Innovative Statistics

Football Outsiders exclusive statistics

2017 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 1/8/18

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).

The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Alabama SEC 13-1 53.4% 1 20.0 2 0.305 2
Georgia SEC 13-2 52.7% 2 17.5 3 0.312 1
Ohio State Big Ten 12-2 52.5% 3 20.8 1 0.248 6
Clemson ACC 12-2 51.4% 4 15.4 8 0.289 3
Penn State Big Ten 11-2 51.2% 5 17.3 4 0.238 7
Oklahoma Big 12 12-2 51.0% 6 15.0 9 0.281 4
Wisconsin Big Ten 13-1 50.9% 7 16.6 6 0.237 8
Central Florida American 13-0 50.3% 8 15.5 7 0.237 9
Auburn SEC 10-4 50.2% 9 14.3 10 0.265 5
Washington Pac-12 10-3 49.3% 10 16.8 5 0.199 11
Notre Dame Ind 10-3 45.8% 11 11.3 13 0.217 10
Oklahoma State Big 12 10-3 45.8% 12 13.2 12 0.179 12
TCU Big 12 11-3 43.3% 13 11.0 14 0.177 13
Florida Atlantic Conf USA 11-3 41.5% 14 13.4 11 0.125 21
Miami-FL ACC 10-3 38.8% 15 9.2 17 0.151 17
Mississippi State SEC 9-4 35.9% 16 7.9 28 0.145 18
Louisville ACC 8-5 35.9% 17 9.4 16 0.119 23
Stanford Pac-12 9-5 35.3% 18 7.1 32 0.156 16
USC Pac-12 11-3 35.1% 19 8.1 26 0.132 20
Boise State MWC 11-3 34.1% 20 8.2 25 0.121 22
LSU SEC 9-4 33.5% 21 9.1 19 0.102 28
Memphis American 10-3 33.3% 22 9.1 20 0.101 29
Michigan State Big Ten 10-3 32.5% 23 9.0 21 0.095 30
NC State ACC 9-4 31.9% 24 5.9 38 0.144 19
South Florida American 10-2 31.3% 25 10.5 15 0.070 40
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Iowa State Big 12 8-5 30.8% 26 4.7 46 0.163 15
Appalachian State Sun Belt 9-4 29.9% 27 9.2 18 0.074 39
Virginia Tech ACC 9-4 29.8% 28 7.6 30 0.094 31
Wake Forest ACC 8-5 29.7% 29 6.1 37 0.118 25
Michigan Big Ten 8-5 29.6% 30 7.9 27 0.088 33
Iowa Big Ten 8-5 29.1% 31 3.8 49 0.169 14
Troy Sun Belt 11-2 28.3% 32 7.5 31 0.084 36
Ohio MAC 9-4 26.5% 33 8.8 22 0.055 44
Purdue Big Ten 7-6 26.2% 34 5.1 41 0.107 26
Florida State ACC 7-6 25.6% 35 4.9 43 0.107 27
Houston American 7-5 25.2% 36 6.4 36 0.077 37
Utah Pac-12 7-6 22.5% 37 6.9 33 0.052 45
San Diego State MWC 10-3 21.4% 38 6.6 34 0.048 46
Toledo MAC 11-3 21.2% 39 7.6 29 0.035 49
Fresno State MWC 10-4 20.8% 40 8.2 23 0.025 53
Texas Big 12 7-6 20.0% 41 3.7 50 0.085 35
Northwestern Big Ten 10-3 19.1% 42 4.8 45 0.060 43
Boston College ACC 7-6 17.3% 43 1.0 66 0.118 24
Arkansas State Sun Belt 7-5 16.8% 44 8.2 24 0.001 65
Washington State Pac-12 9-4 16.5% 45 5.4 39 0.034 50
Army Ind 10-3 14.9% 46 2.2 59 0.075 38
Arizona Pac-12 7-6 14.2% 47 4.0 48 0.040 48
Kansas State Big 12 8-5 14.1% 48 1.3 64 0.086 34
Navy Ind 7-6 13.4% 49 0.9 70 0.089 32
Oregon Pac-12 7-6 12.4% 50 4.7 47 0.018 55
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Texas Tech Big 12 6-7 11.2% 51 2.7 58 0.041 47
Duke ACC 7-6 11.2% 52 1.2 65 0.067 41
Northern Illinois MAC 8-5 10.3% 53 3.3 54 0.026 52
Marshall Conf USA 8-5 9.5% 54 3.5 52 0.018 56
Indiana Big Ten 5-7 9.0% 55 3.5 51 0.015 57
Missouri SEC 7-6 7.8% 56 6.5 35 -0.034 74
South Carolina SEC 9-4 6.9% 57 2.1 60 0.024 54
Wyoming MWC 8-5 5.7% 58 3.4 53 -0.004 66
Texas A&M SEC 7-6 5.2% 59 2.0 61 0.015 58
Ole Miss SEC 6-6 4.3% 60 5.1 42 -0.036 76
Arizona State Pac-12 7-6 4.2% 61 -1.3 81 0.063 42
West Virginia Big 12 7-6 3.6% 62 1.7 63 0.011 61
Southern Miss Conf USA 8-5 3.5% 63 5.3 40 -0.045 81
Buffalo MAC 6-6 2.6% 64 0.2 75 0.028 51
Eastern Michigan MAC 5-7 2.0% 65 0.9 69 0.013 59
Colorado State MWC 7-6 1.1% 66 4.8 44 -0.053 84
Georgia Tech ACC 5-6 0.8% 67 0.5 73 0.012 60
UTSA Conf USA 6-5 0.7% 68 3.2 56 -0.031 72
Miami-OH MAC 5-7 0.4% 69 3.2 55 -0.033 73
Western Michigan MAC 6-6 -1.6% 70 0.2 74 0.002 63
Temple American 7-6 -2.7% 71 -0.2 78 0.001 64
Louisiana Tech Conf USA 7-6 -3.2% 72 0.7 71 -0.016 69
UCLA Pac-12 6-7 -3.8% 73 0.1 77 -0.010 67
Utah State MWC 6-7 -4.4% 74 2.8 57 -0.058 85
SMU American 7-6 -6.0% 75 1.0 67 -0.037 77
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Tulane American 5-7 -7.8% 76 -2.8 89 0.010 62
Central Michigan MAC 8-5 -9.6% 77 -0.6 79 -0.034 75
North Texas Conf USA 9-5 -9.7% 78 1.9 62 -0.078 91
Pittsburgh ACC 5-7 -10.7% 79 -1.5 82 -0.028 71
Syracuse ACC 4-8 -10.8% 80 -2.7 88 -0.011 68
Middle Tennessee Conf USA 7-6 -11.6% 81 0.9 68 -0.074 90
California Pac-12 5-7 -13.0% 82 -2.6 87 -0.025 70
Virginia ACC 6-7 -13.3% 83 -1.8 85 -0.039 78
New Mexico State Sun Belt 7-6 -13.6% 84 0.7 72 -0.084 93
Florida SEC 4-7 -15.9% 85 -2.2 86 -0.050 83
Massachusetts Ind 4-8 -16.6% 86 -1.7 83 -0.062 87
Kentucky SEC 7-6 -16.7% 87 -3.2 92 -0.040 80
Colorado Pac-12 5-7 -16.7% 88 -3.2 93 -0.039 79
UAB Conf USA 8-5 -18.7% 89 0.1 76 -0.114 106
Florida International Conf USA 8-5 -19.8% 90 -3.1 90 -0.062 86
Vanderbilt SEC 5-7 -20.3% 91 -1.1 80 -0.100 102
Arkansas SEC 4-8 -21.0% 92 -3.1 91 -0.069 89
Minnesota Big Ten 5-7 -21.2% 93 -4.8 97 -0.047 82
Western Kentucky Conf USA 6-7 -22.4% 94 -1.7 84 -0.105 103
North Carolina ACC 3-9 -25.2% 95 -3.6 94 -0.093 97
UNLV MWC 5-7 -27.1% 96 -4.4 95 -0.094 98
Baylor Big 12 1-11 -27.8% 97 -6.5 106 -0.069 88
Air Force MWC 5-7 -27.8% 98 -5.3 100 -0.085 94
UL-Monroe Sun Belt 4-8 -29.1% 99 -6.4 105 -0.080 92
Idaho Sun Belt 4-8 -29.3% 100 -5.1 99 -0.099 100
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Nebraska Big Ten 4-8 -30.4% 101 -5.9 103 -0.096 99
Georgia State Sun Belt 7-5 -31.3% 102 -4.6 96 -0.126 110
BYU Ind 4-9 -32.0% 103 -5.4 101 -0.119 107
Coastal Carolina Sun Belt 3-9 -33.2% 104 -7.9 111 -0.092 95
Tennessee SEC 4-8 -33.5% 105 -6.9 107 -0.108 104
South Alabama Sun Belt 4-8 -33.8% 106 -4.8 98 -0.147 113
Maryland Big Ten 4-8 -34.5% 107 -8.8 114 -0.093 96
Bowling Green MAC 2-10 -34.7% 108 -7.3 108 -0.113 105
Cincinnati American 4-8 -35.1% 109 -5.8 102 -0.142 112
Nevada MWC 3-9 -35.8% 110 -7.3 109 -0.123 109
Tulsa American 2-10 -36.8% 111 -10.0 116 -0.100 101
New Mexico MWC 3-9 -37.4% 112 -6.1 104 -0.163 116
Rutgers Big Ten 4-8 -38.6% 113 -7.4 110 -0.150 114
Akron MAC 7-7 -38.9% 114 -8.5 112 -0.135 111
Georgia Southern Sun Belt 2-10 -40.5% 115 -11.5 120 -0.119 108
UL-Lafayette Sun Belt 5-7 -41.5% 116 -8.6 113 -0.165 117
Old Dominion Conf USA 5-7 -42.6% 117 -9.7 115 -0.160 115
Texas State Sun Belt 2-10 -43.6% 118 -10.1 117 -0.168 118
Illinois Big Ten 2-10 -45.5% 119 -11.0 118 -0.182 119
Connecticut American 3-9 -46.3% 120 -11.4 119 -0.189 121
Hawaii MWC 3-9 -48.1% 121 -11.7 121 -0.220 125
Oregon State Pac-12 1-11 -48.2% 122 -15.1 127 -0.183 120
Kansas Big 12 1-11 -48.9% 123 -14.8 125 -0.199 123
Kent State MAC 2-10 -49.0% 124 -15.0 126 -0.199 122
Ball State MAC 2-10 -49.3% 125 -13.5 122 -0.221 126
Charlotte Conf USA 1-11 -49.8% 126 -14.7 124 -0.218 124
East Carolina American 3-9 -50.7% 127 -13.9 123 -0.256 129
Rice Conf USA 1-11 -50.9% 128 -15.1 128 -0.243 128
UTEP Conf USA 0-12 -51.8% 129 -18.6 130 -0.243 127
San Jose State MWC 2-11 -52.2% 130 -16.2 129 -0.283 130