2021 Team DVOA Ratings: Overall

Team	Total DVOA		Prev. Year Rank	W-L	Weighted DVOA		Offense DVOA		Defense DVOA		Special Teams DVOA		Estimated Wins		Unadj. Total VOA		Schedule		Pythagorean Wins		Variance
DAL	1	30.9%	23	12-5	1	34.6%	6	13.6%	2	-15.2%	6	2.1%	3	13.3	2	34.0%	26	-2.2%	3	12.5	13	13.1%
BUF	2	27.6%	4	11-6	3	26.1%	10	9.7%	1	-18.0%	19	-0.1%	6	11.0	1	34.2%	32	-5.0%	1	13.3	32	30.9%
TB	3	27.6%	2	13-4	4	25.9%	1	26.7%	9	-3.3%	27	-2.4%	2	13.3	3	31.7%	31	-3.6%	4	12.2	3	7.3%
NE	4	23.3%	22	10-7	2	31.2%	9	10.5%	4	-12.8%	18	0.0%	8	10.1	4	24.1%	25	-1.7%	2	12.6	30	25.1%
LAR	5	21.6%	9	12-5	7	21.1%	8	10.6%	5	-8.5%	4	2.5%	1	13.4	5	19.3%	16	0.5%	6	10.7	5	7.4%
SF
KC
GB
SEA
ARI
IND
LAC
CLE
NO
PHI
MIN
CIN
DEN
BAL
TEN
LV
WAS
PIT
CHI
MIA
NYJ
CAR
HOU
DET
ATL
NYG
JAX

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NFL Week 21 • June 23, 2022

April 25th, 9:00 am ET

Overall
Fantasy

1 K. Thibodeaux EDGE
2 A. Hutchinson EDGE
3 I. Ekwonu OT
4 E. Neal OT
5 K. Hamilton S
6 C. Cross OT
7 G. Wilson WR
8 G. Karlaftis EDGE
9 J. Davis DT
10 M. Willis QB

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1 B. Hall RB
2 K. Walker RB
3 I. Spiller RB
4 G. Wilson WR
5 D. London WR
6 K. Pickett QB
7 J. Dotson WR
8 M. Willis QB
9 C. Olave WR
10 J. Cook RB

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June 23, 10:30am ET

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View Defense DVOA

This table explained

Our proprietary Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) system breaks down every single NFL play and compares a team's performance to a league baseline based on situation in order to determine value over average. (Explained further here.) Only the regular season is included.

OFFENSE and DEFENSE DVOA are adjusted based on strength of opponent as well as to consider all fumbles, kept or lost, as equal value. SPECIAL TEAMS DVOA is adjusted for type of stadium (warm, cold, dome, Denver) and week of season.

As always, positive numbers represent more points so DEFENSE is better when it is NEGATIVE.

UNADJUSTED TOTAL VOA does not include the adjustments for opponent strength or the adjustments for weather and altitude in special teams, and only penalizes offenses for lost fumbles rather than all fumbles.
WEIGHTED DVOA is adjusted so that earlier games in the season become gradually less important. It better reflects how the team was playing at the end of the season.
ESTIMATED WINS uses a statistic known as "Forest Index" that emphasizes consistency as well as DVOA in the most important specific situations: red zone defense, first quarter offense, and performance in the second half when the score is close. It then projects a number of wins adjusted to a league-average schedule and a league-average rate of recovering fumbles. Teams that have had their bye week are projected as if they had played one game per week.
SCHEDULE lists average DVOA of opponents played this season, ranked from hardest schedule (#1, most positive) to easiest schedule (#32, most negative). It is not adjusted for which games are home or road. For the current season, the listing of schedule is split into past and future schedules.
VARIANCE measures the statistical variance of the team's weekly DVOA performance. Teams are ranked from most consistent (#1, lowest variance) to least consistent (#32, highest variance).
PYTHAGOREAN WINS represent a projection of the team's expected wins based solely on points scored and allowed. (Not listed in 2021.)

Note for 1987: strikebreaker games (Weeks 4-6) are not included.

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