New England Patriots

AFC East

D+

Overall Team DVOA

-7.1% 22nd

The big story for the 2020 New England Patriots was the departure of Tom Brady and the disintegration of the offense. But just as meaningful in the team's 7-9 finish was the extreme decline of the defense, from historically great in 2019 to 26th in the league in 2020. For 2021, new additions (and returns from COVID opt out) should help the defense rebound. The status of the offense, whether it is led by Cam Newton or rookie Mac Jones, is a bigger question mark.  – Bryan Knowles

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 17

Total DVOA
-7.1%22nd
Offense
-7.3%23rd
Defense
7.9%26th
Special Teams
8.1%1st
Weighted DVOA
-7.7%19th
Unadj. Total VOA
-5.2%18th
Pythagorean Wins
7.219th
Schedule Strength
1.4%12th

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
9.8 wins5th
Projected Schedule
-3.0%32nd
Projected DVOA
6.5%11th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
41.4%2nd
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
28.4%5th
Win Super Bowl
4.8%7th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
41.4%2nd
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
28.4%5th
Win Super Bowl
4.8%7th

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021