Buffalo Bills

AFC East

A+

Overall Team DVOA

51.8% 1st

The Bills suffered an agonizing blown lead in the final 13 seconds of their divisional round matchup with their AFC rival Chiefs, and their front office responded with moves this offseason Football Outsiders would seldom support. They paid top free agent money for a player in his 30s in Von Miller. They traded up in the first round of the draft and picked a player in cornerback Kaiir Elam for his positional need. And they drafted a running back in James Cook in the second round and a specialist in punter Matt Araiza in the sixth round. Those moves could hurt the team in the long run, but the Bills have the No. 1 team DVOA projection for 2022 and are entering their final year with star quarterback Josh Allen on a discount on their salary cap. The Bills have real urgency to win a Super Bowl in the next couple of years, and they are taking their shot.. - Scott Spratt

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 3

Total DVOA
51.8%1st
Offense
16.5%6th
Defense
-32.1%2nd
Special Teams
3.2%8th
Weighted DVOA
51.8%1st
Unadj. Total VOA
53.1%1st
Future Schedule
0.7%16th
Past Schedule
-7.6%23rd

2022 Season Projections

Mean Projection
10.2 wins4th
Projected Schedule
-2.4%29th
Projected DVOA
11.3%5th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
42.0%1st
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
32.6%4th
Win Super Bowl
6.7%4th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
42.0%1st
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
32.6%4th
Win Super Bowl
6.7%4th

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2022