Innovative Statistics

Football Outsiders exclusive statistics

2018 OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

through games of 10/13/18

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and S&P+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' 'official' college football rankings.

The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.

The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).

The components for S&P+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Last Wk Change S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Alabama SEC 7-0 52.0% 1 1 0 27.0 1 0.248 2
Clemson ACC 6-0 51.2% 2 4 2 23.7 2 0.237 6
Oklahoma Big 12 5-1 50.7% 3 5 2 21.1 3 0.243 3
Ohio State Big Ten 7-0 50.3% 4 3 -1 20.0 5 0.239 4
Georgia SEC 6-1 50.0% 5 2 -3 19.7 6 0.237 5
Michigan Big Ten 6-1 48.0% 6 9 3 20.4 4 0.188 14
Washington Pac-12 5-2 46.7% 7 7 0 16.4 9 0.200 11
LSU SEC 6-1 46.5% 8 13 5 13.3 14 0.263 1
Notre Dame Ind 7-0 46.4% 9 8 -1 16.3 10 0.198 12
Florida SEC 6-1 45.6% 10 11 1 13.8 13 0.223 8
Penn State Big Ten 4-2 44.8% 11 6 -5 17.5 7 0.161 17
Kentucky SEC 5-1 43.0% 12 14 2 11.2 22 0.230 7
NC State ACC 5-0 41.6% 13 20 7 11.8 19 0.186 15
Iowa Big Ten 5-1 41.5% 14 18 4 11.3 21 0.196 13
Mississippi State SEC 4-2 40.8% 15 16 1 13.3 15 0.153 20
Fresno State MWC 5-1 39.8% 16 30 14 14.4 12 0.131 22
Central Florida AAC 6-0 39.4% 17 17 0 16.5 8 0.112 31
West Virginia Big 12 5-1 38.1% 18 12 -6 10.6 24 0.158 18
Duke ACC 5-1 37.9% 19 26 7 8.4 32 0.205 9
Michigan State Big Ten 4-2 37.7% 20 19 -1 8.3 33 0.205 10
Miami-FL ACC 5-2 37.3% 21 24 3 12.7 17 0.123 23
Appalachian State Sun Belt 4-1 36.5% 22 22 0 15.6 11 0.093 40
Texas A&M SEC 5-2 34.7% 23 25 2 12.2 18 0.105 35
Auburn SEC 4-3 34.5% 24 15 -9 11.2 23 0.114 30
Wisconsin Big Ten 4-2 34.5% 25 10 -15 13.2 16 0.094 39
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Last Wk Change S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Texas Big 12 6-1 33.9% 26 23 -3 7.1 43 0.173 16
Utah State MWC 5-1 33.1% 27 31 4 11.7 20 0.096 38
Texas Tech Big 12 4-2 33.0% 28 29 1 7.7 35 0.150 21
Iowa State Big 12 3-3 32.3% 29 43 14 6.9 44 0.158 19
Cincinnati AAC 6-0 30.9% 30 41 11 8.5 31 0.115 29
Washington State Pac-12 5-1 30.4% 31 27 -4 8.7 29 0.108 32
Utah Pac-12 4-2 30.4% 32 28 -4 10.2 26 0.090 41
Stanford Pac-12 4-2 30.0% 33 32 -1 7.4 40 0.123 24
Purdue Big Ten 3-3 29.5% 34 39 5 7.5 39 0.118 28
Oregon Pac-12 5-1 29.3% 35 54 19 8.1 34 0.107 33
Missouri SEC 3-3 27.5% 36 33 -3 7.6 37 0.098 37
USC Pac-12 4-2 25.9% 37 35 -2 8.7 30 0.073 46
North Texas C-USA 6-1 25.6% 38 47 9 7.2 42 0.089 42
Houston AAC 5-1 25.0% 39 37 -2 9.6 28 0.057 51
Oklahoma State Big 12 4-3 23.5% 40 21 -19 10.3 25 0.040 54
Colorado Pac-12 5-1 23.4% 41 44 3 4.0 52 0.121 25
Temple AAC 4-3 22.5% 42 42 0 6.8 45 0.071 47
Boise State MWC 4-2 22.3% 43 34 -9 7.7 36 0.059 50
San Diego State MWC 5-1 21.3% 44 40 -4 4.1 51 0.100 36
TCU Big 12 3-3 20.2% 45 36 -9 6.7 46 0.056 52
Buffalo MAC 6-1 19.5% 46 56 10 4.2 50 0.085 44
Virginia ACC 4-2 19.4% 47 52 5 5.5 48 0.065 48
Syracuse ACC 4-2 19.1% 48 55 7 2.6 58 0.106 34
Virginia Tech ACC 4-2 17.7% 49 38 -11 3.1 56 0.087 43
South Carolina SEC 3-3 17.4% 50 49 -1 3.4 54 0.081 45
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Last Wk Change S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Ole Miss SEC 5-2 15.2% 51 51 0 7.5 38 0.014 61
Northwestern Big Ten 3-3 14.9% 52 45 -7 -0.1 68 0.119 26
Arizona State Pac-12 3-3 14.1% 53 46 -7 3.0 57 0.063 49
Boston College ACC 5-2 12.8% 54 50 -4 6.1 47 0.014 60
Minnesota Big Ten 3-3 11.9% 55 60 5 3.9 53 0.036 56
Army Ind 4-2 11.9% 56 58 2 -1.5 75 0.118 27
Maryland Big Ten 4-2 10.6% 57 59 2 3.2 55 0.037 55
Memphis AAC 4-3 10.3% 58 57 -1 9.7 27 -0.039 76
South Florida AAC 6-0 8.4% 59 48 -11 7.4 41 -0.028 71
Indiana Big Ten 4-3 7.2% 60 53 -7 0.7 64 0.048 53
Georgia Tech ACC 3-4 6.3% 61 61 0 1.4 61 0.033 57
Baylor Big 12 4-3 5.6% 62 63 1 2.2 59 0.018 59
UAB C-USA 5-1 3.0% 63 68 5 4.5 49 -0.029 72
Eastern Michigan MAC 3-4 1.0% 64 64 0 -0.8 70 0.027 58
Tennessee SEC 3-3 -0.9% 65 80 15 0.2 67 0.002 63
Louisiana Tech C-USA 4-2 -2.4% 66 69 3 -0.8 71 0.006 62
Miami-OH MAC 3-4 -3.2% 67 83 16 0.3 66 -0.013 64
Marshall C-USA 4-2 -4.6% 68 70 2 1.8 60 -0.042 78
Florida State ACC 3-3 -7.5% 69 65 -4 -1.1 73 -0.023 67
Nebraska Big Ten 0-6 -8.0% 70 75 5 -0.5 69 -0.034 74
Arkansas SEC 1-6 -10.4% 71 81 10 -0.8 72 -0.045 80
Vanderbilt SEC 3-4 -10.6% 72 82 10 -2.7 81 -0.022 66
UCLA Pac-12 1-5 -11.2% 73 92 19 -1.6 76 -0.040 77
Western Michigan MAC 5-2 -12.0% 74 88 14 -2.6 80 -0.033 73
Troy Sun Belt 5-2 -12.1% 75 73 -2 1.1 62 -0.086 93
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Last Wk Change S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
California Pac-12 3-3 -12.3% 76 66 -10 0.5 65 -0.077 90
Northern Illinois MAC 4-3 -13.3% 77 72 -5 -2.1 79 -0.047 81
Kansas State Big 12 3-4 -13.6% 78 89 11 -3.9 88 -0.027 70
Tulsa AAC 1-5 -13.8% 79 71 -8 -4.7 93 -0.019 65
New Mexico MWC 3-3 -14.7% 80 74 -6 -3.5 85 -0.038 75
Ohio MAC 3-3 -14.8% 81 84 3 -4.8 94 -0.024 69
Pittsburgh ACC 3-4 -16.8% 82 86 4 -2.7 82 -0.063 83
Southern Miss C-USA 2-3 -17.9% 83 77 -6 -2.1 78 -0.080 91
Georgia Southern Sun Belt 5-1 -18.4% 84 67 -17 -1.2 74 -0.098 96
Arizona Pac-12 3-4 -19.3% 85 62 -23 -3.6 87 -0.069 86
Florida Atlantic C-USA 3-3 -19.4% 86 78 -8 0.7 63 -0.144 110
Nevada MWC 3-4 -19.9% 87 100 13 -4.5 92 -0.061 82
Tulane AAC 2-4 -20.4% 88 79 -9 -2.9 83 -0.086 92
BYU Ind 4-3 -20.5% 89 76 -13 -1.7 77 -0.107 97
Air Force MWC 2-4 -22.5% 90 87 -3 -7.7 100 -0.043 79
North Carolina ACC 1-4 -22.7% 91 103 12 -4.1 90 -0.087 94
Florida International C-USA 4-2 -22.7% 92 94 2 -5.1 95 -0.073 89
Hawaii MWC 6-2 -25.4% 93 91 -2 -6.8 97 -0.072 87
Akron MAC 2-3 -26.0% 94 101 7 -13.2 119 -0.024 68
Toledo MAC 3-3 -26.2% 95 96 1 -3.3 84 -0.131 108
Arkansas State Sun Belt 3-3 -26.2% 96 85 -11 -3.5 86 -0.126 104
Kansas Big 12 2-4 -27.3% 97 97 0 -8.8 103 -0.064 85
Wake Forest ACC 3-3 -28.0% 98 90 -8 -4.1 89 -0.134 109
Middle Tennessee C-USA 3-3 -28.1% 99 104 5 -4.3 91 -0.131 107
Liberty Ind 3-3 -30.3% 100 102 2 -10.4 108 -0.072 88
Team Conference Rec F/+ Rk Last Wk Change S&P+ Rk FEI Rk
Central Michigan MAC 1-6 -31.2% 101 109 8 -12.2 118 -0.064 84
Navy AAC 2-4 -31.9% 102 98 -4 -8.1 101 -0.108 98
Wyoming MWC 2-5 -33.1% 103 93 -10 -7.4 99 -0.128 105
Ball State MAC 3-4 -33.7% 104 108 4 -11.2 111 -0.090 95
UNLV MWC 2-4 -34.6% 105 106 1 -10.0 106 -0.109 99
Colorado State MWC 3-4 -35.0% 106 111 5 -10.0 107 -0.112 100
Louisville ACC 2-5 -36.7% 107 107 0 -6.9 98 -0.181 120
East Carolina AAC 2-4 -37.0% 108 110 2 -11.7 114 -0.114 101
Old Dominion C-USA 1-6 -37.6% 109 105 -4 -11.9 116 -0.117 102
Western Kentucky C-USA 1-5 -37.9% 110 99 -11 -11.1 110 -0.129 106
Illinois Big Ten 3-3 -38.5% 111 95 -16 -8.7 102 -0.169 114
UL-Lafayette Sun Belt 3-3 -38.7% 112 117 5 -5.5 96 -0.297 129
SMU AAC 2-4 -39.5% 113 115 2 -9.5 105 -0.167 112
Texas State Sun Belt 1-5 -40.6% 114 123 9 -11.9 115 -0.148 111
South Alabama Sun Belt 2-5 -42.0% 115 118 3 -11.3 113 -0.172 116
Coastal Carolina Sun Belt 3-3 -42.0% 116 114 -2 -9.5 104 -0.209 125
Massachusetts Ind 2-5 -42.2% 117 120 3 -10.4 109 -0.191 121
Oregon State Pac-12 1-5 -42.3% 118 112 -6 -11.3 112 -0.177 119
UTEP C-USA 0-6 -42.6% 119 125 6 -18.1 127 -0.125 103
Rutgers Big Ten 1-6 -45.4% 120 119 -1 -15.9 124 -0.168 113
Kent State MAC 1-6 -45.8% 121 113 -8 -15.7 123 -0.176 117
Charlotte C-USA 3-3 -46.1% 122 128 6 -13.9 121 -0.200 122
UL-Monroe Sun Belt 3-4 -46.2% 123 127 4 -12.2 117 -0.238 128
Georgia State Sun Belt 2-4 -46.3% 124 122 -2 -13.9 120 -0.205 124
Bowling Green MAC 1-6 -46.9% 125 126 1 -18.8 128 -0.171 115
New Mexico State Ind 2-5 -47.0% 126 121 -5 -14.9 122 -0.204 123
San Jose State MWC 0-6 -47.1% 127 116 -11 -18.1 126 -0.177 118
UTSA C-USA 3-4 -49.8% 128 129 1 -17.5 125 -0.235 126
Rice C-USA 1-6 -51.4% 129 124 -5 -22.8 129 -0.236 127
Connecticut AAC 1-5 -53.6% 130 130 0 -24.6 130 -0.358 130