The season is six weeks old, and there are many undefeated programs eagerly anticipating the announcement of the initial BCS standings next week. The pecking order at the top will be all about the BCS championship game, but there are several other teams with a blemish or two on the record that can still make a strong run to the finish.
We ran retrodictive projections of Texas A&M against every SEC schedule, and found that even the strongest Aggies teams would be likely to win one fewer game per year in their new conference than they would in the Big 12.
5 comments, Last at 05 Oct 2011, 12:11am by dub_rex
Alabama took care of business in impressive fashion against Arkansas, but now have to turn around and face a similarly formidable opponent on the road one week later. Which of the national championship contenders face the toughest consecutive game stretch this season?
Several of today's biggest games are interesting case studies in elite offenses versus elite defenses. Which team has the edge in those cases in the past, and what might those results tell us about OSU-A&M, Alabama-Arkansas, and WVU-LSU on Saturday?
College football red zone success rates get a thorough review and overhaul in a new ESPN the Magazine article by Brian Fremeau. Introducing the Value Drive, a new stat that correlates better with winning percentage than red zone success and has less variability per team from year to year.