Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

29 Dec 2016, 03:40pm by Aaron Schatz

Off The Charts Podcast: December 29

This week's Off The Charts podcast features some matchup breakdown on the big Green Bay-Detroit and Washington-New York Giants games that will decide the final two NFC playoff spots. We also talk about which teams are the biggest threats to the Patriots and Cowboys meeting in Super Bowl LI, and why. (Click for audio link)

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29 Dec 2016, 02:22pm by Aaron Schatz

Belichick: Defensive Players Not Good Enough for Offense

I thought this was an interesting tidbit, and worth discussing. A lot of football folks know that Bill Belichick will actually open up and talk in detail about football if you ask him questions that aren't specific to his team. This morning he went into detail about players who have switched positions, suggesting that most players in the back seven are playing defense because they weren't good enough playmakers on offense. On the line, he thinks it works the other way: defensive linemen who don't have enough speed to rush the passer often get moved to the offensive line.

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49 comments, Last at 04 Jan 2017, 10:54am by Bright Blue Shorts

28 Dec 2016, 01:24pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Week 17 Playoff Odds

This week's playoff odds commentary for ESPN Insider is more focused on each team's chances of winning Super Bowl LI, now that most of the playoff spots have been decided.

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1 comment, Last at 29 Dec 2016, 7:30pm by erniecohen

27 Dec 2016, 07:23pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 16 DVOA Ratings

The Cowboys and Patriots are still a close 1-2 in DVOA. Dallas is playing its best all-around football of the year, while the Patriots make up for a Gronkless offense with improving defense and renewed special teams.

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121 comments, Last at 01 Jan 2017, 12:58pm by DezBailey

27 Dec 2016, 12:57pm by Aaron Schatz

Bills Fire Rex Ryan

The Bills decided not to wait until Black Monday to can Rex Ryan and brother Rob. Offensive coordinator Anthony Lynn will serve as interim coach for the Bills' finale Sunday against the New York Jets. This is the 17th straight season the Bills have missed the playoffs. They brought in Ryan to be a defensive expert, and instead the offense improved and the defense collapsed. Clear in-game mistakes didn't help, like the play this weekend where the Bills had only 10 men on the field and Jay Ajayi ran for 57 yards.

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35 comments, Last at 07 Jan 2017, 5:54am by t.d.

22 Dec 2016, 05:25pm by Aaron Schatz

Philadelphia's Week-to-Week DVOA Graph

A closer look, game by game, at how the Philadelphia Eagles have managed to go 5-9 despite outscoring their opponents. (Click to read more.)

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2 comments, Last at 23 Dec 2016, 3:37pm by eagleinzona

22 Dec 2016, 05:01pm by Aaron Schatz

Off The Charts Podcast: December 22

The new edition of the Off The Charts Podcast looks at all the important games this weekend and what they mean for playoff odds. We've got some in-depth analysis on Baltimore at Pittsburgh, and a closer look at why DVOA is so down on the Detroit Lions. (Click for audio link.)

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21 Dec 2016, 12:59pm by Aaron Schatz

ESPN: Week 16 Playoff Odds

Here's a look at our playoff odds for Football Outsiders, with commentary including a breakdown of the chances that the NFC North and AFC South will be decided with Week 17 showdowns.

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20 Dec 2016, 06:45pm by Aaron Schatz

Week 15 DVOA Ratings

The Pittsburgh Steelers are the NFL's most balanced team and most inconsistent team... and they now join Dallas and New England as one of DVOA's top three teams. Plus: The spectacular record-shattering seasons of Johnny Hekker and Justin Tucker.

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83 comments, Last at 27 Dec 2016, 1:29pm by DezBailey

20 Dec 2016, 01:41pm by Aaron Schatz

Ranking NFL QB Supporting Casts

This is a really interesting analysis by our friend Greg Bedard, looking at a variety of metrics from both FO and PFF (blocking, run game, weapons, coaching, and defense) to get an estimate on which quarterbacks are in the best situation to succeed. The Rams and Browns are worst, but Vikings are very low (Cian Fahey is nodding now). At the top are the Steelers, the Patriots (coaching, remember?) and the Cowboys. Please ignore the fact that the SI website layout makes me want to stab my eyeballs out and often includes self-launching video, and read the article anyway, because it is good.

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27 comments, Last at 29 Dec 2016, 4:33pm by Frip88