Stat Analysis

Advanced analytics on player and team performance

Stat Analysis

Beating the NFL at Drafting QBs
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Beating the NFL at Drafting QBs

An alternative to QBASE: What if we told you that functional mobility was all you needed to predict the success of the top quarterback prospects? And that by one measure of that mobility, the top prospect in the class was USC's Sam Darnold?

25 comments, Last at 13 May 2018, 1:47pm by BigBlue6790
2017 Adjusted Games Lost: By Unit
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2017 Adjusted Games Lost: By Unit

Our breakdown of injuries by unit finds one team that has been hit hard at wide receiver and linebacker multiple times in recent years. Also: the Rams were very healthy across the board, and one hyped unit disappointed greatly despite great health.

6 comments, Last at 28 Mar 2018, 3:20pm by Scott Kacsmar
2017 Adjusted Games Lost
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2017 Adjusted Games Lost

Two NFC teams were hit hardest by injuries last year. One already set the AGL record in 2016, while the other has a coach with the worst AGL since 2002. Also: the Rams' incredible bill of health in L.A., and Tampa Bay's questionable injury reporting.

7 comments, Last at 26 Mar 2018, 5:49am by killwer
Defense and Rest Time
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Defense and Rest Time

Do defenses really wear out over the course of a game? Do defenses benefit from long drives that give them more time to rest on the sideline? Guest columnist Ben Baldwin investigates.

30 comments, Last at 23 Mar 2018, 3:23pm by Pat
Weight and Injuries
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Weight and Injuries

NFL football is a violent game, and traumatic injuries are unfortunate but unavoidable. But are bigger players more likely to be hurt than their smaller peers?

16 comments, Last at 21 Mar 2018, 12:03pm by justanothersteve
Situational Play-Action Passing in the NFL
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Situational Play-Action Passing in the NFL

What down and distance make the most sense for play-action passes? And does it matter whether the quarterback is under center or in the shotgun? Guest columnist Ben Baldwin explores.

10 comments, Last at 15 Mar 2018, 1:31pm by ChrisS
Speed Score 2018
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Speed Score 2018

Penn State's Saquon Barkley puts up the fourth-highest Speed Score of all time, and starts scouts a-drooling.

21 comments, Last at 11 Mar 2018, 4:43pm by CaffeineMan
2017 Adjusted Pythagorean Wins
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2017 Adjusted Pythagorean Wins

Blake Bortles made his name as the king of garbage time -- so it's ironic that if you take garbage time away, the Jacksonville Jaguars (and divisional rival Houston Texans) come out as two teams most likely to improve in 2018.

13 comments, Last at 06 Jul 2018, 10:47am by redsoxu571
Failed Completions 2017
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Failed Completions 2017

2017 was indeed The Year of the Failed Completion. This is the stat where Joe Flacco stands out, but not in a good way. Also: a most conservative rookie, weird splits for Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers, and more Jarvis Landry shortcomings.

19 comments, Last at 27 Feb 2018, 4:19pm by The Ninjalectual
Rushing Success and Play-Action Passing
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Rushing Success and Play-Action Passing

Conventional wisdom says you need a strong running game to get the most out of play-action passing. Guest columnist Ben Baldwin breaks down the numbers to find if that's really true.

31 comments, Last at 20 Feb 2018, 2:01pm by Pat