Stat Analysis

Advanced analytics on player and team performance

Stat Analysis

Carson Wentz and the ACL Return Timetable
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Carson Wentz and the ACL Return Timetable

Carson Wentz may not be ready for Week 1 after tearing his ACL in Week 14 last year. We look through our injury database to see just what a reasonable timetable of return is for one of the game's most serious injuries. Also: how have the other 2017 starters with torn ACLs been used this preseason?

8 comments, Last at 02 Sep 2018, 6:55am by fyo
Lamar Jackson Part II: Deterring Man Cover-2
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Lamar Jackson Part II: Deterring Man Cover-2

In the second part of his look at scrambling quarterbacks, guest columnist Keegan Abdoo shows how Lamar Jackson and similar mobile quarterbacks can limit the playbooks of opposing defensive coordinators.

 Lamar Jackson Part I: The Joy of Scrambles
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Lamar Jackson Part I: The Joy of Scrambles

What kind of impact does a running quarterback like Lamar Jackson have, and how does that change between NCAA and NFL football? Guest columnist Keegan Abdoo starts to answer those questions by looking at what coverage schemes are most vulnerable to scrambles in college and the pros.

6 comments, Last at 03 Sep 2018, 3:55pm by njgiants333
2017 DVOA by Routes: Defense
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2017 DVOA by Routes: Defense

On which route did Jalen Ramsey make quarterbacks look trashiest? How good were the Super Bowl champion Eagles? Also: major déjà vu for New England, and a look at the trade-off between touchdowns and interceptions for each route.

5 comments, Last at 28 Aug 2018, 1:38pm by Zach Jackson
2017 DVOA by Routes: Quarterbacks
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2017 DVOA by Routes: Quarterbacks

Why isn't there more route variation for Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay? Was Eli Manning still washed up on the most common routes in 2017? And we offer solutions for Jameis Winston's vertical woes and the right kind of fade for Derek Carr.

3 comments, Last at 04 Sep 2018, 9:13pm by greybeard
2017 DVOA by Routes: Receivers
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2017 DVOA by Routes: Receivers

Our intro to DVOA by routes focuses on receivers. Which wideout was the best at the game's two most common routes? Also: an argument in favor of the fade, how the Dolphins should replace Jarvis Landry's screens, and T.Y. Hilton's wacky 2017.

4 comments, Last at 19 Aug 2018, 4:09am by Theo
FO Mailbag: Does Defense Dip Down in December?
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FO Mailbag: Does Defense Dip Down in December?

A question from a reader has us diving into week-by-week DVOA splits, looking at how both run and pass defense change over the course of the year. Is wear and tear to blame for defensive declines, or does Old Man Winter have something to say?

14 comments, Last at 14 Aug 2018, 12:54pm by crw78
2017 Slot vs. Wide: Defense
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2017 Slot vs. Wide: Defense

The Jaguars went from last to first in DVOA on wide targets after adding A.J. Bouye. How will other teams fare in 2018 after the movements of Richard Sherman, Patrick Robinson, and Tyrann Mathieu?

Predicting the 2019 Hall of Fame Class
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Predicting the 2019 Hall of Fame Class

Our 2019 Pro Football Hall of Fame predictions find three first-ballot locks. Is Tony Gonzalez the greatest tight end of all time? Also: Ed Reed's brilliance, a crazy trade for a running back, and what do we do about London Fletcher and Asante Samuel?

40 comments, Last at 09 Aug 2018, 1:29pm by Steve B
2017 Slot vs. Wide: RBs and TEs
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2017 Slot vs. Wide: RBs and TEs

Can Saquon Barkley diversify the New York offense? Is Le'Veon Bell really that unique of an offensive weapon? Just how great was Rob Gronkowski again, and how badly did Dallas misuse Jason Witten?

5 comments, Last at 02 Aug 2018, 8:59pm by LionInAZ