Miami Dolphins

AFC East

D-

Overall Team DVOA

-31.6% 27th

The Dolphins didn't answer the major questions of their 2021 prospects in a Week 1 win over the Patriots. Tua Tagovailoa underwhelmed with a -23.4% passing DVOA. And while their defense bailed them out with a pair of forced turnovers, it will be difficult for them to repeat the league's third-highest turnover differential from 2020. That said, Brian Flores improved to a record of 3-2 against his former coach Bill Belichick with the win and is Belichick's only former assistant with a winning record against him. Dolphins fans have to enjoy that after being stuck in Belichick's division for the last two decades. - Scott Spratt

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 3

Total DVOA
-31.6%27th
Offense
-39.0%30th
Defense
-9.1%11th
Special Teams
-1.6%19th
Weighted DVOA
-31.6%27th
Unadj. Total VOA
-37.8%28th
Future Schedule
-9.0%31st
Past Schedule
16.4%8th

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
9.0 wins13th
Projected Schedule
-2.0%26th
Projected DVOA
2.2%14th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
38.9%12th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
18.8%13th
Win Super Bowl
2.7%14th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
38.9%12th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
18.8%13th
Win Super Bowl
2.7%14th

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021