Cincinnati Bengals

AFC North

C

Overall Team DVOA

-0.1% 17th

Pain.

That's what the Bengals and their fans feel after coming agonizingly close to winning a most unlikely Super Bowl championship. Now the focus is back on the regular season--that is, how to improve a team that was middling in many aspects before riding an amazing hot streak to the cusp of the Lombardi Trophy. Obviously, getting better on an offensive line that turned Joe Brrrr into Jumpy Joe Burrow is priority 1-A, and probably 1-B and 1-C as well. The pass rush bagged a good number sacks but was bottom half in Adjusted Sack Rate, and the pass defense was just 24th in DVOA, despite becoming an interception machine in the postseason. Often, the Super Bowl loser is a strong team that goes astray the next season for the usual reasons--injuries, player departures, coaching changes, etc. Cincy is a mediocre team that is actually on the upswing, and can avoid the Big Game Hangover if it remains honest about what challenges remain. 

Meanwhile, allow this Bengals fan to say--"Aaaaarrrrggggghhhhhh!!!!"

--Robert Weintraub

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 22

Total DVOA
-0.1%17th
Offense
1.3%18th
Defense
3.0%19th
Special Teams
1.6%8th
Weighted DVOA
1.8%14th
Unadj. Total VOA
3.1%17th
Pythagorean Wins
10.69th
Schedule Strength
-2.9%30th

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
7.5 wins22nd
Projected Schedule
1.9%5th
Projected DVOA
-8.2%24th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
26.6%22nd
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
7.6%22nd
Win Super Bowl
0.8%23rd
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
26.6%22nd
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
7.6%22nd
Win Super Bowl
0.8%23rd

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021