Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

2017 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 11/25/17

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).

The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Prev. Rk Chg. S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Alabama SEC 11-1 52.3% 1 1 0 20.2 2 0.241 5
Auburn SEC 10-2 52.2% 2 2 0 16.9 7 0.291 2
Georgia SEC 11-1 51.9% 3 3 0 18.0 4 0.251 4
Wisconsin Big Ten 12-0 51.6% 4 6 2 18.6 3 0.232 6
Clemson ACC 11-1 51.5% 5 5 0 15.5 10 0.292 1
Oklahoma Big 12 11-1 51.5% 6 7 1 16.3 9 0.266 3
Ohio State Big Ten 10-2 51.4% 7 4 -3 21.3 1 0.211 9
Washington Pac-12 10-2 50.7% 8 11 3 17.5 5 0.218 7
Penn State Big Ten 10-2 50.7% 9 8 -1 17.4 6 0.218 8
Central Florida American 11-0 49.5% 10 9 -1 16.3 8 0.203 12
Miami-FL ACC 10-1 46.8% 11 10 -1 12.4 12 0.209 10
TCU Big 12 10-2 46.2% 12 13 1 12.4 13 0.198 13
Oklahoma State Big 12 9-3 45.2% 13 14 1 13.0 11 0.171 15
Notre Dame Ind 9-3 45.0% 14 12 -2 11.0 14 0.206 11
USC Pac-12 10-2 38.1% 15 15 0 9.2 19 0.141 18
Stanford Pac-12 9-3 38.0% 16 21 5 7.6 27 0.177 14
Florida Atlantic Conf USA 9-3 36.3% 17 19 2 10.9 15 0.102 28
Louisville ACC 8-4 36.1% 18 27 9 9.7 18 0.114 23
Memphis American 10-1 35.3% 19 26 7 10.3 17 0.100 29
LSU SEC 9-3 34.5% 20 23 3 9.2 20 0.108 24
Mississippi State SEC 8-4 34.0% 21 16 -5 7.5 28 0.131 19
Toledo MAC 10-2 32.8% 22 29 7 9.1 21 0.095 30
Virginia Tech ACC 9-3 32.5% 23 25 2 8.0 24 0.108 25
Michigan Big Ten 8-4 32.2% 24 18 -6 8.9 22 0.093 31
Boise State MWC 9-3 32.0% 25 20 -5 7.3 29 0.114 22
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Prev. Rk Chg. S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Iowa State Big 12 7-5 31.3% 26 22 -4 4.8 44 0.164 16
South Florida American 9-2 30.9% 27 28 1 10.5 16 0.066 39
Iowa Big Ten 7-5 29.0% 28 33 5 4.0 48 0.159 17
Wake Forest ACC 7-5 28.9% 29 24 -5 6.5 36 0.103 27
Washington State Pac-12 9-3 28.1% 30 17 -13 7.1 33 0.087 33
Houston American 7-4 28.0% 31 32 1 7.1 31 0.086 34
NC State ACC 8-4 27.1% 32 31 -1 4.8 45 0.119 21
Purdue Big Ten 6-6 26.8% 33 30 -3 5.3 41 0.105 26
Troy Sun Belt 9-2 25.7% 34 39 5 7.6 26 0.063 40
Michigan State Big Ten 9-3 24.8% 35 35 0 7.3 30 0.061 41
Ohio MAC 8-4 22.5% 36 34 -2 6.8 35 0.053 45
Utah Pac-12 6-6 21.4% 37 43 6 5.8 38 0.058 43
San Diego State MWC 10-2 20.7% 38 42 4 5.9 37 0.053 46
Northwestern Big Ten 9-3 19.6% 39 41 2 5.0 43 0.058 42
Texas Big 12 6-6 17.8% 40 36 -4 2.8 53 0.082 35
Arkansas State Sun Belt 7-3 17.3% 41 44 3 7.9 25 0.008 63
Boston College ACC 7-5 17.2% 42 46 4 0.6 66 0.122 20
Oregon Pac-12 7-5 16.5% 43 47 4 5.7 39 0.030 51
Northern Illinois MAC 8-4 16.5% 44 38 -6 3.8 49 0.057 44
Arizona Pac-12 7-5 15.2% 45 40 -5 3.7 50 0.050 47
Fresno State MWC 9-3 14.7% 46 59 13 8.3 23 -0.012 70
Kansas State Big 12 7-5 12.1% 47 52 5 0.8 65 0.077 36
Florida State ACC 5-6 12.0% 48 56 8 1.3 64 0.069 37
Southern Miss Conf USA 8-4 12.0% 49 49 0 6.8 34 -0.011 69
Army Ind 8-3 11.5% 50 54 4 2.5 57 0.045 49
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Prev. Rk Chg. S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Texas Tech Big 12 6-6 11.3% 51 57 6 2.6 56 0.043 50
Appalachian State Sun Belt 7-4 11.0% 52 63 11 5.6 40 -0.002 64
Arizona State Pac-12 7-5 9.7% 53 62 9 -0.7 79 0.088 32
Indiana Big Ten 5-7 9.3% 54 53 -1 3.3 51 0.019 56
Missouri SEC 7-5 8.5% 55 48 -7 7.1 32 -0.035 79
Navy Ind 6-5 7.1% 56 51 -5 -0.7 78 0.068 38
SMU American 7-5 7.0% 57 61 4 2.3 59 0.020 53
Duke ACC 6-6 6.7% 58 67 9 0.4 69 0.048 48
West Virginia Big 12 7-5 6.4% 59 37 -22 2.2 61 0.019 54
Marshall Conf USA 7-5 6.2% 60 65 5 2.5 58 0.013 59
Ole Miss SEC 6-6 4.0% 61 74 13 4.7 46 -0.032 78
Texas A&M SEC 7-5 2.8% 62 55 -7 1.3 63 0.011 62
Eastern Michigan MAC 5-7 2.4% 63 60 -3 0.6 68 0.019 55
Buffalo MAC 6-6 2.1% 64 73 9 -0.1 76 0.028 52
Georgia Tech ACC 5-6 1.1% 65 45 -20 0.3 70 0.016 57
Miami-OH MAC 5-7 0.5% 66 70 4 2.7 54 -0.024 75
UTSA Conf USA 6-5 0.4% 67 58 -9 2.9 52 -0.027 76
Colorado State MWC 7-5 0.0% 68 69 1 5.3 42 -0.066 87
UCLA Pac-12 6-6 0.0% 69 71 2 -0.1 75 0.015 58
Western Michigan MAC 6-6 -0.6% 70 64 -6 -0.1 74 0.011 61
Wyoming MWC 7-5 -0.7% 71 66 -5 2.2 60 -0.024 74
North Texas Conf USA 9-3 -1.3% 72 72 0 4.4 47 -0.060 85
South Carolina SEC 8-4 -1.3% 73 50 -23 0.6 67 -0.003 65
Central Michigan MAC 8-4 -3.1% 74 78 4 0.0 73 -0.005 66
Virginia ACC 6-6 -3.7% 75 68 -7 -0.2 77 -0.006 67
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Prev. Rk Chg. S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Utah State MWC 6-6 -5.8% 76 80 4 2.7 55 -0.063 86
Tulane American 5-7 -7.4% 77 79 2 -3.0 90 0.013 60
Pittsburgh ACC 5-7 -9.4% 78 87 9 -1.7 83 -0.018 73
Temple American 6-6 -10.6% 79 84 5 -2.3 85 -0.016 72
California Pac-12 5-7 -10.9% 80 81 1 -2.7 88 -0.012 71
Syracuse ACC 4-8 -10.9% 81 76 -5 -2.9 89 -0.009 68
UAB Conf USA 8-4 -11.8% 82 85 3 1.8 62 -0.089 95
Louisiana Tech Conf USA 6-6 -12.7% 83 88 5 -0.9 80 -0.049 81
Massachusetts Ind 4-7 -15.0% 84 86 2 -1.6 82 -0.053 84
Colorado Pac-12 5-7 -15.2% 85 77 -8 -3.3 91 -0.030 77
Middle Tennessee Conf USA 6-6 -15.8% 86 91 5 0.2 71 -0.090 96
New Mexico State Sun Belt 5-6 -16.5% 87 89 2 0.1 72 -0.092 98
Florida SEC 4-7 -16.7% 88 83 -5 -2.5 86 -0.051 83
Kentucky SEC 7-5 -20.0% 89 75 -14 -4.0 94 -0.050 82
Florida International Conf USA 7-4 -20.4% 90 96 6 -2.6 87 -0.074 91
Arkansas SEC 4-8 -21.5% 91 92 1 -3.3 92 -0.070 90
Minnesota Big Ten 5-7 -21.8% 92 82 -10 -4.9 97 -0.049 80
Vanderbilt SEC 5-7 -22.1% 93 100 7 -1.4 81 -0.107 106
Western Kentucky Conf USA 6-6 -23.3% 94 90 -4 -2.0 84 -0.105 104
UL-Monroe Sun Belt 4-7 -24.6% 95 94 -1 -4.9 96 -0.068 89
North Carolina ACC 3-9 -24.7% 96 95 -1 -3.6 93 -0.088 93
Baylor Big 12 1-11 -27.7% 97 99 2 -6.6 107 -0.068 88
UNLV MWC 5-7 -28.4% 98 102 4 -4.7 95 -0.098 102
Air Force MWC 5-7 -28.9% 99 101 2 -5.6 100 -0.089 94
Akron MAC 7-5 -29.7% 100 103 3 -6.4 106 -0.084 92
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Prev. Rk Chg. S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Nebraska Big Ten 4-8 -30.0% 101 93 -8 -5.9 103 -0.093 99
BYU Ind 4-9 -32.3% 102 106 4 -5.6 99 -0.117 109
Tennessee SEC 4-8 -33.0% 103 97 -6 -6.9 108 -0.103 103
Idaho Sun Belt 3-8 -33.4% 104 104 0 -6.3 104 -0.115 107
Bowling Green MAC 2-10 -34.0% 105 115 10 -7.4 111 -0.105 105
Maryland Big Ten 4-8 -34.8% 106 98 -8 -8.7 113 -0.096 100
Cincinnati American 4-8 -35.0% 107 109 2 -5.9 102 -0.138 112
Nevada MWC 3-9 -35.1% 108 113 5 -7.3 109 -0.116 108
Georgia State Sun Belt 6-4 -35.2% 109 105 -4 -5.7 101 -0.143 113
South Alabama Sun Belt 4-7 -35.2% 110 112 2 -5.1 98 -0.158 115
Coastal Carolina Sun Belt 2-9 -35.3% 111 110 -1 -9.0 114 -0.097 101
Tulsa American 2-10 -35.7% 112 108 -4 -10.0 116 -0.091 97
UL-Lafayette Sun Belt 5-6 -38.1% 113 114 1 -7.8 112 -0.138 111
New Mexico MWC 3-9 -38.1% 114 111 -3 -6.3 105 -0.166 117
Rutgers Big Ten 4-8 -38.7% 115 107 -8 -7.4 110 -0.150 114
Georgia Southern Sun Belt 2-9 -41.3% 116 118 2 -11.9 121 -0.123 110
Old Dominion Conf USA 5-7 -42.7% 117 116 -1 -9.8 115 -0.160 116
Texas State Sun Belt 2-10 -44.0% 118 117 -1 -10.2 117 -0.172 118
Illinois Big Ten 2-10 -45.3% 119 119 0 -10.9 118 -0.180 120
Connecticut American 3-9 -45.8% 120 121 1 -11.3 119 -0.183 121
Oregon State Pac-12 1-11 -47.6% 121 120 -1 -14.8 126 -0.175 119
Hawaii MWC 3-9 -48.0% 122 123 1 -11.9 120 -0.217 126
Ball State MAC 2-10 -48.6% 123 125 2 -13.2 122 -0.208 124
Kent State MAC 2-10 -48.7% 124 127 3 -14.9 127 -0.192 122
Kansas Big 12 1-11 -48.8% 125 124 -1 -14.6 125 -0.196 123
Charlotte Conf USA 1-11 -49.7% 126 126 0 -14.6 124 -0.216 125
East Carolina American 3-9 -50.5% 127 122 -5 -13.9 123 -0.254 129
Rice Conf USA 1-11 -50.6% 128 128 0 -15.0 128 -0.238 127
UTEP Conf USA 0-12 -51.7% 129 129 0 -18.3 130 -0.241 128
San Jose State MWC 2-11 -52.1% 130 130 0 -16.2 129 -0.284 130