Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

28 Apr 2014

Visualizing 64 Years of DVOA History

Using Andreas Sheppard's DVOA estimates, Vivid Numeral has a graph showing every franchise's DVOA over time.

Posted by: Rivers McCown on 28 Apr 2014

9 comments, Last at 03 May 2014, 5:27pm by Noah Arkadia


by ebongreen :: Mon, 04/28/2014 - 8:53am

Using the default 10-year moving average window, the futility of the Cardinals and Falcons franchises is pretty epic. Both teams have barely managed to flirt with mediocre over their long histories on any sustained basis... and the '04 rating for the Cards is the low point on the entire graph. Yikes.

by andrew :: Mon, 04/28/2014 - 7:18pm

Now that I know what I'm looking at (sorry replacing earlier message)
, other observations.

2005 vikings had the worst 10 year defensive dvoa stretch, sounds about right.

I remember the early 90s bills as having one of the better offensive runs, but either they really sucked before/after it and didn't sustain it long enough or they weren't that great. Ditto for the Warren Moon run & shoot oilers. Altering the interval doesn't affect their lack of peaks, so guess its the latter.

If you asked me who has the best rushing offense of the last 10 years from today I probably would not have said the Eagles. However I could have guessed the Cardinals for worst.

Devin Hester really shows on the special teams chart.

Tampa has never had a ten year positive dvoa average.

by tuluse :: Mon, 04/28/2014 - 7:52pm

Dave Toub really shows on the special teams chart. Check KC special teams this year.

by Insancipitory :: Mon, 04/28/2014 - 11:55pm

This is a really nice compliment to the dynasty pieces over at Football Perspective.

by vividnum :: Mon, 04/28/2014 - 9:05pm

Passing offense DVOA over the past 10 years: Philip Rivers >>> Eli Manning. Chargers are 4th with +21 on average and Giants are 14th with -2. I wonder if Hall of Fame voters will view things that way...

by Noah Arkadia :: Fri, 05/02/2014 - 10:17am

Did... the Dolphins from the early 70s that won back-to-back Super Bowls truly have a negative DVOA...?

The man with no sig

by vividnum :: Fri, 05/02/2014 - 11:39am

Sorry - the response below was meant to be a reply to this comment.

by vividnum :: Fri, 05/02/2014 - 11:28am

The default chart shows a 10 year moving average. If you change the moving average slider to 1 year or 2 years, the Dolphins of 72 and 73 had the highest DVOA in those years. Actually, on a 2 year moving average the Dolphins had the 3rd highest DVOA since the merger, after the 75/76 Steelers and 85/86 Bears. But they were so bad in the late 60s that their 10 year moving average in the early 70s was negative.

by Noah Arkadia :: Sat, 05/03/2014 - 5:27pm

Oh. Thanks for the explanation.

The man with no sig