Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

24 Sep 2009

ESPN: Week 3 Numbers Crunching

This week's Numbers Crunching looks at a variety of stats from 2008 and 2009. Learn why Washington should spread the field against Detroit, which little-known player might be the key to a Green Bay win, and which Tennessee defender may be aging quickly.

Posted by: Aaron Schatz on 24 Sep 2009

3 comments, Last at 26 Sep 2009, 11:32am by pheimill


by zlionsfan :: Thu, 09/24/2009 - 3:41pm

Last year, only New Orleans and the New York Giants had a higher offensive DVOA than Washington with four or more wide receivers on the field, ...

What's interesting about that is that Washington's WRs pretty much all had poor DVOA themselves. It's almost like the only time they could do something well was if they were all on the field; drop to 2 or 3 WRs and they couldn't do anything (which seems somewhat counterintuitive ... wouldn't you rather be throwing to Cooley and/or Portis than the 4th and 5th WR?).

There has been significant change in the Lions' secondary (in addition to the change in staff), so I would not be surprised if at the end of the season Detroit has performed much better in both situations you mention (against four-wide formations and in yards after catch).

Of course it would be smart money to say that about basically any aspect of Detroit's defense; it certainly couldn't get much worse.

by a skins fan (not verified) :: Fri, 09/25/2009 - 12:53pm

Skins fans have been screaming for the team to "open it up" some more. At this point Campbell has completed a pass to only three wide receivers (Moss, Randle El, Kelly) - of course Cooley gets significant action however.

by pheimill :: Sat, 09/26/2009 - 11:32am

if skins go 4 wide, lions will be playing guys they got off waivers in secondary. hopefully, lions defense can't get much worse than last year. this game is one of lions best chance to win this season, but sad to say I can't see them winning.