Houston Texans

AFC South

F

Overall Team DVOA

-24.3% 28th

As we come to the end of the 2021 regular season, the Houston Texans are going to want to move past this season like it never happened. However, it should be noted that despite the Texans pretty much meeting the low expectations we set for them early this season, this team did improve as the season went on. In Weeks 10 through 17, the Texans were ranked higher in total offensive DVOA, offensive passing DVOA, and defensive rushing DVOA. On the year, Houston marginally out-performed our preseason prediction by ranking 28th in total DVOA. There was even some good film for this team to look back on headed into the offseason, picking up wins over the Tennessee Titans and Los Angeles Chargers in the back half of their season. While this team is in an undeniable state of flux, there are some positives to glean from a season that seemed doomed before it even began. – Cale Clinton

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 22

Total DVOA
-24.3%28th
Offense
-22.0%30th
Defense
3.6%23rd
Special Teams
1.3%9th
Weighted DVOA
-21.2%28th
Unadj. Total VOA
-25.6%28th
Pythagorean Wins
4.030th
Schedule Strength
1.6%7th

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
6.7 wins31st
Projected Schedule
-2.3%28th
Projected DVOA
-18.5%31st
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
19.1%31st
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
4.4%31st
Win Super Bowl
0.3%31st
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
19.1%31st
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
4.4%31st
Win Super Bowl
0.3%31st

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021