Innovative Statistics

Football Outsiders exclusive statistics

QUARTERBACKS 2018

Regular season totals, through Week 2

Revised as of 9/18/2018

Quarterbacks are ranked according to DYAR, or Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement. This gives the value of the quarterback 's performance compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage. DYAR (and its cousin, YAR, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The other statistic given is DVOA, or Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. This number represents value, per play, over an average quarterback in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. DVOA (and its cousin, VOA, which isn't adjusted based on opponent) is further explained here.

The simple version: DYAR means a quarterback with more total value. DVOA means a quarterback with more value per play.

Effective Yards, listed in red, translate DVOA into a yards per attempt figure. This provides an easy comparison: in general, players with more Effective Yards than standard yards played better than standard stats would otherwise indicate, while players with fewer Effective Yards than standard yards played worse than standard stats would otherwise indicate. Effective Yards are not the best way to measure total value because they are more dependent on usage than DYAR.

Total QBR (listed as just QBR) is a metric created by the ESPN Stats & Information group. Total QBR is based on the by the quarterback on each play, then adjusts the numbers to a scale of 0-100. There are five main differences between Total QBR and Football Outsiders' DVOA metric (with further explanation here):

  • Total QBR incorporates information from game charting, such as passes dropped or thrown away on purpose.
  • Total QBR splits responsibility on plays between the quarterback, his receivers, and his blockers. Drops, for example, are more on the receiver, as are yards after the catch, and some sacks are more on the offensive line than others.
  • Total QBR has a clutch factor which adds (or subtracts) value for quarterbacks who perform best (or worst) in high-leverage situations.
  • Total QBR combines passing and rushing value into one number and differentiates between scrambles and planned runs.
  • Beginning in 2016, Total QBR is now adjusted for strength of opponent. Total QBR on other stats pages (pre-2016) has not yet been updated with opponent adjustment.

Further information about the table below:

  • Passes total includes sacks and aborted snaps. Both count against a quarterback's value.
  • Intentional clock-stopping spikes are not counted as passes, which may cause completion rate to be different from official NFL stats.
  • Fumbles count the same whether lost to the defense or retained by the offense.
  • DPI lists the number of plays and yards where the quarterback drew Defensive Pass Interference. These plays are incorporated into DVOA and DYAR, but are not included in the totals for Passes or Yards.
  • ALEX represents Air Less EXpected on third downs, the average difference between the length of the quarterback's throw and the distance needed for a new set of downs. The number listed here only includes third downs and is not adjusted for passes thrown away or batted down.

Clicking on a player's name will bring you to his FO player page with advanced stats through the most recent season.

PASSING: Minimum 30 passes, 32 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
R.Fitzpatrick TB 478 1 98.7% 1 95.7 1 63 810 1,000 8 0 0 1 78.7% 1/15 6.4
P.Mahomes KC 356 2 81.1% 2 91.9 2 58 576 795 10 1 0 0 69.1% 0/0 -0.2
D.Brees NO 347 3 47.3% 3 81.2 3 84 645 951 5 0 0 0 81.3% 2/30 1.4
P.Rivers LAC 299 4 44.3% 4 73.1 8 81 658 840 6 0 0 1 73.1% 0/0 -0.8
J.Goff LAR 250 5 44.0% 5 74.2 7 68 567 705 3 1 0 1 64.6% 2/87 2.7
K.Cousins MIN 246 6 31.7% 7 70.9 9 89 639 798 6 0 0 1 65.5% 0/0 0.7
A.Dalton CIN 230 7 39.4% 6 75.3 6 72 494 681 6 0 0 1 64.3% 3/55 -2.2
B.Bortles JAX 145 8 16.7% 8 77.1 5 79 545 618 5 0 0 2 60.3% 0/0 -2.4
J.Flacco BAL 138 9 11.1% 12 62.9 12 93 584 689 5 1 1 2 65.5% 3/65 1.6
A.Smith WAS 122 10 12.3% 10 52.5 16 81 503 583 2 2 0 0 74.0% 0/0 -1.9
A.Rodgers GB 118 11 13.8% 9 54.9 13 77 510 540 4 1 0 0 71.4% 0/0 -1.3
T.Brady NE 116 12 10.7% 13 78.6 4 78 487 585 5 0 1 1 67.6% 1/14 3.5
C.Newton CAR 107 13 11.4% 11 63.9 11 75 464 529 3 0 0 1 70.0% 1/16 1.1
D.Carr OAK 96 14 8.2% 14 43.3 20 74 581 529 1 0 0 3 80.6% 0/0 -3.4
S.Darnold NYJ 60 15 3.3% 15 39.6 21 67 500 415 3 0 0 3 66.1% 1/5 5.3
B.Roethlisberger PIT 48 16 -4.3% 16 53.8 14 106 750 638 4 0 2 3 61.4% 2/16 -1.7
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk QBR Rk Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
D.Watson HOU 28 17 -4.7% 17 44.0 18 73 437 394 3 2 0 2 60.0% 1/16 5.8
A.Luck IND 19 18 -7.9% 18 64.5 10 87 482 499 4 0 0 3 71.4% 1/37 -0.2
M.Ryan ATL -1 19 -11.3% 19 51.8 17 75 480 374 2 1 0 2 62.9% 1/14 -0.4
D.Prescott DAL -6 20 -12.7% 20 43.8 19 60 298 298 1 0 1 0 64.8% 2/18 -2.3
B.Gabbert TEN -20 21 -19.1% 24 34.8 26 43 213 175 1 0 0 1 58.5% 0/0 -1.1
R.Tannehill MIA -26 22 -18.0% 23 34.1 27 56 348 269 4 1 1 2 72.5% 0/0 2.0
C.Keenum DEN -27 23 -16.5% 21 37.6 23 76 541 365 3 0 0 4 59.5% 0/0 4.2
N.Foles PHI -30 24 -16.6% 22 52.5 15 86 475 409 1 0 1 1 66.7% 3/32 -2.1
J.Garoppolo SF -70 25 -26.6% 26 22.7 31 69 390 269 3 1 0 3 55.9% 2/35 -1.0
E.Manning NYG -80 26 -26.6% 27 37.3 24 89 435 307 1 0 1 1 69.1% 2/45 -4.3
M.Stafford DET -85 27 -23.3% 25 31.7 29 101 615 448 4 0 1 4 61.6% 2/23 4.5
M.Trubisky CHI -96 28 -30.4% 28 38.7 22 75 342 271 2 1 1 2 69.6% 0/0 -1.1
J.Allen BUF -109 29 -43.2% 31 17.9 32 56 267 125 1 0 0 2 50.0% 1/20 2.3
R.Wilson SEA -126 30 -37.2% 30 27.2 30 79 435 219 5 3 1 2 62.1% 0/0 2.3
T.Taylor CLE -133 31 -36.5% 29 36.4 25 79 384 241 2 1 0 2 53.6% 2/34 1.9
S.Bradford ARI -203 32 -61.5% 32 33.3 28 64 227 48 0 0 1 2 60.7% 0/0 -0.4

PASSING, OTHERS: 8-29 passes

Player Team DYAR DVOA QBR Pass Yards EYds TD FK FL INT C% DPI ALEX
D.Kizer GB -81 -206.9% 5.7 9 37 -77 0 0 1 1 57.1% 0/0 -6.7
M.Mariota TEN -95 -93.4% 51.9 16 103 -36 0 0 0 2 56.3% 0/0 12.8
N.Peterman BUF -175 -171.7% 0.9 21 12 -151 0 0 0 2 27.8% 0/0 7.6

RUSHING: Minimum 2 rushes, 32 players ranked

Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
C.Newton CAR 32 1 30.0% 8 15 106 128 1 0
B.Bortles JAX 25 2 55.0% 4 7 80 86 0 0
D.Prescott DAL 23 3 37.6% 7 9 67 89 0 0
B.Roethlisberger PIT 22 4 81.6% 1 4 26 69 1 0
M.Ryan ATL 22 5 38.0% 6 6 26 82 2 0
R.Tannehill MIA 19 6 55.6% 3 6 53 65 0 0
R.Fitzpatrick TB 16 7 23.5% 13 8 39 69 1 0
D.Watson HOU 16 8 20.0% 14 11 85 70 0 1
P.Mahomes KC 14 9 23.7% 11 7 41 60 0 0
C.Keenum DEN 12 10 41.8% 5 3 16 45 1 0
T.Taylor CLE 10 11 8.9% 17 12 100 59 1 2
J.Allen BUF 10 12 3.2% 19 12 58 72 0 0
R.Wilson SEA 8 13 28.5% 9 4 22 34 0 0
J.Flacco BAL 8 14 12.8% 15 4 11 43 0 0
T.Brady NE 8 15 24.5% 10 3 13 35 0 0
M.Mariota TEN 7 16 23.5% 12 3 15 29 0 0
Player Team DYAR Rk DVOA Rk Runs Yards EYds TD FUM
N.Foles PHI 6 17 12.5% 16 3 8 32 0 0
M.Trubisky CHI 6 18 -2.2% 20 11 58 56 1 0
M.Stafford DET 6 19 62.1% 2 2 14 18 0 0
B.Gabbert TEN 3 20 4.7% 18 2 2 18 0 0
J.Garoppolo SF 1 21 -7.6% 21 3 11 16 0 0
A.Luck IND 0 22 -10.5% 22 3 11 17 0 0
E.Manning NYG -1 23 -14.6% 23 4 6 14 0 0
K.Cousins MIN -3 24 -21.0% 24 6 31 15 0 0
A.Dalton CIN -3 25 -36.1% 27 2 8 2 0 0
L.Jackson BAL -5 26 -22.6% 25 9 44 22 0 1
A.Smith WAS -5 27 -23.8% 26 10 29 21 0 1
J.Goff LAR -7 28 -51.6% 28 2 2 -3 0 0
D.Carr OAK -7 29 -117.6% 31 2 1 -12 0 0
S.Darnold NYJ -12 30 -90.5% 30 3 5 -16 0 1
A.Rodgers GB -13 31 -75.0% 29 4 23 -18 0 1
P.Rivers LAC -30 32 -130.6% 32 3 1 -52 0 1