Stat Analysis

Advanced analytics on player and team performance

Introducing Snap-Weighted Size: Seahawks, Ravens Among Biggest Teams

Our first-ever look at the size of NFL rosters yields some surprising results. The Seattle Seahawks were very short last year, but still the biggest team in the league. The Vikings were the opposite, preferring tall, skinny players. And the 49ers were tiny despite all their fullbacks and tight ends.

May 19, 10:20 am ET
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May 19, 10:20 am ET
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Historical Aggressiveness Index, 1983-2020

A look at historical aggressiveness on fourth downs shows how much the league has changed since 2018. An all-time list including 131 different head coaches is topped by recent unsurprising names (Pederson, Nagy, Payton) and more surprising older names (Bruce Coslet! Jim Haslett!).

May 13, 9:44 am ET
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May 13, 9:44 am ET
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Aggressiveness Index 2020

Football analytics is slowly winning the battle over fourth downs, as 2020 was the most aggressive season in NFL history for go-for-it decisions. Thirty-three of 35 head coaches had an Aggressiveness Index above 1.0 last year! Find out who came out on top, with names both expected and unexpected.

May 11, 11:00 am ET
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May 11, 11:00 am ET
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Adjusted Interceptions 2020

Officially, Denver's Drew Lock and Philadelphia's Carson Wentz led the league in interceptions thrown last year, but one of them was much luckier than the other. Ben Roethlisberger, Nick Foles, and Tua Tagovailoa were also lucky, while fortune was not as kind to Russell Wilson and especially not to Kirk Cousins. We explain, and also wonder why defenders are dropping so many footballs these days.

May 10, 9:56 am ET
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May 10, 9:56 am ET
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Late-Game Strategy With the Lead

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated Green Bay in the playoffs thanks in part to a late third-down conversion on a passing play. It worked in that instance, but was it a wise call, or would they have been wiser to run the ball and kill clock? Guest columnist Cole Jacobson looks at end-game scenarios to determine when teams should hand the ball off and when they should air it out.

April 22, 12:09 pm ET
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April 22, 12:09 pm ET
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BackCAST 2021

Our running back projections agree with the conventional wisdom that Clemon's Travis Etienne and Alabama's Najee Harris are the top prospects in this year's draft. After that, however, things diverge quickly.

April 20, 10:20 am ET
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April 20, 10:20 am ET
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SackSEER 2021

Our edge rusher projection system is surprisingly pessimistic about Miami's Gregory Rousseau. Instead, it's his teammate Jaelan Phillips who comes out as our top prospect.

April 15, 10:50 am ET
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April 15, 10:50 am ET
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Playmaker Score 2021

Our projections for wide receivers in this year's draft must deal with a difficult question: how to account for a team's passing statistics when they have multiple draftable wideouts, such as Alabama's Jaylen Waddle and DeVonta Smith?

April 13, 10:21 am ET
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April 13, 10:21 am ET
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