Stat Analysis

Advanced analytics on player and team performance

Stat Analysis

The NFL's Four-Minute Offense Is the Prevent Offense
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

The NFL's Four-Minute Offense Is the Prevent Offense

Does the NFL have a four-minute offense that goes beyond "run, run, run, punt, hope you stop them"? Sadly, it doesn't look that way. Meet the NFL's version of the prevent offense.

40 comments, Last at 09 Apr 2014, 10:46pm by Karl Cuba
Factors: Kendall Wright
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Factors: Kendall Wright

Wright finished the season 47th in DYAR and 59th in DVOA. So, why does he actually look much better than his statistics come out when you watch him? In two words: quarterback play.

5 comments, Last at 04 Apr 2014, 6:29pm by LionInAZ
The Contract Year Phenomenon Revisited
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

The Contract Year Phenomenon Revisited

Is there any evidence of a contract year effect? Ben Singer builds on his old analysis with some new tools.

8 comments, Last at 02 Apr 2014, 12:59am by LionInAZ
2013 Adjusted Games Lost
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

2013 Adjusted Games Lost

For the third year in a row teams averaged the highest recorded rate of injuries to starters and key reserves in our AGL database. We look at the 2013 results along with the suspicious reporting tactics of teams like the Patriots and Jets.

13 comments, Last at 18 Nov 2014, 1:36pm by JohnnyZ
Failed Completions 2013
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Failed Completions 2013

Joe Flacco went from Super Bowl MVP to leading the NFL in failed completion rate. We look at the top teams, quarterbacks and receivers for failed completions in 2013.

56 comments, Last at 02 Apr 2014, 3:31pm by nat
Factors: T.Y. Hilton
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Factors: T.Y. Hilton

What exactly made T.Y. Hilton good last season? While you were reading this sentence he switched to second gear and was already eight yards past you.

4 comments, Last at 03 Apr 2014, 9:25pm by Bobman
SackSEER 2014
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

SackSEER 2014

SackSEER grades the 2014 class as a historically strong group of pass-rush prospects... but the player making the most history comes out as a disappointment.

34 comments, Last at 21 Mar 2014, 12:12pm by bhauck
Run Stop Rates 2013
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Run Stop Rates 2013

Some familiar names had strong years against the run in 2013, including a Pro Bowl strong safety about to sell his services to the highest bidder. Plus: This week's FO players for Madden 25 Ultimate Team.

18 comments, Last at 08 Mar 2014, 1:21pm by TomC
NFL's Short-Yardage Strategy: Hiding the Sneak?
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

NFL's Short-Yardage Strategy: Hiding the Sneak?

It's the era of the athletic quarterback, so why did teams turn away from the most efficient short-yardage strategy in 2013? The most dominant play in the NFL continues to see a decrease in usage.

25 comments, Last at 06 Mar 2014, 4:28am by ammek
NFL's Best Playoff Quarterbacks: DVOA and DYAR
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

NFL's Best Playoff Quarterbacks: DVOA and DYAR

Now with 25 years of data on DVOA and DYAR, who are the best quarterbacks in the postseason? Who plays the toughest teams? Also: Win Probability Added and why Mark Sanchez keeps ranking so highly.

102 comments, Last at 01 Jan 2015, 1:34pm by minja