Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

09 Oct 2008

ESPN Numbers Crunching: Week 6

What two teams are yet to face a single play where they trail by more than a touchdown? What winless team has the best red zone offense in football? Which team is the only one in football yet to turn the ball over? All this and more in this week's Numbers Crunching.

Posted by: Bill Barnwell on 09 Oct 2008

9 comments, Last at 12 Oct 2008, 1:13am by Bobman


by Tom Gower :: Thu, 10/09/2008 - 5:47pm

I think you missed a team that hasn't played a defensive play while trailing by more than a touchdown, though that may change this week as the Titans face off against the formidable BYE, an opponent against whom a team has never won a game.

by Opiegrey (not verified) :: Fri, 10/10/2008 - 3:08am

I think they must have gotten confused with League and Conference, as the Ravens haven't been down by more than 7 yet this season either.

by Bobman :: Sun, 10/12/2008 - 1:13am

NTT, I think if Collins takes a knee four or more times on Sunday the Titans finally rack up a W against the indomitable BYE. As we all know, kneeling is a leading indicator for victory. (If he's Catholic, kneeling on a Sunday should not be a problem)

by S :: Fri, 10/10/2008 - 12:03pm

"San Diego bunkers down in the second half; their defensive DVOA in the first half of games is only 29th, but in the second half, that falls to eighth."

Is "falls" the right word here, or did I misinterpret something?

by Anonymous (not verified) :: Fri, 10/10/2008 - 3:04pm

It "falls" because a better DVOA is a more negative number, so the ranking improves due to a lower DVOA.

by Bobman :: Sun, 10/12/2008 - 1:11am

Looked weird to me as well; I think that should be "hunkers down" which means clamps down and gets serious. If you have a big exam tomorrow, you might hunker down with a stack of books and a pot of coffee tonight.... or just videotape the professor writing the questions.

by Jim Armstrong :: Fri, 10/10/2008 - 1:04pm

Just to clarify, the Giants and Bears are the only teams not to have trailed by at least a touchdown (7 or more points) while on defense.

The Titans were behind by 7 on defense briefly in the 3rd quarter against Baltimore last week. And the Ravens were behind by 7 on defense in the 2nd quarter against Cleveland in Week 3.

by Tom Gower :: Fri, 10/10/2008 - 5:25pm

Ah, well, that makes sense. A little silly, but it makes sense.

by The Hypno-Toad :: Sat, 10/11/2008 - 2:12am

Holy crap the Broncos are weird. Best second down team in the league, unless it's second and short, where they are pretty awful. Where the hell does that come from? With the 3rd ranked rush offense by DVOA, I just can't seem to make sense of this.