Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

25 Jul 2008, 01:34pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN: Bad News Bears Offense Has Little Hope

Here's a (somewhat table-free) look at similarity scores for the pathetic 2008 Chicago Bears offense. Yikes.

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20 comments, Last at 26 Jul 2008, 5:53pm by johonny

10 Jul 2008, 09:36pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN.com: Top RB Draft Classes

This week's ESPN.com column uses the method from PFP 2007's "Best Running Back Seasons" essay to figure out the best running back draft classes in modern NFL history. Part one looks at the best rookie seasons, while part two looks at the best classes in career value. Both parts are now posted as of Friday afternoon.

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17 comments, Last at 14 Jul 2008, 3:25pm by David H

03 Jul 2008, 05:30pm by Bill Barnwell

FO on ESPN: 2008 Day Two Favorites

In Part Two of our look at Day Two of the NFL Draft on ESPN, we peg 10 guys who are best-positioned to be successful NFL players.

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18 comments, Last at 07 Jul 2008, 10:24am by Aaron

26 Jun 2008, 08:58pm by Bill Barnwell

FO on ESPN: Finding Value on Day Two

Our weekly ESPN column employs a new methodology to analyze which Day Two picks are the best value.

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22 comments, Last at 30 Jun 2008, 11:15am by White Rose Duelist

19 Jun 2008, 10:52pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN: Losing Strahan Might Hurt Giants

This week's ESPN.com column takes a look at what happens to teams that lose a top pass rusher in the offseason. On average, a strong pass rush will take a substantial hit when one of its stars departs -- but adding a top pass rusher has a smaller impact than adding a top offensive lineman.

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15 comments, Last at 25 Jun 2008, 12:42pm by Lance S.

12 Jun 2008, 05:30pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN: Losing Ogden Shouldn't Hurt Ravens

With the book behind us, weekly FO columns on ESPN.com return. This week, we look at teams that lose a star offensive lineman. The numbers were pretty surprising -- as a group, teams that lose a star lineman don't tend to decline. For every team like the Chiefs of the last couple years, there's a team like the 2000 Vikings or 2006 Saints. Adding a top lineman? That's a different story, one that will give Jets fans a reason for optimism.

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24 comments, Last at 17 Jun 2008, 10:32pm by TonyAngelo

23 Apr 2008, 06:24pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN.com: Adding Star WR Rarely Improves Team

After the recent success of Terrell Owens and Randy Moss, teams are chomping at the bit to trade for Chad Johnson. But Owens and Moss aside, adding a star receiver doesn't generally lead to significant improvement. Losing a star receiver, however, usually leads to decline.

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29 comments, Last at 28 Apr 2008, 9:59pm by Alex

17 Apr 2008, 09:34am by admin

FO on ESPN: College Stats Don't Lie

This week's ESPN column looks at the Lewin Career Forecast and what it says about the top four quarterback prospects in this year's draft. (Don't freak out if the system doesn't seem fully explained; remember, ESPN articles have size constraints.)

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55 comments, Last at 21 Apr 2008, 6:31pm by Will Allen

10 Apr 2008, 10:53am by Bill Barnwell

FO on ESPN: Combine Stats Not Created Equal

This week's FO feature on ESPN is me talking about running backs at the combine and what their performance there has to do with NFL success. Obviously, we'll discuss this more in the book.

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54 comments, Last at 14 Apr 2008, 11:53pm by Mr Shush

03 Apr 2008, 04:20pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN: Odom Will Miss Playing Alongside Haynesworth

Here is part II of my look at quarterback hits. This time, I look at defenses, including a weird little trend involving Tennessee and what that might mean for the 2008 Bengals. Because I needed to focus this more on one story for ESPN, we cut out the table that would have shown the ten defenses with the FEWEST knockdowns, so here is that list for the benefit of FO readers:

Houston: 7.6% (18 adjusted hits, 28 sacks with hit)
Carolina: 8.3% (29 hits/20 sacks)
Atlanta: 8.9% (33 hits/18 sacks)
San Francisco: 9.3% (27 hits/29 sacks)
Buffalo: 9.9% (38 hits/22 sacks)

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13 comments, Last at 05 Apr 2008, 2:41pm by Ryan Mc