Houston Texans

AFC South

B

Overall Team DVOA

30.2% 8th

Aw man. We're sorry you're reading this. It's a bummer. This team's bad. Nick Caserio kind of seemed like he might be a good general manager prospect but instead he signed 37 different free agents and embraced competition as an ethos. There will be a seven-player competition to see who will get roasted at linebacker by any running back who can catch this year. All we can say for the ethos is that nobody the Texans start is likely to be roundly bad. The problem is that outside of Laremy Tunsil and Brandin Cooks, nobody projects to be roundly good either. And with difference-making quarterback Deshaun Watson likely to be suspended by the NFL or by his own desires to get out of town, there's really not a way to make this roster float.  – Rivers McCown

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 1

Total DVOA
30.2%8th
Offense
-1.7%17th
Defense
-28.0%6th
Special Teams
3.9%7th
Weighted DVOA
30.2%8th
Unadj. Total VOA
32.6%5th
Future Schedule
-4.5%20th
Past Schedule
-41.8%27th

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
6.7 wins31st
Projected Schedule
-2.3%28th
Projected DVOA
-18.5%31st
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
19.1%31st
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
4.4%31st
Win Super Bowl
0.3%31st
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
19.1%31st
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
4.4%31st
Win Super Bowl
0.3%31st

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021