Chicago Bears

NFC North

D

Overall Team DVOA

-10.6% 24th

Hopes for a scrappy wildcard appearance are out of the window for the Bears. The team is 3-7 and their playoffs odds now sit below 1% through 11 weeks. While the offense has been a rollercoaster with a rookie quarterback at the helm, the Bears’ collapse can also be attributed in part to their defense, which has fallen from 5th in DVOA after Week 5 to their current spot at 16th. Injuries played a role in the defense's fall from the top, but such is life in the NFL. At this point, Chicago’s season is just about getting the most out of Justin Fields once he returns from his rib injury. -- Derrik Klassen

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 22

Total DVOA
-10.6%24th
Offense
-13.6%26th
Defense
-0.9%13th
Special Teams
2.1%7th
Weighted DVOA
-6.6%22nd
Unadj. Total VOA
-11.8%23rd
Pythagorean Wins
5.825th
Schedule Strength
1.4%9th

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
7.3 wins24th
Projected Schedule
4.4%1st
Projected DVOA
-4.8%21st
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
25.6%24th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
7.0%24th
Win Super Bowl
0.9%22nd
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
25.6%24th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
7.0%24th
Win Super Bowl
0.9%22nd

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021