Kansas City Chiefs

AFC West

C

Overall Team DVOA

-0.6% 18th

A pair of losses to the Ravens and Chargers ignited an early-season mini-panic among Chiefs fans. Patrick Mahomes and the offense remains as explosive as ever, but the Chiefs defense hasn't produced as many big plays as it needs to, while Mahomes' Favre impersonations have resulted in too many turnovers. The Chiefs are likely to stay near the top of the AFC playoff picture, but there's a risk that they have become to sloppy on offense and leaky on defense to defeat the other conference powerhouses once the playoffs arrive. -- Mike Tanier

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 8

Total DVOA
-0.6%18th
Offense
14.7%5th
Defense
18.5%31st
Special Teams
3.3%5th
Weighted DVOA
-0.8%18th
Unadj. Total VOA
-11.0%23rd
Future Schedule
1.1%16th
Past Schedule
6.9%7th

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
10.5 wins3rd
Projected Schedule
-0.1%18th
Projected DVOA
15.5%3rd
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
40.6%7th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
37.2%3rd
Win Super Bowl
9.2%3rd
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
40.6%7th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
37.2%3rd
Win Super Bowl
9.2%3rd

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021