Innovative Statistics
Football Outsiders exclusive statistics

2019 COLLEGE FOOTBALL F+ RATINGS

through games of Monday, 12/2/19

Beginning with Football Outsiders Almanac 2009, Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly, originators of Football Outsiders' two statistical approaches -- FEI and SP+, respectively -- began to create a combined ranking that would serve as Football Outsiders' "official" college football rankings. The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) considers each of the nearly 20,000 possessions every season in major college football. All drives are filtered to eliminate first-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores. A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams. The SP+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays). The components for SP+ reflect the components of four of what Bill Connelly has deemed the Five Factors of college football: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, and finishing drives. (A fifth factor, turnovers, is informed marginally by sack rates, the only quality-based statistic that has a consistent relationship with turnover margins.)

Team Conference F/+ Rk Last
Week
Change SP+ Rk FEI Rk
Ohio State Big Ten 55.4% 1 1 0 35.8 1 1.65 1
Alabama SEC 54.7% 2 2 0 32.3 2 1.33 3
LSU SEC 54.3% 3 4 1 31.1 3 1.26 4
Clemson ACC 54.3% 4 3 -1 28.8 4 1.40 2
Georgia SEC 52.0% 5 6 1 28.4 5 0.94 7
Utah Pac-12 51.5% 6 5 -1 24.2 7 1.03 6
Wisconsin Big Ten 50.7% 7 8 1 21.7 10 1.07 5
Oklahoma Big 12 50.4% 8 7 -1 25.7 6 0.86 8
Penn State Big Ten 48.2% 9 9 0 23.4 9 0.76 9
Auburn SEC 46.8% 10 11 1 21.6 11 0.72 12
Florida SEC 46.6% 11 15 4 23.7 8 0.66 15
Michigan Big Ten 46.4% 12 10 -2 21.3 12 0.71 13
Central Florida AAC 45.0% 13 16 3 18.4 15 0.73 11
Memphis AAC 44.9% 14 14 0 20.6 13 0.65 17
Baylor Big 12 44.5% 15 18 3 19.3 14 0.67 14
Notre Dame Independents 44.5% 16 12 -4 17.3 18 0.75 10
Minnesota Big Ten 42.9% 17 13 -4 17.3 17 0.66 16
Oregon Pac-12 42.4% 18 17 -1 17.2 19 0.64 18
Iowa Big Ten 38.7% 19 19 0 15.8 20 0.53 20
Washington Pac-12 37.6% 20 23 3 18.1 16 0.42 28
USC Pac-12 36.7% 21 22 1 14.2 22 0.51 21
Iowa State Big 12 35.8% 22 21 -1 13.5 23 0.50 22
Air Force Mountain West 34.2% 23 26 3 11.0 27 0.55 19
Texas A&M SEC 33.6% 24 20 -4 15.1 21 0.37 30
Appalachian State Sun Belt 31.4% 25 31 6 10.7 28 0.46 25
UL-Lafayette Sun Belt 31.1% 26 24 -2 9.5 32 0.50 23
Texas Big 12 30.5% 27 32 5 10.6 29 0.43 27
Navy AAC 28.9% 28 27 -1 8.6 34 0.47 24
Boise State Mountain West 28.7% 29 25 -4 8.8 33 0.45 26
Indiana Big Ten 25.9% 30 29 -1 13.4 24 0.20 41
Oklahoma State Big 12 25.2% 31 28 -3 10.0 30 0.29 34
Washington State Pac-12 24.4% 32 30 -2 11.4 25 0.22 37
Cincinnati AAC 23.4% 33 34 1 7.7 39 0.33 33
SMU AAC 22.0% 34 37 3 5.9 47 0.37 31
Kansas State Big 12 21.1% 35 39 4 5.9 46 0.34 32
Florida Atlantic Conference USA 21.0% 36 40 4 4.4 50 0.41 29
Miami-FL ACC 20.7% 37 33 -4 11.1 26 0.13 47
TCU Big 12 19.5% 38 35 -3 7.7 38 0.22 38
Tennessee SEC 19.1% 39 43 4 9.6 31 0.14 45
North Carolina ACC 19.1% 40 44 4 7.6 40 0.21 40
Michigan State Big Ten 17.9% 41 36 -5 6.8 43 0.21 39
Kentucky SEC 17.6% 42 51 9 7.9 36 0.16 43
Virginia ACC 17.5% 43 41 -2 7.8 37 0.16 44
Missouri SEC 15.3% 44 45 1 8.2 35 0.09 52
Virginia Tech ACC 15.1% 45 38 -7 7.2 41 0.12 48
Tulane AAC 14.0% 46 42 -4 6.5 45 0.12 50
Mississippi State SEC 13.2% 47 47 0 4.9 49 0.16 42
Arizona State Pac-12 12.1% 48 48 0 7.0 42 0.05 54
Temple AAC 10.4% 49 53 4 6.7 44 0.02 58
South Carolina SEC 8.2% 50 50 0 5.5 48 0.01 62
Florida State ACC 7.7% 51 46 -5 2.2 57 0.13 46
Ole Miss SEC 7.7% 52 54 2 2.6 53 0.11 51
Wake Forest ACC 7.6% 53 49 -4 2.3 55 0.12 49
Western Kentucky Conference USA 7.1% 54 56 2 -0.5 63 0.23 35
Nebraska Big Ten 4.1% 55 58 3 2.9 52 0.01 60
Texas Tech Big 12 3.9% 56 52 -4 3.5 51 -0.02 66
Ohio MAC 3.5% 57 62 5 2.5 54 0.01 61
Pittsburgh ACC 1.6% 58 60 2 2.3 56 -0.03 69
Buffalo MAC 1.1% 59 67 8 -4.4 86 0.23 36
BYU Independents 0.9% 60 59 -1 1.4 58 -0.01 65
Louisville ACC -0.4% 61 55 -6 -0.4 62 0.03 56
Illinois Big Ten -1.4% 62 57 -5 0.9 59 -0.05 70
Wyoming Mountain West -2.6% 63 61 -2 -2.1 70 0.04 55
Purdue Big Ten -2.7% 64 63 -1 0.4 60 -0.06 71
Louisiana Tech Conference USA -2.9% 65 65 0 -1.7 68 0.02 57
Hawaii Mountain West -4.9% 66 75 9 -2.0 69 -0.02 67
San Diego State Mountain West -5.0% 67 71 4 -0.3 61 -0.09 75
Western Michigan MAC -5.5% 68 66 -2 -4.5 88 0.06 53
Oregon State Pac-12 -5.6% 69 70 1 -1.2 66 -0.07 72
California Pac-12 -5.7% 70 72 2 -3.3 77 0.01 59
Marshall Conference USA -6.2% 71 68 -3 -2.6 72 -0.03 68
Army Independents -6.2% 72 64 -8 -0.8 64 -0.10 76
Tulsa AAC -6.3% 73 76 3 -3.4 78 0.00 63
Central Michigan MAC -7.4% 74 85 11 -4.1 83 0.00 64
UAB Conference USA -9.4% 75 80 5 -1.2 65 -0.17 82
Duke ACC -9.9% 76 82 6 -1.5 67 -0.17 85
Boston College ACC -10.1% 77 73 -4 -4.1 82 -0.07 73
UCLA Pac-12 -10.7% 78 69 -9 -3.5 79 -0.11 79
Colorado Pac-12 -11.0% 79 78 -1 -2.9 73 -0.14 80
Southern Miss Conference USA -11.7% 80 77 -3 -4.4 87 -0.10 77
Houston AAC -11.8% 81 79 -2 -3.2 75 -0.15 81
Ball State MAC -13.5% 82 90 8 -5.8 94 -0.09 74
Arkansas State Sun Belt -13.7% 83 74 -9 -2.9 74 -0.21 88
Fresno State Mountain West -14.6% 84 81 -3 -3.8 81 -0.20 87
Georgia Southern Sun Belt -14.8% 85 94 9 -4.6 90 -0.17 84
Charlotte Conference USA -15.1% 86 92 6 -6.5 98 -0.11 78
Stanford Pac-12 -15.2% 87 84 -3 -3.2 76 -0.24 93
Northwestern Big Ten -15.8% 88 95 7 -4.3 85 -0.21 89
Syracuse ACC -16.8% 89 87 -2 -2.4 71 -0.32 100
Liberty Independents -16.9% 90 98 8 -4.3 84 -0.24 94
Utah State Mountain West -18.0% 91 86 -5 -3.6 80 -0.30 99
Troy Sun Belt -19.1% 92 83 -9 -4.6 89 -0.29 97
Florida International Conference USA -20.5% 93 96 3 -7.3 99 -0.22 92
Arizona Pac-12 -21.0% 94 89 -5 -5.9 96 -0.29 96
Eastern Michigan MAC -21.1% 95 91 -4 -8.9 101 -0.18 86
West Virginia Big 12 -22.2% 96 100 4 -5.8 93 -0.33 103
UL-Monroe Sun Belt -22.7% 97 101 4 -10.6 106 -0.17 83
Colorado State Mountain West -23.5% 98 104 6 -5.4 91 -0.39 106
Georgia State Sun Belt -24.9% 99 88 -11 -10.9 108 -0.22 91
San Jose State Mountain West -25.4% 100 108 8 -8.4 100 -0.32 101
Middle Tennessee Conference USA -25.4% 101 102 1 -11.7 111 -0.21 90
South Florida AAC -25.7% 102 93 -9 -9.1 102 -0.30 98
Miami-OH MAC -27.0% 103 99 -4 -10.8 107 -0.28 95
NC State ACC -27.1% 104 97 -7 -5.4 92 -0.51 111
North Texas Conference USA -27.5% 105 103 -2 -5.9 95 -0.50 110
Maryland Big Ten -28.6% 106 107 1 -6.0 97 -0.54 113
Northern Illinois MAC -31.0% 107 111 4 -13.3 114 -0.32 102
Kent State MAC -31.2% 108 110 2 -11.7 110 -0.38 105
Coastal Carolina Sun Belt -31.8% 109 109 0 -12.8 113 -0.36 104
Kansas Big 12 -32.0% 110 106 -4 -10.0 105 -0.47 108
Georgia Tech ACC -32.1% 111 105 -6 -11.0 109 -0.43 107
Vanderbilt SEC -35.0% 112 113 1 -9.6 103 -0.61 116
Arkansas SEC -35.3% 113 114 1 -9.8 104 -0.61 115
Toledo MAC -37.5% 114 112 -2 -13.4 115 -0.54 114
Nevada Mountain West -38.7% 115 116 1 -12.5 112 -0.63 118
East Carolina AAC -40.4% 116 115 -1 -13.9 116 -0.65 119
UNLV Mountain West -41.0% 117 118 1 -17.9 120 -0.54 112
South Alabama Sun Belt -41.3% 118 119 1 -20.7 122 -0.49 109
Texas State Sun Belt -41.4% 119 117 -2 -14.9 118 -0.66 120
Rice Conference USA -43.0% 120 120 0 -18.5 121 -0.61 117
Rutgers Big Ten -45.2% 121 121 0 -14.3 117 -0.97 124
New Mexico Mountain West -46.2% 122 122 0 -17.5 119 -0.83 122
Old Dominion Conference USA -48.1% 123 123 0 -23.9 124 -0.75 121
New Mexico State Independents -49.7% 124 124 0 -21.0 123 -0.98 125
UTSA Conference USA -49.8% 125 125 0 -24.1 125 -0.87 123
Connecticut AAC -52.3% 126 126 0 -25.0 126 -1.17 127
UTEP Conference USA -52.6% 127 127 0 -26.1 127 -1.17 126
Bowling Green MAC -53.2% 128 128 0 -28.2 128 -1.22 128
Akron MAC -53.7% 129 129 0 -29.6 129 -1.30 129
Massachusetts Independents -54.6% 130 130 0 -33.8 130 -1.88 130