Stat Analysis

At Football Outsiders, we measure receivers based on what they do with the targets they get -- but what happens when you look at a receiver's ability to generate targets in the first place? And what does it tell us about Seahawks receiver Tyler Lockett?

The annual review of the best values in free agency has harsh words for John Lynch and high praise for some Fitzmagic.

The numbers are clear: deep throws on third-and-long are more effective than checkdowns. So why are coaches so reluctant to call for the long bomb?

Our statistical projections for edge rushers in this year's draft agree with the consensus that the talent pool at the position is deep, but are surprisingly pessimistic about Ohio State's Nick Bosa, expected to be the first pass-rusher off the board Thursday night. Who has the best statistical profile? That's a surprise too.

Sometimes statistical projections simply reinforce common consensus -- and sometimes they knock that consensus on its ear. Welcome to BackCAST's projections for 2019 running backs, where a likely Day 3 pick leads the way, and the scouts' favorites fare quite poorly.

The oldest team in the league ended up winning it all last year, but 2018 saw a significant breakdown in the relationship between age and success.

Marquise Brown -- top target for both Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray at Oklahoma -- is the top wide receiver prospect in this year's draft class ... which says a lot about how limited the prospects this year are.

While the Rams reached the Super Bowl thanks in large part to the perfect cohesion of their offensive line, their division rivals used as many starters as any team we've ever measured.

Guest columnists Jeremy Rosen and Alexandre Olbrecht return to see which quarterback prospects in 2019 had the best footwork, and why that can be a valuable tool in predicting NFL success.

2018 saw some record-breaking performances in the field of failed completions. Learn about Nick Foles: King of the Dink-and-Dunk; the golden arms of the Buccaneers quarterbacks; and the empty calories that comprised Stefon Diggs' statline.