Buffalo Bills

AFC East

A

Overall Team DVOA

27.6% 2nd

Josh Allen summed up the Bills fan experience with a one-word tweet of "Pain." when the Bengals lost the overtime coin toss in the AFC title game. But somehow I doubt the Bengals' eventual overtime win offered much consolation. Playoffs included, the Bills were the best team in football by DVOA, and they could have faced those Bengals for a trip to the Super Bowl with any number of different breaks a week prior, not the least of which was preventing a Chiefs drive for a game-tying field goal in the final 13 seconds of the fourth quarter. And while Allen could make the Bills a frontrunner to win the conference for the next decade, the Bills are suffering their first brain drain of the Sean McDermott era losing offensive coordinator Brian Daboll and assistant GM Joe Schoen to the Giants. - Scott Spratt

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 22

Total DVOA
27.6%2nd
Offense
9.7%10th
Defense
-18.0%1st
Special Teams
-0.1%19th
Weighted DVOA
26.1%3rd
Unadj. Total VOA
34.2%1st
Pythagorean Wins
13.31st
Schedule Strength
-5.0%32nd

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
10.2 wins4th
Projected Schedule
-2.4%29th
Projected DVOA
11.3%5th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
42.0%1st
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
32.6%4th
Win Super Bowl
6.7%4th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
42.0%1st
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
32.6%4th
Win Super Bowl
6.7%4th

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021