Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

07 Dec 2015, 04:51pm by Scott Kacsmar

ALEX: Week 13 and the Largest ALEX Plays Since 2006

The data supports Aaron Rodgers as a vertical specialist, so why didn't Jim Caldwell know to defend the Hail Mary? We look at the largest ALEX plays since 2006 and some interesting calls by the Texans in Buffalo.

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12 comments, Last at 09 Dec 2015, 12:47pm by bravehoptoad

30 Nov 2015, 05:25pm by Scott Kacsmar

ALEX: Week 12

Which receivers have the highest and lowest ALEX on third down this season? Also, Week 12's updated stats show a very aggressive Ben Roethlisberger on third-and-short that can only be rivaled by... Blaine Gabbert? It's a weird season indeed.

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1 comment, Last at 30 Nov 2015, 7:27pm by Perfundle

23 Nov 2015, 04:34pm by Scott Kacsmar

ALEX: Week 11 and Screen Passes

Just how successful are screen passes on third down, and are they too conservative of a call? We also look at Week 11's most conservative and aggressive plays, including the return of Tony Romo.

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18 comments, Last at 24 Nov 2015, 6:51pm by OSS-117

16 Nov 2015, 03:12pm by Scott Kacsmar

ALEX: Week 10 and Distance Index

This week in ALEX, Mark Sanchez throws a dud with the game on the line, and Ben Roethlisberger racks up a bunch of pass interference penalties. Also: an improved look at ALEX by distance and DVOA. We found one area where the 2015 Browns are succeeding.

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18 comments, Last at 19 Nov 2015, 8:23am by nat

09 Nov 2015, 03:24pm by Scott Kacsmar

ALEX: Week 9 and Short vs. Stick Throws

We recap Week 9 with a new range index, but first look at throws made 1 yard short of the sticks. How much better is it to throw at the sticks (0 ALEX)? We looked at each distance for the last nine years.

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43 comments, Last at 08 Mar 2016, 8:28pm by Eleutheria

02 Nov 2015, 10:44am by Scott Kacsmar

ALEX: Week 8

We look at the leaders and last-place finishes in ALEX since 2006. There could be record numbers in 2015, and a three-peat. Plus, this week: sloppy play in Pittsburgh, and the Patriots beat the odds on another screen.

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16 comments, Last at 04 Nov 2015, 11:58pm by alan frankel

26 Oct 2015, 07:35pm by Scott Kacsmar

ALEX: Week 7

Even the worst quarterbacks are aware of the importance of getting the ball past the sticks on fourth down, so what happened with Matt Cassel's ill-fated checkdown against the Giants? Plus: Drew Brees hits a rare bomb and the Steelers hope to get back to success with Ben Roethlisberger.

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2 comments, Last at 28 Oct 2015, 10:08pm by tuluse

19 Oct 2015, 03:49pm by Scott Kacsmar

ALEX: Week 6

This week's lowest ALEX belongs to Denver again. How successful is a short pass on third-and-15? How successful is a long pass on third-and-1? We look at the historic data on a few key conversions in Week 6 victories, along with updated season rankings for third down ALEX.

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10 comments, Last at 22 Oct 2015, 7:36pm by Vincent Verhei

14 Oct 2015, 11:28pm by Scott Kacsmar

ALEX: Week 5

Our Air Less EXpected (ALEX) metric looks at which quarterbacks are playing aggressive or conservative on money downs. We debut the season rankings and the best and worst plays from Week 5.

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30 comments, Last at 16 Oct 2015, 12:16pm by Scott Kacsmar