Jerry Jeudy and the Best Games of 2022

Denver Broncos WR Jerry Jeudy
Denver Broncos WR Jerry Jeudy
Photo: USA Today Sports Images

NFL Week 18 - With the 2022 regular season over, it's time to look back at the best and worst games of the year, with full-strength final opponent adjustments. Later this week, I'll be back with a rundown of the best and worst players of the season by DYAR, rather than analysis of Week 18.

Quarterbacks

Best Games

Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs had the two best games of the year: one against the eventual NFC West champions, the San Francisco 49ers, and one against the last-place Arizona Cardinals. His combined numbers in those two blowout wins: 55-of-73 (75.3%), 783 yards (10.7 yards per throw), eight touchdowns, one interception, and one sack.

The next best game goes to the Cleveland Browns and the notorious quarterback they infamously acquired over the offseason … wait, I'm being told that Jacoby Brissett is a journeyman veteran who had several productive outings while the notorious quarterback Cleveland infamously acquired over the offseason didn't accomplish anything of note. Regardless, Brissett threw for 324 yards and three touchdowns against Buffalo without an interception, the only player to throw for three scores against the Bills all year.

Our list is rounded out by Trevor Lawrence's 368-yard, three touchdown game against Tennessee, without which they would not have won the AFC South, and Joe Burrow's 481-yard, three touchdown game against Atlanta, which ultimately didn't mean a ton.

Worst Games

I'm sorry, Colts fans, but it's objectively funny that three different Indianapolis quarterbacks made this list for three different games. We talked about that a little bit more last week, and we'll talk about it more in our Year in Review article. For now, we'll note that these three games, in ascending order of suck, were Sam Ehlinger's nine-sack outing against New England; Matt Ryan's three-interception, five-sack game against Jacksonville that preceded his benching and Ehlinger's arrival in the starting lineup in the first place; and Nick Foles' three-interception, seven-sack day against the Chargers.

Elsewhere, the Chicago Bears have the No. 1 pick in the 2023 draft, and they may well use it to replace Justin Fields, who had seven completions to go with seven sacks against Detroit. As for the Houston Texans, the team that came oh-so-close to getting that first draft pick themselves, I had completely forgotten that Kyle Allen started a pair of games for them this year. Both were terrible, especially his two-interception, five-sack day against Miami.

Running Backs

Best Games

The runaway winner here, obviously, was Joe Mixon of the Cincinnati Bengals, who had 211 yards from scrimmage and five total touchdowns against the Carolina Panthers. This was the best running back game since 2006, when Indianapolis' Joseph Addai had 145 total DYAR on 208 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns against Philadelphia. It was also the third-best running back game since 1981, behind only Addai and Priest Holmes, who had 152 DYAR on 307 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns against Seattle in 2005.

The other names here had barely half of Mixon's DYAR total, but we will note that Cam Akers of the Los Angeles Rams had 147 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns against the Broncos on Christmas Day; Aaron Jones of the Green Bay Packers had 170 and two against the Bears; Josh Jacobs of the Las Vegas Raiders had 155 and three against the Texans; and Derrick Henry of the Tennessee Titans had 132 and two against the Commanders.

Worst Games

Our worst game here was a special kind of terrible. Dalvin Cook of the Minnesota Vikings ran 15 times for only 23 yards against the Lions, losing 33 DYAR as a rusher. He caught one of two passes for 13 yards, gaining 6 DYAR as a receiver. And he was sacked on a trick play, fumbling the ball away to Detroit at the goal line, losing 43 DYAR as a passer. That's a total of -70 DYAR, only the 28th game on record to hit that mark. By that standard, Rhamondre Stevenson's 33 yards from scrimmage with a pair of fumbles against the Bengals looks … well, still pretty awful, to be honest.

Other lowlights this year included Kenyan Drake of the Baltimore Ravens running 11 times for only 5 yards (no, we did not flip those numbers) against Cleveland, Derrick Henry's 80 yards from scrimmage with a fumble against the Giants, and Jonathan Taylor's 94 yards from scrimmage with a fumble against Philadelphia.

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends

Best Games

Most of these are pretty self-explanatory. Mike Evans of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers had 10 catches for 207 yards and three touchdowns against the Panthers. Justin Jefferson of the Minnesota Vikings went 9-184-2 against the Packers; Tyreek Hill of the Miami Dolphins, 7-143-1 against the Bears; and Amon-Ra St. Brown of the Detroit Lions, 11-114-2 against the Jaguars.

Jerry Jeudy's big day against the Chargers on Sunday requires a little further explanation. The Denver Broncos star gets 53 DYAR as a receiver for catching five of six passes for 154 yards, and 24 more DYAR for gaining 39 yards on three carries. That's an awfully big day for a wideout, even though he didn't score a touchdown.

Worst Games

With the Texans and Colts and Bears constantly throwing up all over themselves, the Arizona Cardinals kind of flew under the radar this year, but they had their share of problems too, with two different receivers having the worst games of the year in back-to-back weeks late in the season. First it was DeAndre Hopkins, who had 10 targets against Tampa Bay, catching one for only 4 yards. A week later, Greg Dortch caught four passes in 10 targets, but only gained 15 yards.

The New England Patriots' loss to the Raiders will always be remembered for Jakobi Meyers' game-losing lateral attempt to Mac Jones, recovered by Las Vegas and returned for a touchdown, but let's not overlook Nelson Agholor turning six targets into one catch for 3 yards that same afternoon. And way back in Week 1, Diontae Johnson of the Pittsburgh Steelers turned 12 targets into seven catches for only 55 yards, with a fumble.

DJ Moore's seven-target, three-catch, 7-yard game against the Rams in Week 6 was not originally listed in Quick Reads; the worst game listed that week was Romeo Doubs' four-catch, 21-yard outing against the Jets. But since we now know that the Jets' defense was awfully good, Doubs gains enough DYAR due to opponent adjustments to climb out of the bottom five. Congrats, Romeo!

Week 18 DYAR

Quarterbacks
Rk
Player
Team
CP/AT
Yds
TD
INT
Sacks
Total
DYAR
Pass
DYAR
Rush
DYAR
Opp
1.
Justin Herbert LAC
25/37
273
2
0
1
140
152
-12
DEN
2.
Kirk Cousins MIN
17/20
225
1
0
0
125
125
0
CHI
3.
Josh Allen BUF
19/31
254
3
1
2
90
83
7
NE
4.
Brock Purdy SF
15/20
178
3
0
4
76
97
-21
ARI
5.
Davis Webb NYG
24/40
168
1
0
0
61
41
19
PHI
6.
Jared Goff DET
23/34
224
0
0
1
48
48
-1
GB
7.
Davis Mills HOU
22/38
298
3
2
1
44
45
-1
IND
8.
Aaron Rodgers GB
17/27
205
1
1
2
40
44
-4
DET
9.
Kenny Pickett PIT
13/29
195
1
0
1
40
70
-30
CLE
10.
Desmond Ridder ATL
20/30
224
2
0
2
39
45
-6
TB
11.
Trevor Lawrence JAX
20/32
212
1
0
1
38
51
-13
TEN
12.
Mac Jones NE
26/40
243
3
3
1
28
24
4
BUF
Rk
Player
Team
CP/AT
Yds
TD
INT
Sacks
Total
DYAR
Pass
DYAR
Rush
DYAR
Opp
13.
Andy Dalton NO
15/25
171
1
0
1
23
21
2
CAR
14.
Sam Howell WAS
11/19
169
1
1
3
16
-11
27
DAL
15.
Russell Wilson DEN
13/24
283
3
1
2
16
37
-22
LAC
16.
Nathan Peterman CHI
11/19
114
1
0
1
16
18
-2
MIN
17.
Tom Brady TB
13/17
84
1
0
0
14
14
0
ATL
18.
Skylar Thompson MIA
20/31
152
0
0
1
7
12
-6
NYJ
19.
Nick Mullens MIN
11/13
116
0
1
0
5
21
-15
CHI
20.
Joe Flacco NYJ
19/33
149
0
0
0
2
2
0
MIA
21.
Blaine Gabbert TB
6/8
29
1
0
0
-6
-6
0
ATL
22.
Patrick Mahomes KC
18/26
202
1
0
2
-17
-25
8
LV
Rk
Player
Team
CP/AT
Yds
TD
INT
Sacks
Total
DYAR
Pass
DYAR
Rush
DYAR
Opp
23.
Tim Boyle CHI
2/8
33
0
2
0
-22
-22
0
MIN
24.
Joshua Dobbs TEN
20/29
179
1
1
4
-24
-40
16
JAX
25.
Geno Smith SEA
19/30
213
1
2
3
-28
-51
23
LAR
26.
Joe Burrow CIN
25/42
215
1
0
2
-32
-30
-2
BAL
27.
David Blough ARI
14/18
180
1
2
3
-35
-24
-11
SF
28.
Kyle Trask TB
3/9
23
0
0
0
-42
-42
0
ATL
29.
Jarrett Stidham LV
23/36
219
1
1
6
-46
-66
20
KC
30.
Trace McSorley ARI
6/9
29
0
1
0
-52
-54
2
SF
31.
Deshaun Watson CLE
19/28
230
2
2
7
-59
-59
1
PIT
32.
Jalen Hurts PHI
20/35
229
0
1
3
-62
-59
-2
NYG
33.
Anthony Brown BAL
19/42
286
0
2
4
-70
-70
0
CIN
34.
Baker Mayfield LAR
13/26
147
0
1
5
-76
-70
-6
SEA
35.
Sam Ehlinger IND
23/35
208
2
2
2
-84
-64
-20
HOU
36.
Dak Prescott DAL
14/37
128
1
1
1
-99
-94
-5
WAS
37.
Sam Darnold CAR
5/15
43
0
2
2
-128
-108
-20
NO
Five Best Running Backs by DYAR (Total)
Rk
Player
Team
Runs
Rush
Yds
Rush
TD
Rec
Rec
Yds
Rec
TD
Total
DYAR
Rush
DYAR
Rec
DYAR
Opp
1.
Nick Chubb CLE
12
77
0
5/6
45
1
48
35
14
PIT
2.
Alexander Mattison MIN
10
54
2
1/1
6
0
47
43
3
CHI
3.
Tyler Allgeier ATL
24
135
0
0/0
0
0
39
39
0
TB
4.
Elijah Mitchell SF
5
55
2
0/0
0
0
38
38
0
ARI
5.
Deon Jackson IND
8
35
0
6/8
75
0
32
-3
35
HOU
Five Best Running Backs by DYAR (Rushing)
Rk
Player
Team
Runs
Rush
Yds
Rush
TD
Rec
Rec
Yds
Rec
TD
Total
DYAR
Rush
DYAR
Rec
DYAR
Opp
1.
Alexander Mattison MIN
10
54
2
1/1
6
0
47
43
3
CHI
2.
Tyler Allgeier ATL
24
135
0
0/0
0
0
39
39
0
TB
3.
Elijah Mitchell SF
5
55
2
0/0
0
0
38
38
0
ARI
4.
Nick Chubb CLE
12
77
0
5/6
45
1
48
35
14
PIT
5.
Isaih Pacheco KC
8
64
1
0/0
0
0
26
26
0
LV
Worst Running Back by DYAR (Total/Rushing)
Rk
Player
Team
Runs
Rush
Yds
Rush
TD
Rec
Rec
Yds
Rec
TD
Total
DYAR
Rush
DYAR
Rec
DYAR
Opp
1.
Dalvin Cook MIN
11
37
0
1/1
0
0
-39
-33
-6
CHI
Five Best Wide Receivers and Tight Ends by DYAR
Rk
Player
Team
Rec
Att
Yds
Avg
TD
Total
DYAR
Opp
1.
Jerry Jeudy DEN
5
6
154
30.8
0
77
LAC
2.
Keenan Allen LAC
8
11
102
12.8
2
63
DEN
3.
Brandin Cooks HOU
5
6
106
21.2
1
57
IND
4.
Christian Watson GB
5
6
104
20.8
0
48
DET
5.
DeVante Parker NE
6
7
79
13.2
2
48
BUF
Worst Wide Receiver or Tight End by DYAR
Rk
Player
Team
Rec
Att
Yds
Avg
TD
Total
DYAR
Opp
1.
Chris Olave NO
5
12
60
12.0
1
-41
CAR

Comments

28 comments, Last at 10 Jan 2023, 11:12am

#1 by HitchikersPie // Jan 09, 2023 - 9:54am

In the Jerry Jeudy section you have him down as a rusher twice, when the first instance should probably be as a receiver

Points: 1

#6 by BlueStarDude // Jan 09, 2023 - 11:34am

Vince — Also in the WR section: "Tyreek Hill of the Kansas City Chiefs"

Points: 4

#2 by Aaron Brooks G… // Jan 09, 2023 - 10:18am

The Denver Broncos star gets 53 DYAR as a rusher for catching five of six passes for 154 yards, and 24 more DYAR for gaining 39 yards on three carries. 

This statement requires some clarification.

Points: 0

#3 by andrew // Jan 09, 2023 - 10:31am

The Vikings present A Tale of Two Running Backs:

It was the best of Rushing DYARs, It was the worst of Rushing DYARs, it was the age of success, it was the age of failure, it was the epoch of conventional wisdom, it was the epoch of analytics, it was the season of daylight, it was the season of night, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we had nothing before us, we were all going direct to the Superbowl, we were all going direct to an early exit.

Points: 1

#4 by Aaron Brooks G… // Jan 09, 2023 - 10:50am

Cook has always been up and down, but his snap count % suggests he's been playing hurt the last couple of weeks.

Points: 0

#5 by andrew // Jan 09, 2023 - 11:02am

He's more of a homerun threat than Mattison, and has had some big plays this season... but I'd be kind of surprised if the Vikings keep him going into next season.   They won't keep both and Mattison has been more reliable down the stretch, whether becuase he is fresher or not injured or what have you, but he should be cheaper.

Points: 0

#7 by BlueStarDude // Jan 09, 2023 - 11:38am

After the Green Bay game I said that was about as good as you could hope for Dak in a cold weather game. Yesterday we got to see his more typical cold weather performance. 

I would love for someone to go back and research my anecdotal evidence—I mean, I know Dak is an inconsistent performer anyway, but I don't know that I recall a QB capable, at times, of such good play, who is so affected not just by bad weather but by any sub 50- or maybe even sub 60-degree weather.

Points: 0

#8 by Aaron Brooks G… // Jan 09, 2023 - 12:01pm

The problem is that cold weather games occur at the end of seasons, and so Dak's cold weather performance gets mingled in with the run of the mill Cowboys choking in any sort of pressure experience.

Points: 2

#20 by BlueStarDude // Jan 09, 2023 - 3:52pm

It could, but take this season for instance, Dak basically only had two cold weather games — he struggled a bit in other games of course (especially week 1 with no pre-season action under his belt), but I'd say his two worst outings were in Green Bay and Washington.

PFR ran a post during Romo's time where it showed, IIRC, that basically all Dallas QBs have worse numbers from December on, but Dak very specifically—in my memory at least—always does worse (than whatever he is playing at) in cold or bad weather.

Points: 0

#9 by Big_Chief // Jan 09, 2023 - 12:21pm

In your write up you wrote "Tyreek Hill of the Kansas City Chiefs, 7-143-1 against the Bears."  Since this is about this season I'm sure you meant to say the Dolphins.

Points: 0

#11 by Ben // Jan 09, 2023 - 1:58pm

While Ryan, Foles, and Ehlinger were bad. Having all three of them on the worst game list points to issues beyond just bad QB play (e.g. no blocking and no receivers open). 

Points: 3

#12 by KnotMe // Jan 09, 2023 - 2:49pm

Ryan is toast, so is Foles, Ehlinger is a 6th rounder who...looked like a typical 6th rounder. When you throw in a late round QB it's usually not Purdy. 

Points: 3

#16 by Ben // Jan 09, 2023 - 3:13pm

If they were just regular, run of the mill bad, I’d agree. But 3 of the 5 worst QB games out of 270ish in the season? That points to systemic problems in my mind. 

Having masochistically watched a lot of those snaps, I’d argue the problems started up front. The o-line was a disaster at the beginning of the season. By the end of the season, I’d say they had improved to “run-of-the-mill bad”. Even when the QBs had a decent pocket and a few seconds, they rarely found anyone open. I don’t recall them routinely missing open receivers. The nobody being open problem seemed to be both a receiver skill and an offensive scheme problem. I’m not football-smart enough to be able to distribute the blame between those two issues though. 

Points: 4

#22 by rh1no // Jan 09, 2023 - 4:38pm

Purdy is successful at least in part because he has a brilliant coach who is designing game plans to play to his strengths. He also has incredible supporting talent in the backfield and in his receiver corps, and a stout defense that gives him good field position and helps protect any lead the offense can build.

Put Matt Ryan, Nick Foles, or Sam Ehlinger in San Francisco and what do you think happens? I doubt that any of them would be as good as Purdy, but it's unlikely any of them would be as bad as they are in Indianapolis.

Points: 7

#13 by dmstorm22 // Jan 09, 2023 - 3:01pm

The Matt Ryan bad game wasn't the one that got him benched. He started (and won) the next week against the Chiefs.

Points: 0

#14 by Vincent Verhei // Jan 09, 2023 - 3:03pm

All errors about Tyreek Hill's current employers, Jerry Jeudy's rushing/receiving splits, and Matt Ryan's bad game have been fixed/clarified. 

Points: 3

#15 by big10freak // Jan 09, 2023 - 3:10pm

Romeo Doubs is not on the list but his drop on what was 12’s best throw of the night was brutal.  Just a killer especially the context of the moment. 
 

 

Points: 0

#18 by Aaron Brooks G… // Jan 09, 2023 - 3:17pm

Did that pass hit the DB or not? The commentators weren't sure and the replay went by too fast to tell.

Points: 0

#19 by big10freak // Jan 09, 2023 - 3:32pm

Every post game comment I have seen said Doubs just missed it.  He said he was surprised that the ball was thrown to him

 

This has been a comment from all the rookie receivers  Only Watson has adjusted that even if they consider themselves covered 12 might throw the ball

Points: 0

#21 by Aaron Brooks G… // Jan 09, 2023 - 3:57pm

You get more time to look back for the ball when you're just running go-routes.

Points: 0

#23 by Kahoutek // Jan 09, 2023 - 6:33pm

Not surprised that Josh Jacobs had one of the best run games of the year.  But I thought it would have been his Week 12 performance against the Seahawks, 229 rushing yards and 74 yards receiving with 2 TDs (and the winning TD in overtime).  

Points: 0

#24 by Vincent Verhei // Jan 09, 2023 - 8:38pm

We wrote about in detail at the time. The short answer: He had three or four monster plays, but dozens (literally, dozens) that were nothing special or actively bad.

https://www.footballoutsiders.com/quick-reads/2022/josh-jacobs-jewel-2023-free-agent-class

Points: 1

#25 by mansteel // Jan 09, 2023 - 10:39pm

Nathan Peterman 16th! And sacked only once. Maybe the Bears' o-line is working with Matt Nagy and Ryan Pace to actively sabotage Justin Fields.

Points: -1

#26 by mansteel // Jan 09, 2023 - 10:41pm

How the heck is Davis Webb 5th with that stat line (4.2 ypa on 40 passes)? Is the Eagles D that good?

Points: 0

#27 by Vincent Verhei // Jan 10, 2023 - 7:29am

Yes they are. No. 1 in pass defense DVOA. Webb had 60 DYAR, but gained 55 DYAR due to opponent adjustments. Also, opponent adjustments are cumulative, so they'll rack up quickly over 40 plays. 

Points: 0

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