Miami Dolphins

AFC East

D

Overall Team DVOA

-11.1% 25th

The Dolphins have made a remarkable recovery from a 1-7 start to win seven straight games and earn even their meager current 16.6% chance to reach the playoffs. Tua Tagovailoa's heavy reliance on RPOs has hardly erased the public skepticism of his long-term future with the team and as an NFL starter, but it has made sense for a team that ranks last in pass block win rate. But if you're surprised the team's postseason odds aren't higher, look no further than their schedule splits. The Dolphins have played the fourth easiest DVOA schedule to date and have dispatched an uninspiring run of quarterbacks in Joe Flacco, Cam Newton, Mike Glennon, Zach Wilson, and Ian Book in their most recent five wins. Wins over Ryan Tannehill and Mac Jones the next two weeks would go a long way in changing the perception. - Scott Spratt

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 21

Total DVOA
-11.1%25th
Offense
-11.0%24th
Defense
-2.9%10th
Special Teams
-3.1%29th
Weighted DVOA
-5.9%21st
Unadj. Total VOA
-9.5%22nd
Pythagorean Wins
7.621st
Schedule Strength
-2.5%27th

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
9.0 wins13th
Projected Schedule
-2.0%26th
Projected DVOA
2.2%14th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
38.9%12th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
18.8%13th
Win Super Bowl
2.7%14th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
38.9%12th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
18.8%13th
Win Super Bowl
2.7%14th

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021