Buffalo Bills

AFC East

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Overall Team DVOA

23.8% 4th

The 2020 Buffalo Bills rode the back of Josh Allen and the greatest Year 3 leap we've ever seen to major contender status. Buffalo has opted to keep most of the band together to take another shot at the title in 2021, meaning it's up to Allen to prove he's no one-year wonder and up to the defense to prove that they're the stingy unit from November and December, and not the struggling group from the first half of last year. If both hold true, watch out, AFC.  – Bryan Knowles

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 17

Total DVOA
23.8%4th
Offense
15.6%5th
Defense
-2.2%12th
Special Teams
5.9%4th
Weighted DVOA
34.5%1st
Unadj. Total VOA
24.6%4th
Pythagorean Wins
10.95th
Schedule Strength
-1.6%22nd

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
10.2 wins4th
Projected Schedule
-2.4%29th
Projected DVOA
11.3%5th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
42.0%1st
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
32.6%4th
Win Super Bowl
6.7%4th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
42.0%1st
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
32.6%4th
Win Super Bowl
6.7%4th

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021