Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

12 May 2011

ESPN: Unbeaten SEC Champ Not Likely

Auburn in 2010 and Alabama in 2009 defied the odds by running the table en route to a BCS national championship. Each may have been the best team in the country in its respective title run, but it wasn't likely that they should have won every game. The previous three champions from the SEC each suffered at least one defeat along the way, and based on cumulative game win likelihoods, Auburn and Alabama were fortunate not to have tripped up themselves. Heading into 2011, Brian Fremeau discusses the anticipated super strength of the nation's best conference and calculates the odds that any of the conference's contenders can manage to sneak through unscathed.

We're in the process of ratings projections for the annual Football Outsiders Almanac, and our early data suggests the SEC's top seven teams will be among the nation's best. But there are a lot of games between those teams, and someone has to lose those head-to-head matchups.

Posted by: Brian Fremeau on 12 May 2011