Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

15 Jul 2013

Mandatory Monday: Numbers Game

I tease FOA 2013 at Sports on Earth a little by using some examples from 2012 to explain how you can do your own do-it-yourself analysis. Much of what I am saying is preaching to the choir here, but it never hurts to break out the greatest hits package.

Posted by: Mike Tanier on 15 Jul 2013

7 comments, Last at 18 Jul 2013, 10:36am by Dean


by Bobman :: Tue, 07/16/2013 - 4:48pm

"When performing NFL statistical analysis, you should always recognize that you are using an incomplete picture and trying to hit a moving target."

Or as Scotty said in Star Trek a couple years ago, "It's like hitting a bullet with a smaller bullet with your eyes closed, while going at warp speed." Or something like that. (I'll just ignore the fact that bullets were probably outmoded 300 years earlier....)

by L_Crosby (not verified) :: Tue, 07/16/2013 - 4:58pm

"The notion of transwarp beaming is like trying to hit a bullet with a smaller bullet, whilst wearing a blindfold, riding a horse."

by Bobman :: Tue, 07/16/2013 - 5:18pm

Thanks. I'd like to say "I was close" but it looks like I got two out of four points right (maybe 2.5 if you equate the blindfold to eyes closed). Sort of like Louis Murphy receiving stats last year.

by Bobman :: Tue, 07/16/2013 - 5:07pm

Mike, Just a semantics note: You bash "passer rating" under the name "quarterback rating." Clearly you refer to the 70's era 0 - 158.6 scale abomination, but the QBR developed by ESPN is pretty different, and better. My two cents.

by Dean :: Tue, 07/16/2013 - 7:51pm

Different? Yes. Better? No.

by bravehoptoad :: Wed, 07/17/2013 - 4:11pm

Not better than passer rating? Come on, man, that's a pretty low bar to clear.

by Dean :: Thu, 07/18/2013 - 10:36am

Agreed. They just created their own brand of passer rating. It's sort of like fashion - they rolled out something that's not actually improved, just new. Then they backed it up with a big marketing push to make you feel like you had to buy in or you weren't one of the cool kids. Then, a few months later, the fad passed and nobody cared.