Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

09 Oct 2009

NY Times: Week 5 Matchups

Pumpkin chuckin', Roethlisbergium, and the Kora Superdeep Borehole all figure into Mike Tanier's analysis of this week's NFL matchups.

Posted by: Mike Tanier on 09 Oct 2009

17 comments, Last at 11 Oct 2009, 7:00pm by Anonymous43252356


by are-tee :: Fri, 10/09/2009 - 3:25pm

Re. The Dolphins average time of possession - isn't that a little skewed by the ridiculously one-sided T.O.P. in the Colts game (which they lost)?

by Anonymous43252356 (not verified) :: Fri, 10/09/2009 - 3:42pm

"The Colts’ offense is operating at peak capacity, and with their defense exceeding expectations, the Colts are currently the best team in the N.F.L."

Gee gosh golly gasp. Alliteration.
Havent watched much of there games but do they really have any sort of defense? Not that they need to and also not that I disagree about your calling them the best, but they've really just been playing a solid group of underacheivers so far. Next you will tell me that the giants are the best in the NFC.

by tally :: Fri, 10/09/2009 - 7:51pm

Well, their defense is 13th by DVOA and 9th by DAVE, which isn't elite, but it certainly is more than "any sort of defense," so I'd say Indy's D has exceeded expectations.

That Indy is the best team in the NFL is based solely on DAVE, so there's the preseason prediction skewing some things and only partial opponent adjustments. You could argue all of the potential best teams have had some subpar opponents.

by Anonymous43252356 (not verified) :: Sun, 10/11/2009 - 6:47pm

But i wouldnt say that their defense is really exceeding expectations. They're still pretty bad against the run, reflected in their 20th ranking in rushing DVOA and they are likely to get worse when Bob Sanders inevitably gets injured. Plus they played two good rushing teams and two awful rushing teams. Their pass defence is doing well but Seneca Wallace put up respectable numbers against them. I would say that they are playing exactly the same they do every year, which is certainly good enough to be best in the NFL for now but their defense has not been tested by a complete offense and is helped even more by the fact that the colts are constantly making other teams one dimensional by having to play catch up.

by Agamemnon :: Sat, 10/10/2009 - 6:52am

I wouldn't call this alliteration, you'll get words beginning with the same sounds (oops) in a non-alliterative sentence, and "exceeding expectations" is a common enough phrase that it doesn't merit your gee gosh golly gasp reply.

And I'd save making any comments about the quality of teams until you either watch them play (half of their games have been nationally televised) or check out their stats. Yes, their defense is exceeding expectations (which every year are low).

by tuluse :: Sat, 10/10/2009 - 5:34pm

there was also "offense is operating"

by Vague (not verified) :: Sun, 10/11/2009 - 1:02am

since nit picking is the way we do it...

Alliteration is only repeated consonants. Assonance is the repetition of vowel sounds at the begining of consecutive words.

by Anonymous43252356 (not verified) :: Sun, 10/11/2009 - 7:00pm

Mycenaean Monarch Makes Moronic Mention. Perhaps Ponder my Prose. http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/alliteration

by JasonK :: Fri, 10/09/2009 - 4:02pm

I guess with Leftwich on the bench, JaMarcus becomes the next starting QB in line for comparisons to trebuchets. Russell doesn't have the seige-machine-style windup, but the accuracy comparison is pretty close.

by BroncosGuy (not verified) :: Sat, 10/10/2009 - 11:00am

The Raiders are bringing the dog in for a workout on Monday.

by bravehoptoad :: Fri, 10/09/2009 - 4:04pm

I'm not sure the screen is the answer against the 49ers. The linebackers are fast and the DBs are good tacklers. When people have gouged our defense, it seems to have been mostly in the deep middle rather than with anything near the line of scrimmage. I'm much more afraid of Gonzo and the Falcon wideouts.

It is funny, though, that on a Falcons message board there was a big argument raging over who was better in the open field, Willis or Norwood. It was conducted with all the intelligence you'd expect from a fan board, but then I open up a Tanier article and discover he's putting his faith in the same guy.

by Bruce G. (not verified) :: Fri, 10/09/2009 - 4:22pm

I bet Tomlin does wear his sunglasses at night.....

by c_f (not verified) :: Fri, 10/09/2009 - 6:57pm

- David Garrard is a "peashooter passer"? That's a very harsh evaluation.

- Is a 10% drop rate significantly greater than league average? What is league average?

by wr (not verified) :: Sat, 10/10/2009 - 12:42am

The borehole comment for Vikings-Rams was priceless!

by SteveGarvin :: Sat, 10/10/2009 - 1:22am

So the trebuchet is actually a remarkably accurate representation of a JaMarcus throw. Bravo. Sadly, it is probably more accurate.

by Gruntled (not verified) :: Sat, 10/10/2009 - 9:32am

Looking forward to seeing this tested on Mythbusters, and hoping that some sort of explosives can be worked in.

by jebmak :: Sun, 10/11/2009 - 8:51am

Wow, Augustus Gloop.

I also must say, after reading the comments, that you guys have finally discovered a place where FO writing can be appreciated by non-FO football fans.