Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

17 Oct 2013

ESPN Upset Watch: Bengals over Lions

Will Calvin Johnson's injury continue to drag down the Lions in a tough matchup against the Bengals? In Cover Watch: Can the Buffalo defense continue to overcome its quarterback situation?

Posted by: Aaron Schatz on 17 Oct 2013

14 comments, Last at 29 Oct 2013, 12:14pm by NakZ


by PassingBy (not verified) :: Thu, 10/17/2013 - 11:35pm

How many QBs started for Team A one month and Team B the next month?

by PassingBy (not verified) :: Thu, 10/17/2013 - 11:35pm

Grrr... wrong article.

by Pied :: Fri, 10/18/2013 - 1:21am

Bengals over Lions would be an upset?
They have the same record and CIN's DVOA and DAVE are higher.

I am confuse.

by Aaron Schatz :: Fri, 10/18/2013 - 1:45pm

Game is in Detroit. Line is Lions -3. Therefore, Bengals victory would be upset.

by JoeyHarringtonsPiano :: Fri, 10/18/2013 - 1:47pm

I haven't gone back through this seasons archives, but I would bet this is the 7th time in this article series somebody has had to explain the definition of "upset" and/or explain how the Vegas line works.

by ChrisS (not verified) :: Fri, 10/18/2013 - 2:28pm

If the Bengals win it would be an upset, but according to the Money Lines this is the closest game out there (-140 for Detroit, +120 for Bengals).

by Bay Area Bengal (not verified) :: Fri, 10/18/2013 - 3:07pm

Let's be honest, though ... it's a GOOD thing when people -- at least people who frequent this site -- default to advanced metrics like when defining what an upset is.

by JoeyHarringtonsPiano :: Fri, 10/18/2013 - 3:20pm

That is good point, but this article is for ESPN, which is mostly frequented by mainstream readers.

On another note, I'm really looking forward to this game. Great test for both teams.

by tuluse :: Fri, 10/18/2013 - 3:56pm

FO is taking really safe bets. -3 at home means Vegas thinks the teams are equal. I think when people ask for an upset watch they're looking for a prediction a little more out on a limb.

by Pied :: Sun, 10/20/2013 - 8:20am

Yeah I didn't realize it was based on the spread, but even considering it is, well--what tuluse just said.

by Bay Area Bengal (not verified) :: Fri, 10/18/2013 - 12:38pm

Doing my best Raiderjoe here ...

Why ions upset about being beat by Bengals? everyone know Bengals best team in teh NFL.

by JoeyHarringtonsPiano :: Fri, 10/18/2013 - 1:50pm

Not nearly enough misspellings or grammatical errors. I have read RaiderJoe's posts. I know RaiderJoe's posts. I admire RaiderJoe's posts. And you sir, are no RaiderJoe.