2020 Team DVOA Ratings: Overall

Team	Total DVOA		Prev. Week Rank	W-L	Weighted DVOA		DAVE		Offense DVOA		Defense DVOA		Special Teams DVOA		Estimated Wins		Unadj. Total VOA		Past Schedule		Future Schedule		Variance
NO	1	38.3%	1	9-2	1	42.7%	1	38.6%	5	12.6%	2	-21.3%	5	4.4%	2	9.5	2	38.0%	16	0.6%	16	0.6%	26	17.7%
PIT	2	28.6%	3	10-0	2	30.8%	3	25.5%	15	1.9%	1	-24.2%	10	2.5%	3	9.5	1	42.6%	32	-11.0%	18	0.2%	11	7.4%
TB	3	26.3%	2	7-5	4	24.7%	4	23.6%	6	11.2%	3	-16.2%	20	-1.1%	4	8.9	4	22.8%	3	6.1%	28	-5.9%	32	25.0%
KC
GB
LAR
BAL
IND
SEA
MIA
BUF
TEN
ARI
SF
MIN
CAR
HOU
LV
CHI
WAS
ATL
CLE
NE
DET
NYG
LAC
PHI
DAL
JAX
DEN
CIN
NYJ

This table explained

Our proprietary Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) system breaks down every single NFL play and compares a team's performance to a league baseline based on situation in order to determine value over average. (Explained further here.) Only the regular season is included.

OFFENSE and DEFENSE DVOA are adjusted based on strength of opponent as well as to consider all fumbles, kept or lost, as equal value. SPECIAL TEAMS DVOA is adjusted for type of stadium (warm, cold, dome, Denver) and week of season.

As always, positive numbers represent more points so DEFENSE is better when it is NEGATIVE.

For 2020 only: DAVE combines our preseason forecast with games played so far to get a more accurate projection of how teams will play the rest of the season. DAVE is currently 16% preseason forecast except for Tampa Bay and Carolina (7%).

UNADJUSTED TOTAL VOA does not include the adjustments for opponent strength or the adjustments for weather and altitude in special teams, and only penalizes offenses for lost fumbles rather than all fumbles.
WEIGHTED DVOA is adjusted so that earlier games in the season become gradually less important. It better reflects how the team was playing at the end of the season.
ESTIMATED WINS uses a statistic known as "Forest Index" that emphasizes consistency as well as DVOA in the most important specific situations: red zone defense, first quarter offense, and performance in the second half when the score is close. It then projects a number of wins adjusted to a league-average schedule and a league-average rate of recovering fumbles. Teams that have had their bye week are projected as if they had played one game per week.
SCHEDULE lists average DVOA of opponents played this season, ranked from hardest schedule (#1, most positive) to easiest schedule (#32, most negative). It is not adjusted for which games are home or road. For the current season, the listing of schedule is split into past and future schedules.
VARIANCE measures the statistical variance of the team's weekly DVOA performance. Teams are ranked from most consistent (#1, lowest variance) to least consistent (#32, highest variance).
PYTHAGOREAN WINS represent a projection of the team's expected wins based solely on points scored and allowed. (Not listed in 2020.)

Note for 1987: strikebreaker games (Weeks 4-6) are not included.

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2020 Team DVOA Ratings: Overall

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