SPAGS Fantasy Football Rankings

Prepare for the 2023 fantasy football season with Chris Spags' SPAGS (Superior Players And Great Spots) Rankings! In addition to write-ups and ranks for each player's 2023 outlook, see key player data from Sports Info Solutions and Football Outsiders along with the current market average draft positions on Underdog Fantasy.

1
Justin Jefferson
WR
POS RK WR1
UD ADP 1.2
UD PROJ 288.7
SPAGS RK 1
SPAGS POS RK WR1
EPA Rush -
EPA Pass 0.33
SB W Odds 4838
RK vs ADP 0.2

Massive Expected Points Added at his volume. He defines the "Superior Player" part of the name of these rankings with an ability to put up 2,000 yards that is unparalleled.

2
Ja'Marr Chase
WR
POS RK WR2
UD ADP 2.6
UD PROJ 271.7
SPAGS RK 2
SPAGS POS RK WR2
EPA Rush -
EPA Pass 0.06
SB W Odds 1001
RK vs ADP 0.6

Shocking how much less efficient he was than Tee Higgins but had more volume overall. 11 int. touches per game is a Great Spot.

3
Cooper Kupp
WR
POS RK WR4
UD ADP 6.1
UD PROJ 252.7
SPAGS RK 3
SPAGS POS RK WR3
EPA Rush -
EPA Pass 0.16
SB W Odds 7841
RK vs ADP 3.1

Undervalued solely due to injury and shinier new toys. Defensive losses for LAR should mean more opportunity for as long as they can stay in the hunt for a playoff spot. Stetson Bennett will be able to get him the ball if Stafford breaks down.

4
Tyreek Hill
WR
POS RK WR3
UD ADP 5.2
UD PROJ 256.2
SPAGS RK 4
SPAGS POS RK WR4
EPA Rush -
EPA Pass 0.31
SB W Odds 1709
RK vs ADP 1.2

Top Pass Rate Over Expectation offense, high EPA. Only risk (if we assume Tua can be healthy) is Waddle seizing more of the overall share.

5
Stefon Diggs
WR
POS RK WR5
UD ADP 8
UD PROJ 236.9
SPAGS RK 5
SPAGS POS RK WR5
EPA Rush -
EPA Pass 0.42
SB W Odds 850
RK vs ADP 3

Too good at too high of a volume to have any lower. The Bills remain a Super Bowl favorite, one whose defense could regress and create more pass game volume.

6
Travis Kelce
TE
POS RK TE1
UD ADP 5
UD PROJ 209.2
SPAGS RK 6
SPAGS POS RK TE1
EPA Rush -
EPA Pass 0.34
SB W Odds 675
RK vs ADP -1

Top TE but age is a question as he turns 34 next season. You should still continue to draft him on a KC team that did not acquire a massive target earner who would threaten his volume or RZ roles.

7
Christian McCaffrey
RB
POS RK RB1
UD ADP 2.7
UD PROJ 267.8
SPAGS RK 7
SPAGS POS RK RB1
EPA Rush 0.01
EPA Pass 0.11
SB W Odds 847
RK vs ADP -4.3

Trey Lance may or may not start; if he does, the short receiving game may decay for McCaffrey. The rank mostly reflects the Best Ball value of WRs over RBs. All it takes is an Eli Mitchell TD in Week 17 while any 1st round WR goes off to make a McCaffrey choice -EV.

8
Davante Adams
WR
POS RK WR7
UD ADP 11.8
UD PROJ 245.2
SPAGS RK 8
SPAGS POS RK WR6
EPA Rush -
EPA Pass 0.13
SB W Odds 3003
RK vs ADP 3.8

The addition of accurate, PPR-friendly Jimmy Garoppolo is a big plus for maintaining his value. I'd be comfortable taking him above the top RBs but your mileage may vary, particularly with Jakobi Meyers' contract earning him some looks.

9
A.J. Brown
WR
POS RK WR6
UD ADP 9.5
UD PROJ 230.3
SPAGS RK 9
SPAGS POS RK WR7
EPA Rush -
EPA Pass 0.23
SB W Odds 748
RK vs ADP 0.5

Explosive ceiling is why he's here. Week to week there should be some concern with Smith and Goedert just as good within this offense (as well as Hurts and a more-explosive-than-Miles D'Andre Swift or Rashaad Penny siphoning TDs).

10
Bijan Robinson
RB
POS RK RB2
UD ADP 7.2
UD PROJ 234.5
SPAGS RK 10
SPAGS POS RK RB2
EPA Rush 0.122
EPA Pass 0.396
SB W Odds 8424
RK vs ADP -2.8

Top back in the draft, great catching passes. 33% avoided tackle rate at his volume is insane and should port over to the NFL level. He is perhaps somewhat overvalued due to ATL's success with Tyler Allgeier; he'll be better than Allgeier but still yield some goal line looks and touches overall.

Save 10%
& See the Rest
Full SPAGS Rankings are available only to FO+ members. Use promo code SPAGS to save 10% on any FO+ membership.