Buffalo Bills

AFC East

A

Overall Team DVOA

21.4% 5th

Even with their recent Jaguars upset, the Bills rank first in both defensive and overall DVOA. But the Bills have also played a schedule that is nearly twice as easy (-15.0% DVOA) as the second luckiest team in the Bengals (-8.9%) and faced just the Chiefs among nine opponents in the top 18 in offensive DVOA. The Bills project to have the 11th hardest schedule from Week 11 on and will have to prove their mettle against teams like the Colts, Saints, Patriots and Bucs, especially now that their rival Patriots have closed the gap to one game in the AFC East standings. - Scott Spratt

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 11

Total DVOA
21.4%5th
Offense
1.4%18th
Defense
-19.4%1st
Special Teams
0.6%18th
Weighted DVOA
18.9%6th
Unadj. Total VOA
38.8%1st
Future Schedule
1.6%11th
Past Schedule
-11.7%32nd

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
10.2 wins4th
Projected Schedule
-2.4%29th
Projected DVOA
11.3%5th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
42.0%1st
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
32.6%4th
Win Super Bowl
6.7%4th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
42.0%1st
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
32.6%4th
Win Super Bowl
6.7%4th

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021