Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

26 Jul 2012

FO VIDEO: NFC North and AFC East

The second FO segment for the Sabermetrics Video Network looks at the teams we have projected higher than conventional wisdom this season. One thing that generally ties them together -- they have the NFC West on the schedule.

Posted by: Aaron Schatz on 26 Jul 2012

9 comments, Last at 29 Jul 2012, 10:28pm by LionInAZ


by slypumpkin :: Thu, 07/26/2012 - 7:52pm

A new microphone would go a long way towards clarity, and maybe a pop filter, otherwise nicely done.

Edit: I did buy the pdf of the new almanac i hope that counts!

You can point out my spelling errors, but I'm still going to point out the truth.

by t.d. :: Thu, 07/26/2012 - 11:48pm

i think these videos are cool. having said that, i don't think saying 'the nfc west has been traditionally weak' is a very good argument for expecting it to be weak again. not saying it will change, but all four teams have reason for optimism and have turned over management fairly recently, so the people responsible for the division sucking from 2002-2008 are pretty irrelevant today

by Jerry :: Fri, 07/27/2012 - 3:57am

A quick look at the projected wins table in the video indicates that the NFC West will be weak again this year (for more than historic reasons). As Aaron mentions, this could be wrong. Of course, this is the time of year when fans of all 32 teams who are inclined to be optimistic have reasons for that optimism.

by t.d. :: Fri, 07/27/2012 - 9:36am

yes, but they project seven wins for the 49ers, based in part on their five-year history, and i respectfully disagree that mike singletary's inadequacy has anything to do with the 2012 team. (i also happen to think seattle is a dark horse contender that has been collecting talent for years, and their management seems to know what they're doing)

by galactic_dev :: Fri, 07/27/2012 - 10:31am

I've been loving the quality content on this website for years. It's so professional that it's jarring to see this amateur-looking webcam for such professional-level content and analysis.

by tuluse :: Fri, 07/27/2012 - 10:42am

Either you took some of my suggestions last week or you came up with them on your own, either way this was better. The small visual aids really help a lot.

by Led :: Fri, 07/27/2012 - 3:37pm

I like the video, but is the Bills projection really different from conventional wisdom? A lot of folks seem to have them as the up in coming team this year. I appreciate that FO gets there in a different way, but picking the Bills as a playoff contender and second best in the AFCE is pretty conventional.

by BigCheese :: Sat, 07/28/2012 - 1:04am

So, is the typo that Tampa's wins should be higher than 7.1 or that they should be listed below Seattle and SF? Or are those two just docked for being in the NFC West, thus sliding them further down the table? :P

- Alvaro

Phil Simms is to analysts what Ryan Leaf is to NFL QBs

by LionInAZ :: Sun, 07/29/2012 - 10:28pm

Shouldn't there be a disclaimer on these projections similar to what they have to put on stock fund advertisements; "Past performance does not guarantee future results"? *Especially* when you're working with only a 10-year baseline.