Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Super Bowl LIII Open Discussion

By now, you've read everything we (and many others) have to say about Sunday's Super Bowl between the Rams and the Patriots. So now it's your turn -- use this thread to discuss the NFL's championship game.


122 comments, Last at 04 Feb 2019, 10:23am

1 Re: Super Bowl LIII Open Discussion

Goff plays exceptionally better against man2man than zone.
This, along with a great DL that can stop NE play action
(GOAT underrated play action faker) & a Rams run game
that *could* control the outcome of this game (by keeping
Brady on sidelines)...well, I think Rams will win but I'm
cheering for NE-just an amazing run we're living thru, to have
this much success in the FA day & age...they win by mentally
beating you. Brady demands you read the D like he reads them &
react accordingly...great receiving RB's....Bilicheck takes care of
NE defense by hiding alot of incompetence wi/exceptional DB's who
win the 1-on-1 wars + tremendous concepts re: rushing/blitzing.
Its a 1-2 pt spread for good reason :)

Rams 33-27

2 Re: Super Bowl LIII Open Discussion

Seems reasonable. I see it as a toss up, and make no predictions.

I never get the “keeping Brady on the sidelines” concept. Teams have alternating drives. Using a lot of clock reduces the drive count, which only helps if you’re the weaker team hoping for a lucky break. What helps is being able to play both fast and slow tempo with good efficiency. That can get you an extra drive through clock management near the end of each half.

Enjoy the game, folks. It should be a good one.

3 Re: Super Bowl LIII Open Discussion

It's on Donald and Suh to win this game for the Rams, even if their tackle/sack totals aren't huge. It wouldn't be too smart to bet against Dante's Inferno (i know that makes no sense, but what the hell; it's the last game for 7 months) at this point, but it would be great to see Super Bowl MVP voters recognize an interior lineman.

I know, I know, I need to start using less exotic mushrooms in my Sunday morming omelettes......

4 Re: Super Bowl LIII Open Discussion

Two or all three ofbtheseguys must have good games for Rams to win- Fowler, Suh, Donald. Think they will so will pick Rams 26, Pates 23

Would be shocked if game isnt colse. Obviously, if thinking this eay, then can easily see Pates being tema tjhat does sonmethinf gerat at end of game and theu cluld be team winnijg 29 to 26 or somethinf.

Will possibly have soem sort of ramen soup today form health aisle in Stop & Shop.

8 Re: Super Bowl LIII Open Discussion

It's the classic case of the better team (Rams) vs. the hotter team (Pats), and I have no idea who's going to win. But I always make a SB prediction, so I'll just go with the Vegas "prediction" and say:

Pats 30, Rams 27

12 Re: Super Bowl LIII Open Discussion

"Must be a close good game no doubt."

Nah. We've had too many close Super Bowls recently. We're due for a blow out. (I'm sure that's how dice work, right?)

Pats 42 - Rams 4

(Donald wins MVP for his two safeties in a losing cause).

13 Re: Super Bowl LIII Open Discussion

That'd be fun.
Actually think Fowler can have a really good game. He has been really good in the last few games I saw him play.

The only way to beat Brady is by changing your coverage a lot, change your game plan mid-game and never ever be predictable.
The Rams have Talib who can play any coverage... so this could turn out to be a rough game for Brady.

15 Re: Super Bowl LIII Open Discussion

No idea what to expect in this one. My only “prediction” is the list of following general outcomes in decreasing order of probability:
1) tight LAR win
small gap
2) tight NE win
small gap
3) LAR blowout
big gap
4) NE blowout

16 Re: Super Bowl LIII Open Discussion

I'm hoping for a good game, but don't care who wins. Tired of Patriots and Brady, but don't hate them like some folks do. Don't want Rams to win after Kroenke screwed over the city I've lived in for most of the last 31 years. I have a hard time believing the Pats will lose if it's close.

Pats 30 Rams 26

17 Re: Super Bowl LIII Open Discussion

I see a Patriots blowout. They get off to a fast start, then coast. 38-23. God help the Rams if they win the toss and defer. 6 minutes later it will be 7-0.

19 Re: Super Bowl LIII Open Discussion

I see 3 battles that will determine the outcome:

- will NE continue to dominate with their runblocking
- will LA get pressure on Brady early and consistently
- will Goff make the tough throws

Don't think it will a close game until either team goes 2019 pass-happy and then the leader will have a couple chances to ice things.

My gut says NE will win 2 or 3 of the 3 battles throughout and be up 10+ most of the game but in today's NFL a lot can happen in 10 minutes.

21 Re: Super Bowl LIII Open Discussion

Patriots 38, Rams 27, with the game a one-score affair until a very late Patriots FG to ice it.

23 Re: Super Bowl LIII Open Discussion

So I see that their are no odds on the McCourty brothers sharing the MVP award

What are the chances the NFL capitalized on that

29 Re: Super Bowl LIII Open Discussion

i see that new england is already getting bailed out by the refs, and the game barely just started

48 Re: Super Bowl LIII Open Discussion

I hope Hot Wheels makes one of that Peanut van. I already have the Weinermobile in my collection…