Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

03 Nov 2010

ESPN: How Moss Fits In With Tennessee

This ESPN Insider feature looks into the Randy Moss acquisition by the Titans, comparing his numbers to Kenny Britt's while analyzing the Titans' effectiveness and propensity for throwing deep.

Posted by: Bill Barnwell on 03 Nov 2010

12 comments, Last at 19 Dec 2011, 1:52am by samanthaknowls


by CDB (not verified) :: Wed, 11/03/2010 - 6:15pm

The question I have is, if Moss' performance is so awful, why wasn't this picked up preseason via KUBIAK or using qualitative analysis. if I recall, the almanac had Moss pegged as the most productive WR this season. Has he really regressed that much in a few months?

Sure, his performance hasn't been great so far, but it's hard for me to believe that he's simply fallen off a cliff. He still demands double teams and should continue to do so in Tennessee. Is there no value in that?

by fek9wnr (not verified) :: Wed, 11/03/2010 - 7:05pm

He's still an above-average receiver by DVOA, even with this season going about as badly as possible for him. And I don't think KUBIAK includes an "unstable personality" variable.

by karamgj :: Wed, 11/03/2010 - 6:44pm

following up on the KUBIAK point, Moss was also the highest rated WR on the midseason KUBIAK released after week 4. What has become so apparent since then?

by Kal :: Wed, 11/03/2010 - 7:09pm

That Brett Favre is not Tom Brady?

by bird jam :: Thu, 11/04/2010 - 8:56am

But he wasn't producing with Brady either.

I think what we're seeing is Moss has finally reached the age-related production drop-off point and KUBIAK didn't expect that to happen this year.

by Tim Wilson :: Thu, 11/04/2010 - 9:06am

Or an effort-related production drop off?

by bird jam :: Thu, 11/04/2010 - 9:43am

Could be, I suppose, but he fits the age profile too. I'm not sure he would be doing any better if he were going all-out, although obviously there's no way to know that.

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