Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

12 Jun 2008, 05:30pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN: Losing Ogden Shouldn't Hurt Ravens

With the book behind us, weekly FO columns on ESPN.com return. This week, we look at teams that lose a star offensive lineman. The numbers were pretty surprising -- as a group, teams that lose a star lineman don't tend to decline. For every team like the Chiefs of the last couple years, there's a team like the 2000 Vikings or 2006 Saints. Adding a top lineman? That's a different story, one that will give Jets fans a reason for optimism.

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24 comments, Last at 17 Jun 2008, 10:32pm by TonyAngelo

23 Apr 2008, 06:24pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN.com: Adding Star WR Rarely Improves Team

After the recent success of Terrell Owens and Randy Moss, teams are chomping at the bit to trade for Chad Johnson. But Owens and Moss aside, adding a star receiver doesn't generally lead to significant improvement. Losing a star receiver, however, usually leads to decline.

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29 comments, Last at 28 Apr 2008, 9:59pm by Alex

17 Apr 2008, 09:34am by admin

FO on ESPN: College Stats Don't Lie

This week's ESPN column looks at the Lewin Career Forecast and what it says about the top four quarterback prospects in this year's draft. (Don't freak out if the system doesn't seem fully explained; remember, ESPN articles have size constraints.)

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55 comments, Last at 21 Apr 2008, 6:31pm by Will Allen

10 Apr 2008, 10:53am by Bill Barnwell

FO on ESPN: Combine Stats Not Created Equal

This week's FO feature on ESPN is me talking about running backs at the combine and what their performance there has to do with NFL success. Obviously, we'll discuss this more in the book.

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54 comments, Last at 14 Apr 2008, 11:53pm by Mr Shush

03 Apr 2008, 04:20pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN: Odom Will Miss Playing Alongside Haynesworth

Here is part II of my look at quarterback hits. This time, I look at defenses, including a weird little trend involving Tennessee and what that might mean for the 2008 Bengals. Because I needed to focus this more on one story for ESPN, we cut out the table that would have shown the ten defenses with the FEWEST knockdowns, so here is that list for the benefit of FO readers:

Houston: 7.6% (18 adjusted hits, 28 sacks with hit)
Carolina: 8.3% (29 hits/20 sacks)
Atlanta: 8.9% (33 hits/18 sacks)
San Francisco: 9.3% (27 hits/29 sacks)
Buffalo: 9.9% (38 hits/22 sacks)

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13 comments, Last at 05 Apr 2008, 2:41pm by Ryan Mc

27 Mar 2008, 09:26pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN: Quarterback Abuse 2007

This week's ESPN.com column looks at which quarterbacks were knocked to the ground most often in 2007, and which offenses protected quarterbacks the best when we count both sacks and hits. I know, I know, people will complain that this is yet another Patriots-centric article, but I was wracking my brain trying to figure out a good anchor for the piece, and it was the only thing I could come up with. We'll look at defenses (and defenders) with the most hits next week.

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23 comments, Last at 01 Apr 2008, 9:40pm by Will Allen

20 Mar 2008, 01:17pm by Mike Tanier

FO on ESPN: Faneca Provides Upgrade to Jets' Offensive Line

This week's FO column on ESPN.com explains how Alan Faneca upgrades the Jets all across the line, not just at left guard.

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24 comments, Last at 24 Mar 2008, 2:56pm by good grief!

12 Mar 2008, 05:24pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN: Saints' Secondary Problems Should Be Priority

This week's ESPN column talks about how Jonathan Vilma and Dan Morgan won't do much to fix the New Orleans defense, even if both manage to actually stay healthy. Unfortunately, the WWL cut my joke about the Saints replacing the fleur-de-lis on Jason David's helmet with the logo for "Smuckers."

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16 comments, Last at 13 Mar 2008, 5:37pm by Joseph

05 Mar 2008, 02:11pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN: Favre's Longevity, Durability Set Him Apart

Was Brett Favre the greatest quarterback in modern NFL history? As I detail in this week's ESPN.com column, the answer depends on how much weight you put on peak performance vs. career value. Using the metrics from the "best quarterback seasons ever" article in PFP 2005, Favre doesn't have a single season in the top 50. Yet, how many quarterbacks gave their teams 15 years of above-average play (and one of slightly below-average play) at football's most important position -- without missing a game?

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45 comments, Last at 13 Mar 2008, 1:00pm by Charlie

28 Feb 2008, 02:17pm by Aaron Schatz

FO on ESPN: Free Agent WR Unimpressive

Let's kickoff my weekly off-season column on ESPN.com with a look at similarity scores for some of this year's free agent wide receivers: Bernard Berrian, D.J. Hackett, Donte' Stallworth, Marty Booker, and not actually Randy Moss. Sorry about the brief post of this yesterday -- ESPN had it up and then decided to hold it one day to run as part of a larger FA package. (By the way, no "FO Goes Mainstream" box on the front page for the off-season, since this weekly ESPN column is pretty much all we'll be doing for larger sites for a while.)

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12 comments, Last at 29 Feb 2008, 4:35pm by John Doe