Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

10 Sep 2010

NY Times: Week 1 Matchups

Mike Tanier's matchup analysis is back in the New York Times each week. Here we go with Week 1, featuring a classic Tanier look at the wonder that is the Washington Redskins front office.

Posted by: Mike Tanier on 10 Sep 2010

16 comments, Last at 11 Sep 2010, 9:08pm by bigmaq


by Ezra Johnson :: Fri, 09/10/2010 - 11:52am

Seahawks over Niners is quite a surprise. It's also interesting how these pieces contain a lot of the gossipy snark that so many of our hyper-factual FO readers like to rail against, but I love it.

by Arkaein :: Fri, 09/10/2010 - 12:46pm

A bit surprising in that many picks did not follow the FO "conventional wisdom".

I know it's a bit different picking ATS than straight-up, but I'd still pick the Bears at home over the Lions, and if the Chiefs really are expected to be improved they should get the nod over the Chargers.

Also, not really feeling the Bengals covering against the Patriots, though that line makes it a tougher call.

by DKDC (not verified) :: Fri, 09/10/2010 - 1:43pm

Agreed. KC seems like the ideal FO pick, considering that the Chiefs are 4.5 point dogs, but have a higher DVOA projection than their opponent and are playing at home.

There’s nothing wrong with going against DVOA, but you’d have to believe that the DVOA projections missed by a combined (25%? 30%?) on KC and SD to pick SD.

It's a similar story (although not quite as big a gap) on picking the Falcons to cover against the Steelers.

by BD (not verified) :: Fri, 09/10/2010 - 12:51pm

"Brandyn Dombrowski will replace McNeill, Legedu Naanee replaces Jackson, and if a few early losses derail the Chargers Super Bowl plans, the general manager A.J. Smith can be found on Palatine Hill with his lute."


by speedegg :: Fri, 09/10/2010 - 7:40pm

I'm not sure what's funnier, the reference to fiddling while Rome is burning or the link to the picture.

Great article.

by dhnirvana22 :: Fri, 09/10/2010 - 12:51pm

does anyone know what Mike Tanier ATS record is?

by Mike Tanier :: Fri, 09/10/2010 - 2:19pm

It's awful.

Oh, and while I check the FO Premium Picks before these picks, I don't stick with them. I go with them about 62.5% of the time, maybe a little more later in the year.

by CathyW :: Fri, 09/10/2010 - 1:24pm

Here's hoping that Concrete Charlie actually does take the field against the Pack. I'm with Tanier in thinking that's the only way the Eagles win this thing.

by Led :: Fri, 09/10/2010 - 2:34pm

Mike T: Unless you've got a new spin on it, leave the Polamalu hair jokes to the hacks. You're better than that. Loved the McNabb piece, by the way.

by HostileGospel :: Sat, 09/11/2010 - 7:58pm

If a T. S. Eliot reference doesn't constitute a new spin, I don't know what does.

They must of thought I was the old Osama Bin Laden they made me strip down somethn crucial at the airport sheeeeesh... not djacc I'm str8

-Djacc, via Twitter

by Andrew Potter :: Fri, 09/10/2010 - 3:51pm

Moss may also just be feeling a Vitamin D deficiency because of lack of limelight: Terrell Owens and Chad Ochocinco are in town and facing the Patriots’ inexperienced secondary, which could cause a total loony eclipse.

Beautiful. Just beautiful. I love that style of writing, can't get enough of it.

by BywaterBrat :: Fri, 09/10/2010 - 6:12pm

Charlie Whitehurst of the Dolphins just beat me in the AFC Championship 2013...this makes me believe that the Seahawks are destined for greatness beyond our wildest imaginations within 3 years.

Also, the RTT was a particularly gracious gift.

by Signor Sack (not verified) :: Fri, 09/10/2010 - 8:14pm

"If Parcells were Pharaoh, tourists would travel to Egypt to see The Great Frustums."


by Signor Sack (not verified) :: Fri, 09/10/2010 - 10:39pm

Forgot to ad;, I need to use "frustum" in a typical everyday conversation now. I have no idea how though. :-)

by drobviousso :: Sat, 09/11/2010 - 9:18am

You could become a software engineer working in the computer graphics field.

by bigmaq (not verified) :: Sat, 09/11/2010 - 9:08pm


In picking the Hawks you have exposed the existence of those compromising pics of you squirreled away in Farrar's locked drawer.