Stat Analysis

Advanced analytics on player and team performance

Stat Analysis

Hope For Jared Goff?
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Hope For Jared Goff?

After a disastrous rookie campaign, is there hope the Rams quarterback can turn his career around? Guest columnist Damon Gulczynski pores through the FO database in search of other passers who struggled out of the gate before finding success down the line.

35 comments, Last at 28 May 2017, 11:19pm by Vincent Verhei
Snap-Weighted Age: 2016 NFL Rosters
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Snap-Weighted Age: 2016 NFL Rosters

The Saints were 2016's oldest team, and the Rams were once again the youngest. Are more rookies starting than ever before in the NFL? 2016 was the youngest season we have tracked yet.

5 comments, Last at 24 Apr 2017, 12:08am by LionInAZ
NFL Head Coaches: Adjusted Games Lost
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NFL Head Coaches: Adjusted Games Lost

Which head coaches have had the most injured rosters since 2002? The healthiest? We look at 15 years of adjusted games lost data to find the answer, and to see if injuries really are a good explanation for a bad season.

18 comments, Last at 23 Apr 2017, 2:22am by LionInAZ
Presenting Adjusted Pythagorean Theorem
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Presenting Adjusted Pythagorean Theorem

Guest writer Brett Lieblich asks if we can we make Pythagorean wins more accurate by removing garbage-time scores. The results suggest a little less optimism for the Steelers in 2017, and a bit more for the Seahawks.

10 comments, Last at 21 Apr 2018, 12:50pm by medelste
2016 Adjusted Games Lost by Unit
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2016 Adjusted Games Lost by Unit

Breaking down adjusted games lost by unit shows a rough year for Kansas City's front seven, and the Vikings battled with the Bears for the title of "This Century's Most Injured Offense."

14 comments, Last at 18 Apr 2017, 1:39pm by Scott Kacsmar
2016 Adjusted Games Lost
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2016 Adjusted Games Lost

The 2016 season featured the most injured team ever in our database, and another healthy Jeff Fisher squad that underachieved. We also look at the impact of the NFL removing "probable" from the game reports.

13 comments, Last at 17 Apr 2017, 2:46pm by Scott C
Offensive Line Continuity Scores 2016
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Offensive Line Continuity Scores 2016

In a year when chaos was the only constant on offensive lines across the league, Atlanta's ummatched stability was the key to a Super Bowl run.

12 comments, Last at 11 Apr 2017, 9:33pm by Bobman
Fact Check: QB Injury Numbers
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Fact Check: QB Injury Numbers

Some media outlets are reporting that quarterback injuries were way down in 2016. Our numbers say that just isn't the case.

14 comments, Last at 07 Apr 2017, 6:01pm by Tomlin_Is_Infallible
2017 Free Agency Cost-Benefit Analysis
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2017 Free Agency Cost-Benefit Analysis

It's a year of huge cornerback contracts, with A.J. Bouye and Stephon Gilmore breaking the bank. But will these big-money contracts, and the big-time gambles associated with them, pay off?

37 comments, Last at 15 Apr 2017, 8:32pm by kckolbe
A History of Undrafted NFL Quarterbacks
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A History of Undrafted NFL Quarterbacks

Given the historical success of undrafted quarterbacks in the NFL, Tony Romo might as well be a national treasure. We look at the impact of developmental leagues on undrafted quarterbacks, and just how many players have tried to break through in a recent season.

31 comments, Last at 20 Apr 2017, 5:26am by Winterguard78