Stat Analysis

Advanced analytics on player and team performance

Stat Analysis

NFL's Best Playoff Quarterbacks: DVOA and DYAR
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

NFL's Best Playoff Quarterbacks: DVOA and DYAR

Now with 25 years of data on DVOA and DYAR, who are the best quarterbacks in the postseason? Who plays the toughest teams? Also: Win Probability Added and why Mark Sanchez keeps ranking so highly.

102 comments, Last at 01 Jan 2015, 1:34pm by minja
Quarterback Postseason Drive Stats
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Quarterback Postseason Drive Stats

Full career playoff drive stats for 32 quarterbacks. Who averages the most points per drive? Who has been stuck with the worst field position? Also: drive stats preview for Super Bowl XLVIII.

35 comments, Last at 30 Jan 2014, 10:04pm by nat
How Should We Judge Quarterbacks in the Postseason?
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

How Should We Judge Quarterbacks in the Postseason?

Part I of a statistical study of NFL quarterbacks in the postseason. How should the quarterback be judged this time of year and why should anyone expect results against the best competition to be similar to the regular season?

87 comments, Last at 29 Jan 2014, 1:54pm by Scott Kacsmar
Secret Sauce Revisited
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Secret Sauce Revisited

After six years, we think it's high time to revisit Bill Barnwell's research on the regular-season DVOA splits that predict success in the playoffs. And while we're at it, we might as well see what the updated analysis says about this postseason.

144 comments, Last at 11 Jan 2014, 11:12pm by Overfitting
Recent NFL History of the No-Huddle Offense
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Recent NFL History of the No-Huddle Offense

A look at the recent statistical history of the hurry-up offense in the NFL. What can we learn about the past in the small sample sizes we have seen of the no-huddle's effect on the recent NFL?

15 comments, Last at 29 Dec 2015, 1:56pm by galaxyapple
QBs: Game-Winning Drive Study
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

QBs: Game-Winning Drive Study

Peyton Manning has 49 game-winning drives. Tom Brady has 37. Aaron Rodgers has nine. What does it all mean? Scott Kacsmar breaks down the game-winning drives for 22 active quarterbacks as only he can.

38 comments, Last at 29 Dec 2015, 1:47pm by galaxyapple
Trying to Improve Sack Rates
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Trying to Improve Sack Rates

Using the game charting project, we are able to adjust sack rate, but can we improve it to learn why a quarterback gets sacked?

10 comments, Last at 04 Sep 2013, 12:31pm by Ryan D.
NFL Stats Not Always on Target
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

NFL Stats Not Always on Target

There are more NFL stats and metrics than ever before, but when subjectivity enters into the method of calculation, we must show more caution in trusting the data.

20 comments, Last at 30 Aug 2013, 3:54pm by Will Allen
2013 KUBIAK vs. ADP: The Underrated
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

2013 KUBIAK vs. ADP: The Underrated

Our second post comparing 2013 KUBIAK to ADP finds the underrated players in fantasy football you should consider waiting on.

17 comments, Last at 28 Aug 2013, 8:40am by BJR
2013 KUBIAK vs. ADP: The Overrated
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

2013 KUBIAK vs. ADP: The Overrated

Part I of our look at KUBIAK rankings compared to ADP focuses on this year's overvalued players. From health scares to a steep learning curve for rookies, this is buyer's beware.

38 comments, Last at 23 Sep 2013, 4:12am by Movers Singapore