Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

03 Jan 2014

ESPN: Ranking 16 Years Of BCS Finalists

It is the end of an era in college football. Florida State and Auburn will meet on Monday night in the VIZIO BCS National Championship, the final chapter in the 16-year history of the Bowl Championship Series. A new, four-team playoff system arrives next fall, and the field will be opened for more worthy teams to contend for a title.

The Seminoles' and Tigers' respective paths to the BCS title game were paved in dramatically different ways. Florida State dominated most of its opposition throughout the season and ascended to the top of the BCS standings while other top teams faltered. Auburn surged into the championship mix late in the year on the strength of two miracle finishes against Georgia and Alabama.

How does this year's matchup compare with championship games over the years? We ranked all 32 teams that reached the BCS championship game according to our opponent-adjusted FEI ratings* to find out where Florida State and Auburn fall heading into Monday night. Dominant victories against strong schedules were rewarded most in this analysis.

(*Due to the lack of available play-by-play and drive data, FEI ratings have been calculated only since 2003. For the 1998-2002 seasons, we produced an alternate set of ratings based on opponent-adjusted final scores. The alternate ratings have a 0.95 correlation with FEI. National title game performances were incorporated into this analysis for all teams other than 2013 FSU and 2013 Auburn, which had a projection subbed in.)

Posted by: Brian Fremeau on 03 Jan 2014

2 comments, Last at 06 Jan 2014, 11:53am by Kane Liffin


by Default (not verified) :: Fri, 01/03/2014 - 5:59pm

ESPN pay-wall article. Allow me to summarize: meh.

by Kane Liffin (not verified) :: Mon, 01/06/2014 - 11:53am

Double Meh.