Indianapolis Colts

AFC South

C+

Overall Team DVOA

5.2% 15th

The Colts currently sit at second in the AFC South at 3-4, but have won two in a row, including a 30-18 win over the San Francisco 49ers in a monsoon. Carson Wentz has rebounded from injuries to both ankles early in the season to put together multiple very good passing performances, including a 402 yard outing in a loss to Baltimore. This team lives and dies by their ability to run the ball and make life easier on Wentz, with backs such as Jonathan Taylor and Nyheim Hines easing the workload of the passing game. The Colts are at about the league average in offensive and defensive DVOA, (17th and 12th, respectively), but have been doing most of their damage with an injured defense. A huge matchup with the division-leading Titans looms on Halloween, along with tilts against the Bills and Buccaneers, so if the Colts are looking to make the playoffs again, they have to win these crucial November games.  –  J.P. Acosta

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 8

Total DVOA
5.2%15th
Offense
1.4%17th
Defense
-4.5%12th
Special Teams
-0.7%22nd
Weighted DVOA
5.9%13th
Unadj. Total VOA
8.7%14th
Future Schedule
-2.9%23rd
Past Schedule
0.2%15th

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
8.7 wins16th
Projected Schedule
-1.3%23rd
Projected DVOA
-0.6%17th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
37.1%16th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
15.5%16th
Win Super Bowl
2.4%15th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
37.1%16th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
15.5%16th
Win Super Bowl
2.4%15th

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021