Innovative Statistics
Football Outsiders exclusive statistics

2019 COLLEGE FOOTBALL F+ RATINGS

through games of Monday, 1/6/20

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and SP+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' "official" college football rankings. The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams. The SP+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays). The components for SP+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

Team Conference F/+ Rk Last
Week
Change SP+ Rk FEI Rk
Ohio State Big Ten 55.4% 1 1 0 34.9 1 1.58 1
LSU SEC 55.0% 2 3 1 32.6 2 1.41 3
Alabama SEC 54.9% 3 2 -1 32.4 3 1.34 4
Clemson ACC 54.7% 4 4 0 29.5 4 1.43 2
Georgia SEC 51.3% 5 7 2 27.0 5 0.86 6
Wisconsin Big Ten 49.7% 6 6 0 20.4 11 0.97 5
Penn State Big Ten 48.9% 7 9 2 24.3 6 0.74 10
Oklahoma Big 12 48.1% 8 5 -3 23.5 8 0.71 12
Florida SEC 47.1% 9 11 2 23.8 7 0.65 16
Utah Pac-12 46.6% 10 8 -2 19.2 12 0.76 8
Auburn SEC 46.2% 11 10 -1 21.1 10 0.67 14
Notre Dame Independents 46.0% 12 16 4 18.1 17 0.77 7
Michigan Big Ten 46.0% 13 12 -1 21.3 9 0.65 15
Oregon Pac-12 45.9% 14 14 0 18.6 15 0.74 9
Central Florida AAC 45.5% 15 13 -2 18.4 16 0.72 11
Minnesota Big Ten 45.0% 16 18 2 18.8 13 0.68 13
Memphis AAC 42.9% 17 15 -2 17.4 18 0.62 17
Baylor Big 12 41.3% 18 17 -1 17.1 19 0.56 19
Iowa Big Ten 40.5% 19 19 0 16.7 20 0.54 20
Washington Pac-12 40.0% 20 20 0 18.7 14 0.46 25
Air Force Mountain West 34.9% 21 23 2 10.6 28 0.57 18
Texas Big 12 34.3% 22 27 5 12.2 25 0.47 23
Texas A&M SEC 34.0% 23 24 1 15.3 21 0.35 30
USC Pac-12 33.9% 24 21 -3 13.1 22 0.42 28
Appalachian State Sun Belt 32.6% 25 25 0 11.4 26 0.44 26
Iowa State Big 12 32.1% 26 22 -4 12.3 24 0.39 29
UL-Lafayette Sun Belt 29.5% 27 29 2 8.6 33 0.46 24
Navy AAC 29.1% 28 28 0 7.4 40 0.51 21
Boise State Mountain West 28.3% 29 26 -3 8.3 37 0.43 27
Florida Atlantic Conference USA 28.3% 30 31 1 6.8 43 0.51 22
Cincinnati AAC 25.5% 31 33 2 8.1 38 0.35 31
North Carolina ACC 25.5% 32 38 6 9.5 31 0.29 32
Indiana Big Ten 24.7% 33 30 -3 13.0 23 0.15 42
Washington State Pac-12 23.7% 34 34 0 11.2 27 0.18 39
Oklahoma State Big 12 23.0% 35 32 -3 9.2 32 0.23 36
Tennessee SEC 20.1% 36 40 4 9.9 30 0.13 44
Michigan State Big Ten 19.7% 37 41 4 7.9 39 0.19 38
Kentucky SEC 19.1% 38 42 4 8.5 34 0.15 41
Kansas State Big 12 18.7% 39 36 -3 5.7 46 0.25 34
TCU Big 12 17.5% 40 39 -1 7.1 41 0.16 40
Miami-FL ACC 16.7% 41 37 -4 9.9 29 0.04 55
Virginia Tech ACC 16.5% 42 43 1 8.4 36 0.09 50
Missouri SEC 16.3% 43 44 1 8.4 35 0.08 51
SMU AAC 15.9% 44 35 -9 3.3 50 0.28 33
Virginia ACC 14.4% 45 47 2 6.9 42 0.09 49
Tulane AAC 14.2% 46 45 -1 6.0 45 0.12 45
Mississippi State SEC 13.0% 47 46 -1 4.7 48 0.14 43
Arizona State Pac-12 10.8% 48 48 0 6.3 44 0.02 58
Western Kentucky Conference USA 9.6% 49 53 4 0.5 60 0.23 37
South Carolina SEC 9.0% 50 54 4 5.6 47 0.00 60
Ole Miss SEC 8.9% 51 51 0 2.8 55 0.11 46
Florida State ACC 8.1% 52 50 -2 2.6 56 0.10 48
Wake Forest ACC 7.0% 53 52 -1 2.4 57 0.08 52
Pittsburgh ACC 5.3% 54 58 4 4.1 49 -0.03 65
Ohio MAC 4.7% 55 56 1 3.2 52 -0.01 62
San Diego State Mountain West 4.3% 56 66 10 2.2 58 0.02 57
Buffalo MAC 4.2% 57 59 2 -3.1 75 0.24 35
Nebraska Big Ten 3.8% 58 55 -3 3.1 53 -0.03 64
Texas Tech Big 12 2.3% 59 57 -2 3.2 51 -0.07 67
Louisiana Tech Conference USA 2.0% 60 65 5 -0.2 64 0.06 53
Wyoming Mountain West 1.8% 61 63 2 -1.3 66 0.10 47
Temple AAC 1.2% 62 49 -13 3.0 54 -0.09 71
Louisville ACC 0.5% 63 61 -2 0.1 63 0.01 59
BYU Independents -0.7% 64 60 -4 1.3 59 -0.07 68
California Pac-12 -1.8% 65 68 3 -2.3 71 0.05 54
Purdue Big Ten -3.3% 66 64 -2 0.2 62 -0.09 70
Illinois Big Ten -4.5% 67 62 -5 0.5 61 -0.13 74
Marshall Conference USA -4.6% 68 67 -1 -1.8 68 -0.04 66
Hawaii Mountain West -5.1% 69 74 5 -2.6 74 -0.02 63
Tulsa AAC -5.8% 70 70 0 -3.3 78 -0.01 61
Oregon State Pac-12 -6.2% 71 71 0 -1.5 67 -0.09 69
Western Michigan MAC -7.4% 72 69 -3 -5.2 91 0.02 56
Duke ACC -9.5% 73 75 2 -1.2 65 -0.19 82
Army Independents -9.8% 74 72 -2 -2.4 73 -0.15 78
UCLA Pac-12 -11.0% 75 77 2 -3.3 77 -0.14 76
Arkansas State Sun Belt -11.7% 76 82 6 -2.3 72 -0.20 86
Southern Miss Conference USA -11.9% 77 78 1 -4.2 86 -0.13 75
UAB Conference USA -12.0% 78 87 9 -2.3 70 -0.21 88
Boston College ACC -12.4% 79 76 -3 -3.2 76 -0.18 81
Colorado Pac-12 -12.6% 80 80 0 -3.6 83 -0.17 79
Houston AAC -12.9% 81 79 -2 -3.8 84 -0.17 80
Fresno State Mountain West -13.0% 82 85 3 -3.4 81 -0.19 83
Ball State MAC -13.2% 83 81 -2 -5.6 92 -0.11 72
Liberty Independents -13.6% 84 90 6 -3.5 82 -0.20 85
Central Michigan MAC -14.3% 85 73 -12 -6.3 96 -0.11 73
Stanford Pac-12 -14.8% 86 86 0 -3.4 79 -0.24 91
Georgia Southern Sun Belt -14.9% 87 84 -3 -4.1 85 -0.21 87
Syracuse ACC -16.0% 88 89 1 -1.8 69 -0.34 101
Utah State Mountain West -16.3% 89 91 2 -3.4 80 -0.28 96
Northwestern Big Ten -16.9% 90 88 -2 -4.7 88 -0.24 92
Charlotte Conference USA -17.4% 91 83 -8 -7.5 99 -0.15 77
Troy Sun Belt -19.1% 92 92 0 -4.5 87 -0.31 98
Florida International Conference USA -20.3% 93 93 0 -6.8 97 -0.25 93
Eastern Michigan MAC -21.6% 94 94 0 -8.6 101 -0.22 89
Colorado State Mountain West -21.8% 95 98 3 -4.9 90 -0.37 103
UL-Monroe Sun Belt -23.1% 96 97 1 -10.7 108 -0.19 84
West Virginia Big 12 -23.2% 97 96 -1 -5.7 95 -0.38 104
Arizona Pac-12 -23.2% 98 95 -3 -7.1 98 -0.32 99
Miami-OH MAC -24.5% 99 103 4 -9.4 104 -0.27 94
San Jose State Mountain West -24.5% 100 101 1 -8.3 100 -0.31 97
Middle Tennessee Conference USA -25.1% 101 99 -2 -11.2 111 -0.23 90
NC State ACC -26.4% 102 104 2 -4.8 89 -0.53 112
South Florida AAC -26.5% 103 102 -1 -9.3 103 -0.33 100
Georgia State Sun Belt -26.8% 104 100 -4 -11.1 109 -0.28 95
North Texas Conference USA -27.3% 105 105 0 -5.7 94 -0.52 109
Maryland Big Ten -28.8% 106 106 0 -5.6 93 -0.58 114
Kent State MAC -29.7% 107 107 0 -10.6 107 -0.38 106
Northern Illinois MAC -31.8% 108 108 0 -12.9 114 -0.37 102
Georgia Tech ACC -32.4% 109 111 2 -11.1 110 -0.45 107
Coastal Carolina Sun Belt -32.5% 110 109 -1 -13.3 115 -0.38 105
Kansas Big 12 -33.2% 111 110 -1 -10.1 106 -0.52 110
Vanderbilt SEC -34.5% 112 113 1 -9.3 102 -0.61 117
Arkansas SEC -35.0% 113 112 -1 -9.7 105 -0.61 116
Nevada Mountain West -37.0% 114 115 1 -12.1 112 -0.58 115
Toledo MAC -37.2% 115 114 -1 -12.8 113 -0.56 113
UNLV Mountain West -39.7% 116 117 1 -17.0 119 -0.52 111
East Carolina AAC -41.1% 117 116 -1 -14.1 116 -0.68 119
South Alabama Sun Belt -41.6% 118 118 0 -20.7 122 -0.51 108
Texas State Sun Belt -42.3% 119 119 0 -15.5 118 -0.68 120
Rice Conference USA -43.6% 120 120 0 -18.7 121 -0.64 118
Rutgers Big Ten -45.8% 121 121 0 -14.3 117 -1.01 125
New Mexico Mountain West -46.0% 122 122 0 -17.3 120 -0.82 122
Old Dominion Conference USA -48.5% 123 123 0 -24.3 125 -0.77 121
UTSA Conference USA -50.0% 124 125 1 -23.9 124 -0.89 123
New Mexico State Independents -50.1% 125 124 -1 -21.7 123 -0.98 124
Connecticut AAC -52.6% 126 126 0 -24.9 126 -1.20 127
UTEP Conference USA -52.9% 127 127 0 -26.2 127 -1.19 126
Bowling Green MAC -53.4% 128 128 0 -27.7 128 -1.24 128
Akron MAC -54.0% 129 129 0 -29.5 129 -1.33 129
Massachusetts Independents -54.9% 130 130 0 -33.7 130 -1.90 130