Innovative Statistics

Football Outsiders exclusive statistics

2018 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 12/1/18

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).

The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Last Wk Change S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Alabama SEC 13-0 52.9% 1 1 0 29.7 1 0.333 1
Georgia SEC 11-2 52.0% 2 2 0 25.9 3 0.272 2
Clemson ACC 13-0 51.7% 3 3 0 27.9 2 0.241 3
Oklahoma Big 12 12-1 49.9% 4 4 0 22.1 4 0.223 4
Notre Dame Ind 12-0 48.9% 5 5 0 20.6 6 0.213 5
Michigan Big Ten 10-2 48.5% 6 7 1 21.3 5 0.195 9
Central Florida AAC 12-0 48.2% 7 6 -1 19.6 8 0.206 6
Ohio State Big Ten 12-1 48.1% 8 8 0 19.8 7 0.201 8
Washington Pac-12 10-3 46.6% 9 9 0 17.0 9 0.203 7
Mississippi State SEC 8-4 44.1% 10 10 0 15.6 12 0.176 11
Fresno State MWC 11-2 43.8% 11 13 2 16.2 10 0.164 13
LSU SEC 9-3 43.5% 12 11 -1 14.8 15 0.179 10
Missouri SEC 8-4 42.5% 13 12 -1 14.4 16 0.169 12
Penn State Big Ten 9-3 42.0% 14 14 0 16.1 11 0.143 14
Florida SEC 9-3 40.9% 15 15 0 15.1 14 0.140 15
Utah Pac-12 9-4 39.7% 16 16 0 14.4 17 0.134 19
West Virginia Big 12 8-3 37.9% 17 17 0 12.6 20 0.134 20
Iowa Big Ten 8-4 36.1% 18 18 0 10.8 26 0.138 16
Washington State Pac-12 10-2 35.3% 19 19 0 10.9 25 0.128 23
Utah State MWC 10-2 35.0% 20 20 0 12.4 21 0.109 26
Boise State MWC 10-3 34.9% 21 21 0 10.0 29 0.137 17
Texas A&M SEC 8-4 34.5% 22 24 2 12.7 19 0.102 28
Auburn SEC 7-5 33.7% 23 23 0 12.8 18 0.095 29
Appalachian State Sun Belt 10-2 33.7% 24 22 -2 15.5 13 0.076 38
Cincinnati AAC 10-2 32.7% 25 25 0 9.0 32 0.128 22
Miami-FL ACC 7-5 32.4% 26 27 1 12.1 22 0.091 33
Michigan State Big Ten 7-5 31.5% 27 26 -1 7.7 35 0.135 18
Stanford Pac-12 8-4 31.1% 28 30 2 10.6 27 0.095 30
Texas Big 12 9-4 29.3% 29 28 -1 7.6 36 0.116 24
Kentucky SEC 9-3 29.1% 30 29 -1 6.5 40 0.130 21
NC State ACC 9-3 27.7% 31 37 6 9.9 30 0.077 37
Oklahoma State Big 12 6-6 26.1% 32 31 -1 10.4 28 0.062 41
Temple AAC 8-4 25.5% 33 32 -1 8.1 34 0.080 35
Purdue Big Ten 6-6 25.4% 34 33 -1 6.7 37 0.095 31
South Carolina SEC 7-5 25.1% 35 35 0 8.8 33 0.070 39
Ohio MAC 8-4 24.8% 36 34 -2 5.6 45 0.105 27
Wisconsin Big Ten 7-5 22.5% 37 38 1 11.4 24 0.032 50
North Texas C-USA 9-3 22.2% 38 39 1 9.8 31 0.043 43
Iowa State Big 12 8-4 20.7% 39 36 -3 4.0 52 0.095 32
Syracuse ACC 9-3 20.3% 40 40 0 6.1 43 0.066 40
Virginia ACC 7-5 19.4% 41 43 2 6.2 42 0.059 42
Arizona State Pac-12 7-5 17.3% 42 44 2 3.5 54 0.077 36
Memphis AAC 8-5 17.1% 43 41 -2 12.0 23 -0.003 66
San Diego State MWC 7-5 16.7% 44 42 -2 6.6 38 0.038 45
Oregon Pac-12 8-4 13.8% 45 46 1 5.2 47 0.035 47
Buffalo MAC 10-3 13.2% 46 45 -1 4.2 51 0.042 44
Army Ind 9-2 12.7% 47 49 2 -1.6 83 0.112 25
Texas Tech Big 12 5-7 12.5% 48 47 -1 6.1 44 0.019 55
Northwestern Big Ten 8-5 10.6% 49 48 -1 -1.1 80 0.088 34
USC Pac-12 5-7 10.1% 50 50 0 6.6 39 0.001 62
Nebraska Big Ten 4-8 9.4% 51 53 2 3.2 55 0.030 51
Houston AAC 8-4 8.7% 52 54 2 6.2 41 -0.004 68
Minnesota Big Ten 6-6 7.7% 53 55 2 2.9 58 0.023 53
Troy Sun Belt 9-3 7.2% 54 58 4 5.4 46 -0.004 67
Pittsburgh ACC 7-6 7.1% 55 52 -3 1.4 67 0.036 46
TCU Big 12 6-6 6.7% 56 59 3 3.0 57 0.017 57
Duke ACC 7-5 6.6% 57 57 0 1.4 66 0.033 48
Vanderbilt SEC 6-6 6.6% 58 61 3 1.4 68 0.033 49
Miami-OH MAC 6-6 6.6% 59 56 -3 2.4 62 0.022 54
UAB C-USA 10-3 4.9% 60 64 4 3.7 53 -0.001 63
Northern Illinois MAC 8-5 4.3% 61 67 6 1.6 65 0.018 56
Marshall C-USA 8-4 3.8% 62 51 -11 4.4 49 -0.014 75
Middle Tennessee C-USA 8-5 3.0% 63 62 -1 2.8 61 -0.002 65
Florida Atlantic C-USA 5-7 2.6% 64 63 -1 2.9 60 -0.005 69
Boston College ACC 7-5 2.4% 65 66 1 1.2 71 0.011 59
California Pac-12 7-5 2.2% 66 60 -6 1.6 64 0.006 61
Georgia Southern Sun Belt 9-3 1.8% 67 65 -2 2.9 59 -0.010 73
BYU Ind 6-6 0.2% 68 68 0 3.1 56 -0.021 77
Indiana Big Ten 5-7 0.0% 69 69 0 -1.5 82 0.025 52
Ole Miss SEC 5-7 -0.4% 70 73 3 1.3 70 -0.006 70
Eastern Michigan MAC 7-5 -0.5% 71 71 0 2.0 63 -0.014 76
Nevada MWC 7-5 -0.6% 72 70 -2 -0.6 79 0.013 58
Toledo MAC 7-5 -1.2% 73 74 1 4.6 48 -0.045 86
Arizona Pac-12 5-7 -1.3% 74 72 -2 0.3 75 -0.001 64
Arkansas State Sun Belt 8-4 -2.0% 75 77 2 4.2 50 -0.046 87
Georgia Tech ACC 7-5 -2.1% 76 75 -1 0.5 74 -0.007 71
Southern Miss C-USA 6-5 -3.2% 77 76 -1 0.3 76 -0.011 74
Colorado Pac-12 5-7 -4.7% 78 78 0 -2.4 88 0.008 60
Virginia Tech ACC 6-6 -6.3% 79 88 9 1.3 69 -0.040 82
Maryland Big Ten 5-7 -7.0% 80 79 -1 0.7 73 -0.038 80
Air Force MWC 5-7 -8.1% 81 80 -1 -2.7 89 -0.008 72
Wake Forest ACC 6-6 -9.3% 82 81 -1 -0.1 77 -0.043 85
Wyoming MWC 6-6 -11.0% 83 86 3 -0.1 78 -0.053 90
Baylor Big 12 6-6 -11.1% 84 82 -2 -1.9 85 -0.034 79
UCLA Pac-12 3-9 -11.7% 85 84 -1 -3.5 91 -0.021 78
South Florida AAC 7-5 -12.3% 86 83 -3 1.0 72 -0.075 93
Florida State ACC 5-7 -12.9% 87 89 2 -1.4 81 -0.050 88
Tennessee SEC 5-7 -13.0% 88 87 -1 -2.2 87 -0.042 84
Florida International C-USA 8-4 -14.3% 89 85 -4 -1.9 86 -0.053 89
Kansas State Big 12 5-7 -15.7% 90 90 0 -4.1 92 -0.039 81
North Carolina ACC 2-9 -16.8% 91 91 0 -4.6 96 -0.040 83
Tulane AAC 6-6 -18.8% 92 92 0 -3.3 90 -0.067 92
SMU AAC 5-7 -22.4% 93 93 0 -4.4 94 -0.078 95
Western Michigan MAC 7-5 -22.5% 94 94 0 -6.3 97 -0.059 91
UL-Lafayette Sun Belt 7-6 -24.3% 95 97 2 -1.6 84 -0.134 111
Louisiana Tech C-USA 7-5 -24.4% 96 95 -1 -4.5 95 -0.092 99
Arkansas SEC 2-10 -25.0% 97 96 -1 -4.3 93 -0.098 100
UL-Monroe Sun Belt 6-6 -30.5% 98 98 0 -7.1 98 -0.107 102
Tulsa AAC 3-9 -31.8% 99 99 0 -9.6 101 -0.091 97
Hawaii MWC 8-5 -33.7% 100 100 0 -9.3 100 -0.109 103
Charlotte C-USA 5-7 -34.1% 101 101 0 -13.6 112 -0.078 94
UNLV MWC 4-8 -34.5% 102 102 0 -13.1 110 -0.084 96
Kansas Big 12 3-9 -35.5% 103 103 0 -13.0 108 -0.092 98
Old Dominion C-USA 4-8 -35.6% 104 104 0 -9.2 99 -0.129 106
Navy AAC 3-9 -37.3% 105 107 2 -9.8 102 -0.138 112
Western Kentucky C-USA 3-9 -37.6% 106 106 0 -12.3 106 -0.115 105
Akron MAC 4-8 -39.1% 107 108 1 -16.6 119 -0.099 101
Texas State Sun Belt 3-9 -39.2% 108 110 2 -12.0 105 -0.132 108
Illinois Big Ten 4-8 -39.2% 109 109 0 -10.6 103 -0.149 115
East Carolina AAC 3-9 -40.0% 110 105 -5 -12.8 107 -0.133 110
New Mexico MWC 3-9 -40.8% 111 111 0 -11.8 104 -0.152 117
Central Michigan MAC 1-11 -41.4% 112 113 1 -17.5 120 -0.114 104
Rutgers Big Ten 1-11 -41.9% 113 112 -1 -15.6 116 -0.129 107
Colorado State MWC 3-9 -42.8% 114 115 1 -13.2 111 -0.162 120
Ball State MAC 4-8 -43.1% 115 114 -1 -15.8 117 -0.141 114
San Jose State MWC 1-11 -43.9% 116 116 0 -18.5 125 -0.133 109
Liberty Ind 6-6 -44.1% 117 117 0 -16.3 118 -0.149 116
Coastal Carolina Sun Belt 5-7 -45.2% 118 119 1 -14.2 114 -0.188 123
Kent State MAC 2-10 -45.3% 119 118 -1 -17.6 121 -0.154 118
UTEP C-USA 1-11 -45.6% 120 120 0 -21.5 128 -0.139 113
Oregon State Pac-12 2-10 -46.0% 121 121 0 -18.1 123 -0.160 119
Massachusetts Ind 4-8 -46.1% 122 123 1 -13.8 113 -0.212 126
Louisville ACC 2-10 -46.1% 123 122 -1 -13.0 109 -0.236 129
South Alabama Sun Belt 3-9 -46.8% 124 124 0 -15.0 115 -0.207 125
Georgia State Sun Belt 2-10 -47.6% 125 125 0 -17.8 122 -0.188 122
Bowling Green MAC 3-9 -47.6% 126 126 0 -19.8 127 -0.173 121
New Mexico State Ind 3-9 -48.2% 127 127 0 -18.2 124 -0.196 124
UTSA C-USA 3-9 -49.6% 128 128 0 -19.0 126 -0.221 128
Rice C-USA 2-11 -50.5% 129 129 0 -22.2 129 -0.217 127
Connecticut AAC 1-11 -52.7% 130 130 0 -25.9 130 -0.288 130