Jacksonville Jaguars

AFC South

F

Overall Team DVOA

-31.3% 32nd

The Jaguars head out of their bye week at 1-5, but coming off of a momentous win over the Dolphins. Rookie QB Trevor Lawrence is beginning to consistently put together high-quality performances, and RB James Robinson is carrying much of the workload, as the Jaguars are first in the league in Rush DVOA (as of October 19). However, the schedule gets a whole lot tougher from here, with the Bills and Rams looming on the schedule. For the Jaguars to even be competitive in these next few games, their pass defense has to improve. Currently, they're last in the NFL in Pass Defense DVOA, a scary sight when you consider the next few games Jacksonville will play.  --  J.P. Acosta

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 20

Total DVOA
-31.3%32nd
Offense
-15.1%27th
Defense
11.8%31st
Special Teams
-4.4%31st
Weighted DVOA
-31.1%30th
Unadj. Total VOA
-33.8%32nd
Pythagorean Wins
3.332nd
Schedule Strength
1.1%11th

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
7.0 wins30th
Projected Schedule
-2.7%31st
Projected DVOA
-16.0%30th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
22.2%30th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
5.9%28th
Win Super Bowl
0.5%29th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
22.2%30th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
5.9%28th
Win Super Bowl
0.5%29th

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021