Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

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Clutch Encounters: Conference Championships
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Clutch Encounters: Conference Championships

After a dull postseason, Championship Sunday produced two overtime games and two road upsets. The Chiefs join a growing list of offensive juggernauts paired with poor defenses that fell short of a ring. Also: was that the worst non-call ever in New Orleans, and what should the NFL do about expanding replay and overtime?

44 comments, Last at 23 Jan 2019, 8:17pm by dbt
AFC Championship Preview 2019
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AFC Championship Preview 2019

Belichick. Reid. Brady. Mahomes. Gronkowski. Kelce. Edelman. Tyreek. Two bad defenses. The AFC Championship Game should be explosive. Will the Patriots reach the Super Bowl for the 11th time? Or will Kansas City bring the Lamar Hunt Trophy home?

34 comments, Last at 20 Jan 2019, 8:29pm by LionInAZ
Clutch Encounters: Divisional Round
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Clutch Encounters: Divisional Round

The NFL will crown a new champion for the 14th year in a row. We look at how the Eagles went from all-time playoff upset to all-time playoff blunder. Also: Sean McVay needs two seasons to get to a round the Cowboys haven't seen since 1995. After a bland weekend, let's talk about whether teams down 15 points should wait on the two-point conversion like Dallas did.

31 comments, Last at 18 Jan 2019, 11:11am by techvet
2018 ALEX: Season Review
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2018 ALEX: Season Review

Our 2018 review of ALEX finds that league-wide aggression was at its lowest in 13 years while records were smashed for completion rates. At least Patrick Mahomes lived up to his college billing of the Anti-Alex. Some future Hall of Famers had difficult seasons on third down, while there's another NFC rookie hoping a new coach will lead to better things in 2019.

14 comments, Last at 11 Jan 2019, 9:55pm by justanothersteve
Clutch Encounters: Wild Card
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Clutch Encounters: Wild Card

Nick Foles adds to one of the most unexpectedly impressive resumes in NFL history. Also: Seattle forgets how good Russell Wilson is, and the Ravens get taken out of their comfort zone.

78 comments, Last at 11 Jan 2019, 1:46pm by Pat
Hall of Fame Announces 2019 Finalists

Hall of Fame Announces 2019 Finalists

The 15 finalists for the 2019 Pro Football Hall of Fame were announced.

23 comments, Last at 08 Jan 2019, 8:51am by eggwasp
Clutch Encounters: Week 17 & Season Review
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Clutch Encounters: Week 17 & Season Review

The AFC North is decided in dramatic fashion. Are the Ravens built to come back in the playoffs, and did the Steelers just have their most disappointing season in franchise history? Also: a fun, but meaningless Dallas comeback, and our season review looks at which teams might regress in close games in 2019.

Clutch Encounters: Week 16
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Clutch Encounters: Week 16

Pittsburgh was our preseason favorite for the Super Bowl, but New Orleans clinched the No. 1 seed with another comeback win. How much blame does Mike Tomlin deserve for this season? Also: Nick Foles and Andrew Luck deliver again, Chiefs-Seahawks is must-see TV, and the oddest Aaron Rodgers season ever.

8 comments, Last at 25 Dec 2018, 1:13pm by Sixknots
Clutch Encounters: Week 15
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Clutch Encounters: Week 15

The Saints all but end another Carolina season, but we liked these teams better when they scored points. Also: Chicago's dragon-slaying win, Vance Joseph's huge blunder, Nick Foles does it again in LA, and the most unusual Patriots-Steelers game yet.

3 comments, Last at 20 Dec 2018, 1:01pm by Pat
Clutch Encounters: LAC-KC
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Clutch Encounters: LAC-KC

The Chargers stunned the Chiefs with another 14-point fourth-quarter comeback on the road. We look at how it happened and which team should feel better about a potential rematch in January.

21 comments, Last at 17 Dec 2018, 12:31am by jayman4