Indianapolis Colts

AFC South

B

Overall Team DVOA

14.2% 10th

Welcome to the Carson Wentz bandwagon, this will get bumpy. The 2020 Colts succeeded by being a steady and measured defense that played a lot of zone and let DeForest Buckner have his way with people, and by being a measured offense that let Philip Rivers check his way down the field while they tried to develop chemistry with T.Y. Hilton that never really happened. Once again, the Colts have a terrific overall roster that should put them in the AFC South driver's seat. Chris Ballard and Frank Reich have done an excellent job side-stepping their way past Andrew Luck's retirement. But sidesteps are sidesteps, and Wentz is likely to throw off his back foot while doing one. Can the Colts build a good enough box around him to keep him from blowing up, or is he damaged goods at this point?  – Rivers McCown

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 17

Total DVOA
14.2%10th
Offense
2.7%12th
Defense
-9.5%7th
Special Teams
2.0%10th
Weighted DVOA
13.5%9th
Unadj. Total VOA
20.3%7th
Pythagorean Wins
10.28th
Schedule Strength
-6.6%32nd

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
8.7 wins16th
Projected Schedule
-1.3%23rd
Projected DVOA
-0.6%17th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
37.1%16th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
15.5%16th
Win Super Bowl
2.4%15th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
37.1%16th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
15.5%16th
Win Super Bowl
2.4%15th

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021