Stat Analysis

Advanced analytics on player and team performance

Stat Analysis

2017 KUBIAK vs. ADP: The Overrated
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2017 KUBIAK vs. ADP: The Overrated

We're back again with our annual look at which players are going too high in fantasy drafts. The lesson this year: watch out for running backs who were not in the NFL last season.

11 comments, Last at 17 Aug 2017, 6:14pm by Tom Gower
DVOA by Routes: Defenses
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DVOA by Routes: Defenses

Our final part to the 2016 pass route study focuses on defenses. Which routes have the best trade-off between throwing touchdowns and limiting interceptions? We also offer some thoughts on the evolution and future of advanced stats analysis.

3 comments, Last at 04 Dec 2017, 8:08am by princemoga
DVOA by Routes: Quarterbacks
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DVOA by Routes: Quarterbacks

Part II of our route study looks at 2016 quarterbacks. Who threw the deepest digs and the shortest curl routes? Who was crazy enough to throw 42 go routes and 28 fades? We finally have data to answer these questions.

30 comments, Last at 14 Aug 2017, 1:31pm by ramirez
DVOA by Routes: Receivers
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DVOA by Routes: Receivers

Our first part of a study on DVOA by route types focuses on receivers. Which players were the most valuable on digs, slants, curls, and nine other routes? Also: is the WR screen bad for offense? And is Tavon Austin good at anything?

16 comments, Last at 17 Aug 2017, 3:02pm by jtr
Predicting the 2018 Pro Football Hall of Fame Class
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Predicting the 2018 Pro Football Hall of Fame Class

Our 2018 Pro Football Hall of Fame predictions look at the most decorated defender since 1986, the best WR since Jerry Rice, and the "other" middle linebacker. Also: poison pills, Terrell Owens' value, and the forgotten Patriot.

54 comments, Last at 10 Aug 2017, 3:20pm by Raiderjoe
Randy Moss: First-Ballot Hall of Famer
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Randy Moss: First-Ballot Hall of Famer

Would you bet on Randy Moss being a first-ballot Hall of Famer? Straight cash, homie. Alas, since he's a wide receiver, we have our doubts it will happen. But Moss left no doubts as to his greatness on the field. This is his HOF case.

45 comments, Last at 08 Aug 2017, 11:25am by MilkmanDanimal
Jarvis Landry's Value, Part II
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Jarvis Landry's Value, Part II

Our second look at Jarvis Landry's value examines the main reason his catches are lacking in value, and the new charting data that shows how Miami may not be using him properly.

8 comments, Last at 31 Jul 2017, 3:22pm by Scott Kacsmar
Jarvis Landry's Value, Part I
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Jarvis Landry's Value, Part I

Jarvis Landry is tied for the most catches (288) in NFL history thru three years, but why hasn't this translated into value for Miami's offense? What is his value compared to other No. 1 wideouts?

7 comments, Last at 02 May 2018, 3:10pm by Pappy13
2016 Slot vs. Wide: Defense
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2016 Slot vs. Wide: Defense

Our final part in looking at slot vs. wide targets focuses entirely on defenses. Which first-round rookie corners had tough times in 2016? Who was the weak link in Denver's No-Fly Zone? Also: the Falcons have a secondary to watch out for in 2017.

5 comments, Last at 31 Jul 2017, 11:51am by Tomlin_Is_Infallible
2016 Slot vs. Wide: RBs and TEs
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2016 Slot vs. Wide: RBs and TEs

Part II of our look at slot vs. wide targets focuses on running backs and tight ends. Was Le'Veon Bell used more diversely than David Johnson? Also: is there actually a stat where Rob Gronkowski ranked last among his peers?

7 comments, Last at 31 Jul 2017, 3:46pm by Scott Kacsmar