Innovative Statistics
Football Outsiders exclusive statistics

2018 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 1/7/19

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings. The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams. The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays). The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Last Wk Change S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Alabama SEC 14-1 52.8% 1 1 0 29.0 1 0.326 1
Clemson ACC 15-0 52.7% 2 3 1 28.6 2 0.311 2
Georgia SEC 11-3 51.5% 3 2 -1 25.1 3 0.262 3
Oklahoma Big 12 12-2 49.5% 4 4 0 22.0 4 0.218 5
Ohio State Big Ten 13-1 48.4% 5 8 3 20.4 5 0.206 6
LSU SEC 10-3 46.5% 6 12 6 16.3 12 0.219 4
Notre Dame Ind 12-1 46.2% 7 5 -2 19.0 7 0.177 9
Washington Pac-12 10-4 46.1% 8 9 1 16.8 10 0.200 7
Michigan Big Ten 10-3 45.5% 9 6 -3 19.3 6 0.164 13
Central Florida AAC 12-1 45.3% 10 7 -3 17.7 8 0.175 11
Florida SEC 10-3 44.4% 11 15 4 16.1 13 0.177 10
Mississippi State SEC 8-5 44.2% 12 10 -2 15.6 15 0.182 8
Fresno State MWC 12-2 44.0% 13 11 -2 16.9 9 0.163 14
Penn State Big Ten 9-4 41.8% 14 14 0 15.9 14 0.145 17
Auburn SEC 8-5 40.7% 15 23 8 14.6 17 0.145 18
Missouri SEC 8-5 40.5% 16 13 -3 13.8 20 0.152 15
Texas A&M SEC 9-4 39.9% 17 22 5 14.2 18 0.141 20
Utah Pac-12 9-5 39.1% 18 16 -2 15.0 16 0.125 25
Utah State MWC 11-2 38.9% 19 20 1 14.1 19 0.130 23
Iowa Big Ten 9-4 38.8% 20 18 -2 11.4 22 0.165 12
Appalachian State Sun Belt 11-2 36.9% 21 24 3 16.7 11 0.094 32
Boise State MWC 10-3 35.9% 22 21 -1 10.5 27 0.142 19
West Virginia Big 12 8-4 35.0% 23 17 -6 11.1 23 0.125 26
Washington State Pac-12 11-2 34.1% 24 19 -5 9.9 29 0.131 22
Texas Big 12 10-4 33.5% 25 29 4 8.3 30 0.149 16
Cincinnati AAC 11-2 30.1% 26 25 -1 8.2 31 0.117 27
Stanford Pac-12 9-4 29.8% 27 28 1 10.3 28 0.089 33
Oklahoma State Big 12 7-6 29.3% 28 32 4 10.5 26 0.084 35
Michigan State Big Ten 7-6 29.3% 29 27 -2 7.9 33 0.114 29
Kentucky SEC 10-3 29.2% 30 30 0 6.2 41 0.139 21
Ohio MAC 9-4 29.0% 31 36 5 7.6 35 0.115 28
Miami-FL ACC 7-6 27.9% 32 26 -6 10.5 25 0.074 38
Wisconsin Big Ten 8-5 27.1% 33 37 4 12.6 21 0.052 41
Syracuse ACC 10-3 24.9% 34 40 6 7.2 36 0.087 34
Virginia ACC 8-5 24.1% 35 41 6 7.0 37 0.083 36
Iowa State Big 12 8-5 23.8% 36 39 3 5.2 45 0.103 30
NC State ACC 9-4 22.4% 37 31 -6 8.1 32 0.060 40
South Carolina SEC 7-6 18.3% 38 35 -3 6.7 38 0.048 43
Army Ind 11-2 17.8% 39 47 8 0.4 75 0.129 24
Duke ACC 8-5 17.1% 40 57 17 3.5 55 0.076 37
North Texas C-USA 9-4 17.0% 41 38 -3 7.7 34 0.030 47
Oregon Pac-12 9-4 15.0% 42 45 3 4.4 51 0.051 42
Arizona State Pac-12 7-6 14.8% 43 42 -1 2.9 60 0.068 39
Troy Sun Belt 10-3 13.5% 44 54 10 6.5 40 0.021 52
Minnesota Big Ten 7-6 12.9% 45 53 8 4.7 49 0.035 46
Purdue Big Ten 6-7 12.5% 46 34 -12 4.3 52 0.037 45
Memphis AAC 8-6 12.0% 47 43 -4 10.6 24 -0.023 77
Temple AAC 8-5 11.9% 48 33 -15 5.1 47 0.025 50
Northwestern Big Ten 9-5 11.9% 49 49 0 -1.1 79 0.100 31
UAB C-USA 11-3 11.9% 50 60 10 5.8 44 0.018 55
Texas Tech Big 12 5-7 11.8% 51 48 -3 6.1 42 0.015 56
USC Pac-12 5-7 9.8% 52 50 -2 6.6 39 -0.002 64
Nebraska Big Ten 4-8 9.2% 53 51 -2 3.4 56 0.027 48
Buffalo MAC 10-4 8.7% 54 46 -8 3.2 58 0.026 49
Pittsburgh ACC 7-7 8.6% 55 55 0 1.3 69 0.047 44
TCU Big 12 7-6 7.8% 56 56 0 3.3 57 0.020 53
Marshall C-USA 9-4 7.8% 57 62 5 5.9 43 -0.007 71
BYU Ind 7-6 7.1% 58 68 10 5.2 46 -0.004 67
Miami-OH MAC 6-6 6.7% 59 59 0 2.7 61 0.020 54
San Diego State MWC 7-6 5.5% 60 44 -16 4.0 53 -0.001 63
California Pac-12 7-6 3.5% 61 66 5 1.9 65 0.010 59
Florida Atlantic C-USA 5-7 2.9% 62 64 2 3.0 59 -0.005 70
Georgia Southern Sun Belt 10-3 2.5% 63 67 4 2.2 63 0.001 61
Vanderbilt SEC 6-7 1.7% 64 58 -6 0.5 73 0.014 57
Boston College ACC 7-5 0.4% 65 65 0 1.1 70 0.001 62
Ole Miss SEC 5-7 0.4% 66 70 4 1.4 68 -0.003 65
Arkansas State Sun Belt 8-5 0.1% 67 75 8 4.9 48 -0.042 86
Indiana Big Ten 5-7 -0.1% 68 69 1 -1.4 83 0.024 51
Southern Miss C-USA 6-5 -1.0% 69 77 8 0.7 72 -0.004 68
Arizona Pac-12 5-7 -1.4% 70 74 4 0.5 74 -0.004 69
Nevada MWC 8-5 -1.5% 71 72 1 -1.1 81 0.013 58
Eastern Michigan MAC 7-6 -1.7% 72 71 -1 2.3 62 -0.025 79
Northern Illinois MAC 8-6 -1.8% 73 61 -12 0.2 76 -0.003 66
Wake Forest ACC 7-6 -1.9% 74 82 8 1.9 64 -0.022 75
Middle Tennessee C-USA 8-6 -2.5% 75 63 -12 1.4 67 -0.020 74
Virginia Tech ACC 6-7 -3.3% 76 79 3 1.8 66 -0.029 80
Houston AAC 8-5 -4.1% 77 52 -25 3.8 54 -0.056 89
Toledo MAC 7-6 -4.3% 78 73 -5 4.5 50 -0.066 91
Colorado Pac-12 5-7 -5.3% 79 78 -1 -2.4 89 0.004 60
Baylor Big 12 7-6 -6.3% 80 84 4 -1.1 80 -0.015 73
Maryland Big Ten 5-7 -7.0% 81 80 -1 0.8 71 -0.040 84
Air Force MWC 5-7 -7.7% 82 81 -1 -2.5 91 -0.009 72
Georgia Tech ACC 7-6 -8.2% 83 76 -7 -1.4 82 -0.023 76
Wyoming MWC 6-6 -10.8% 84 83 -1 0.1 77 -0.055 88
Florida International C-USA 9-4 -11.3% 85 89 4 -1.7 85 -0.039 83
UCLA Pac-12 3-9 -12.1% 86 85 -1 -3.5 92 -0.024 78
Tennessee SEC 5-7 -12.4% 87 88 1 -2.4 88 -0.038 82
Florida State ACC 5-7 -12.8% 88 87 -1 -1.6 84 -0.049 87
Kansas State Big 12 5-7 -15.0% 89 90 1 -3.9 93 -0.037 81
Tulane AAC 7-6 -15.4% 90 92 2 -1.7 86 -0.064 90
South Florida AAC 7-6 -16.4% 91 86 -5 -0.4 78 -0.088 95
North Carolina ACC 2-9 -16.5% 92 91 -1 -4.4 95 -0.041 85
Louisiana Tech C-USA 8-5 -19.1% 93 96 3 -2.4 90 -0.081 93
SMU AAC 5-7 -24.2% 94 93 -1 -4.8 96 -0.089 97
Arkansas SEC 2-10 -24.6% 95 97 2 -4.3 94 -0.098 99
UL-Lafayette Sun Belt 7-7 -25.5% 96 95 -1 -2.2 87 -0.139 111
Western Michigan MAC 7-6 -28.2% 97 94 -3 -7.8 98 -0.084 94
UL-Monroe Sun Belt 6-6 -29.3% 98 98 0 -6.8 97 -0.104 102
Tulsa AAC 3-9 -32.6% 99 99 0 -9.7 100 -0.099 100
Charlotte C-USA 5-7 -33.2% 100 101 1 -13.4 112 -0.075 92
UNLV MWC 4-8 -34.8% 101 102 1 -13.0 109 -0.089 96
Kansas Big 12 3-9 -34.9% 102 103 1 -13.0 108 -0.090 98
Hawaii MWC 8-6 -35.2% 103 100 -3 -10.4 102 -0.114 104
Old Dominion C-USA 4-8 -35.5% 104 104 0 -9.2 99 -0.130 106
Western Kentucky C-USA 3-9 -36.7% 105 106 1 -11.9 106 -0.113 103
Navy AAC 3-10 -36.9% 106 105 -1 -9.8 101 -0.137 110
Texas State Sun Belt 3-9 -38.8% 107 108 1 -11.9 105 -0.133 108
Illinois Big Ten 4-8 -39.0% 108 109 1 -10.5 103 -0.151 116
Akron MAC 4-8 -39.1% 109 107 -2 -16.6 119 -0.102 101
New Mexico MWC 3-9 -40.4% 110 111 1 -11.7 104 -0.153 117
East Carolina AAC 3-9 -41.1% 111 110 -1 -13.1 110 -0.146 114
Rutgers Big Ten 1-11 -41.8% 112 113 1 -15.6 116 -0.132 107
Central Michigan MAC 1-11 -41.9% 113 112 -1 -17.6 121 -0.121 105
Colorado State MWC 3-9 -42.3% 114 114 0 -13.0 107 -0.162 120
Liberty Ind 6-6 -43.0% 115 117 2 -16.0 118 -0.142 113
Ball State MAC 4-8 -43.5% 116 115 -1 -15.9 117 -0.148 115
San Jose State MWC 1-11 -43.6% 117 116 -1 -18.6 125 -0.133 109
Coastal Carolina Sun Belt 5-7 -44.9% 118 118 0 -14.0 114 -0.189 122
Kent State MAC 2-10 -45.1% 119 119 0 -17.4 120 -0.158 118
UTEP C-USA 1-11 -45.2% 120 120 0 -21.4 128 -0.139 112
Massachusetts Ind 4-8 -45.6% 121 122 1 -13.7 113 -0.211 126
Oregon State Pac-12 2-10 -45.8% 122 121 -1 -18.2 124 -0.162 119
Louisville ACC 2-10 -46.0% 123 123 0 -13.1 111 -0.235 129
South Alabama Sun Belt 3-9 -46.4% 124 124 0 -14.9 115 -0.206 125
Georgia State Sun Belt 2-10 -47.5% 125 125 0 -17.7 122 -0.193 123
Bowling Green MAC 3-9 -47.6% 126 126 0 -19.7 127 -0.179 121
New Mexico State Ind 3-9 -47.7% 127 127 0 -17.9 123 -0.195 124
UTSA C-USA 3-9 -49.2% 128 128 0 -18.9 126 -0.219 128
Rice C-USA 2-11 -50.2% 129 129 0 -22.2 129 -0.216 127
Connecticut AAC 1-11 -52.6% 130 130 0 -26.1 130 -0.296 130