Varsity Numbers

For students majoring in breakdown of college football play-by-play

Varsity Numbers

Varsity Numbers: Honing in
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Varsity Numbers: Honing in

Bill Connelly again looks at which college football teams the F/+ ratings are sure about, and which teams remain a mystery (led by Appalachian State).

2 comments, Last at 14 Oct 2016, 5:02pm by Julian Revell
Varsity Numbers: F/+ vs. Reality
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Varsity Numbers: F/+ vs. Reality

With the first complete F/+ ratings of the season out, Bill Connelly takes a look at the teams on which F/+ has a pretty good read and the teams that remain a mystery.

2 comments, Last at 21 Jan 2016, 10:42am by Keshavz1
Varsity Numbers: A Look at the Big Uglies
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Varsity Numbers: A Look at the Big Uglies

Though Marcus Mariota gets all the headlines, the key to Oregon's ground game might be the play of their offensive line.

2 comments, Last at 12 Oct 2014, 6:34am by big10freak
VN: Stats vs. Eyeballs After Five Weeks
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VN: Stats vs. Eyeballs After Five Weeks

Which teams are most likely to fade or surge in the F/+ rankings? Bill Connelly compares what his eyes have seen to what his numbers have seen five weeks into the college football season.

1 comment, Last at 03 Oct 2014, 7:28pm by Daveo77
Varsity Numbers: Little Things, Inc.
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Varsity Numbers: Little Things, Inc.

Big plays and touchdowns get all the hype, but Bill Connelly says it's the little things that make Stanford one of the best teams in the country.

Varsity Numbers: Cry Havoc
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Varsity Numbers: Cry Havoc

Bill Connelly takes a look at what we can learn from defensive box score stats and general rates of havoc.

Varsity Numbers: Follow the Bouncing Ball
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Varsity Numbers: Follow the Bouncing Ball

We like to think of fumble recoveries as a 50/50 proposition, but how much of an impact does the location of the fumble have on who recovers it? Bill Connelly takes a look.

VN: Don't Write Off Week 1
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VN: Don't Write Off Week 1

Are first-week performances in college football actually indicative of full-season performances, or do rust, new playbook wrinkles, etc., make for a pretty random experience?

1 comment, Last at 21 Jan 2016, 10:47am by Keshavz1
Varsity Numbers: Updated 2014 Projections
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Varsity Numbers: Updated 2014 Projections

Bill Connelly says hello to the 2014 college football season by giving the F/+ projections some last-second tweaks.

8 comments, Last at 23 Sep 2014, 2:17pm by
Varsity Numbers: 2013 Projections vs. Reality
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Varsity Numbers: 2013 Projections vs. Reality

With the college football season in the rearview mirror, Bill Connelly compares FO's 2013 F/+ projections to the end-of-year numbers.

2 comments, Last at 21 Jan 2016, 10:53am by Keshavz1