Houston Texans

AFC South

D

Overall Team DVOA

-12.6% 24th

Aw man. We're sorry you're reading this. It's a bummer. This team's bad. Nick Caserio kind of seemed like he might be a good general manager prospect but instead he signed 37 different free agents and embraced competition as an ethos. There will be a seven-player competition to see who will get roasted at linebacker by any running back who can catch this year. All we can say for the ethos is that nobody the Texans start is likely to be roundly bad. The problem is that outside of Laremy Tunsil and Brandin Cooks, nobody projects to be roundly good either. And with difference-making quarterback Deshaun Watson likely to be suspended by the NFL or by his own desires to get out of town, there's really not a way to make this roster float.  – Rivers McCown

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 17

Total DVOA
-12.6%24th
Offense
2.7%13th
Defense
14.3%30th
Special Teams
-1.0%21st
Weighted DVOA
-15.7%25th
Unadj. Total VOA
-9.7%23rd
Pythagorean Wins
6.125th
Schedule Strength
-0.1%18th

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
6.7 wins31st
Projected Schedule
-2.3%28th
Projected DVOA
-18.5%31st
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
19.1%31st
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
4.4%31st
Win Super Bowl
0.3%31st
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
19.1%31st
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
4.4%31st
Win Super Bowl
0.3%31st

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021