998, behind only Ricky Williams. The Barkley debate is fascinating: we don't advise taking running backs high, but what do you do when there aren't great prospects at the positions we usually advise taking high? Backing the idea of taking Barkley higher than other running backs: he's also by far the best receiving back in this year's class, giving him plenty of value even if the passing game is by far more important than the running game.

» More...

20 comments, Last at 16 Apr 2018, 12:46pm by jtr

11 Apr 2018, 01:30pm by Charles McDonald

Futures: Taven Bryan

There's a lot to like in the explosive ability in Florida's defensive tackle -- but there are also plenty of question marks to be found in his film.

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1 comment, Last at 11 Apr 2018, 3:00pm by Dan

10 Apr 2018, 12:07pm by Bryan Knowles

Joe Thomas All-Stars (Defensive Edition)

The Joe Thomas All-Stars flips to the defensive side of the ball. It isn't just the 2004 Buffalo Bills, we promise! There are some Buccaneers here, too!

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14 comments, Last at 19 Apr 2018, 10:37am by BJR

09 Apr 2018, 12:17pm by Bryan Knowles

Joe Thomas All-Stars (Offensive Edition)

Introducing the Joe Thomas All-Stars: the greatest players in NFL history who never played in a playoff game. From the 'Aints to the Factory of Sadness and everywhere in between, these are the players who shone brightest in terrible conditions.

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27 comments, Last at 12 Apr 2018, 4:04pm by gomer_rs

06 Apr 2018, 04:12pm by Cale Clinton

The Month In Quotes: March 2018

This month: surprising combine performances, good and bad; bizarre questions from prospect interviews; and reaction to some of the biggest moves in free agency.

» More...

8 comments, Last at 13 Apr 2018, 11:57pm by dbostedo

05 Apr 2018, 11:24am by Nathan Forster

Playmaker Score 2018

Though Alabama's Calvin Ridley is expected to be the first wide receiver taken in the 2018 NFL draft, our numbers say that Maryland's D.J. Moore is the most promising name in a lackluster group of prospects.

» More...

18 comments, Last at 13 Apr 2018, 11:47pm by The Ninjalectual

04 Apr 2018, 02:36pm by Derrik Klassen

Futures: Josh Allen

Is the Wyoming quarterback as good as his highlights, or as bad as his numbers? Derrik Klassen breaks down the film and finds the answer is "yes."

» More...

14 comments, Last at 11 Apr 2018, 10:57am by Raiderjoe

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