Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Aaron Schatz's blog

2008 Postseason DVOA II

Does the Giants appearance in the NFC Championship game prove their mediocre regular-season DVOA was an error? No. Have we ever seen a team turn things around in the playoffs like this? Yes. Plus: The Patriots re-establish their dominance over the rest of the NFL.

111 comments, Last at 18 Jan 2008, 2:26am by terry

2007 Quick Reads: Week 19

For the first time since at least 1996, all eight quarterbacks had above-average performances during one four-game playoff weekend. One reason is the thing you only saw in Green Bay. Learn more at Quick Reads.

58 comments, Last at 17 Jan 2008, 11:35am by Travis

2008 AFC Divisional Round Preview

Our AFC preview tries to figure out whether the Jaguars and Chargers can do anything to prevent yet another sanity-destroying Pats-Colts hypefest. Answer: Probably not. Plus, a long discussion of teams that either improved or declined significantly at midseason.

100 comments, Last at 14 Jan 2008, 10:48am by Brett

2008 NFC Divisional Round Preview

The Packers and Seahawks know each other well because of their similarities. The Cowboys and Giants know each other well because of their division rivalry. Who moves on to the NFC Championship? It all may depend on injuries and hot pants. Plus: Jason Beattie's latest cartoon!

56 comments, Last at 14 Jan 2008, 5:41pm by Jacob Stevens

ESPN Numbers Crunching: Divisional Round

Here's your heavy helping of Football Outsiders hardcore stats for this weekend's four games. No disrespect is meant to Giants and Cowboys fans because their section is shorter -- I just couldn't find as much compelling Giants/Cowboys material. As for the other three matchups, believe me, there's plenty of stuff still left over for the FO previews. Thanks to Doug Farrar for helping me to put a few of these together.

11 comments, Last at 11 Jan 2008, 6:55pm by PatsFan

Foes at a Loss vs. Moss

Sort of a companion piece to Mike Tanier's Too Deep Zone today: Lito Sheppard, Will Allen, and Jabari Greer discuss the strategies they used to try to contain Randy Moss when they had to cover him during the regular season.

29 comments, Last at 13 Jan 2008, 3:58pm by Tom D (formerly just Tom)

Geek's Guide to the NFL Playoffs

Seriously, I'm everywhere this week. Maybe I'll put an addition on the house or something. Here's the first two parts of a playoff dialogue between myself and K.C. Joyner. Think of this as the intelligent antidote to all the phenomenally stupid playoff previews that say Team X will beat Team Y because they "have swagger" and "feel disrespected."

61 comments, Last at 03 Feb 2008, 12:06am by Andrew

Josh Brown to Wear Heated Pants

Worldwide Pants: The world leader in pants, and entertainment, and pants.

38 comments, Last at 12 Jan 2008, 9:45pm by zlionsfan

Bill Simmons Podcast for Divisional Round

Time for another edition of the Bill Simmons podcast on, featuring football talk with all of Bill's friends and... me. I'm like an honorary Friend of Bill Simmons! This week's "mistake I didn't realize until later" is identifying the Green Bay nickel back as Patrick Dendy (last year's guy) instead of Jarrod Bush. Podcast is in the top right of the Sports Guy page (linked) and I think I'm second up this time, not first.

13 comments, Last at 11 Jan 2008, 3:33pm by Mystyc

DVOA on AOL: Week 18

Here are this week's AOL power rankings, powered by DVOA, with some nice little statistical tidbits and, for some reason, all the 20 teams that didn't make the playoffs still left on the page.

4 comments, Last at 10 Jan 2008, 9:00pm by brian c