Indianapolis Colts

AFC South

B

Overall Team DVOA

9.8% 11th

The quarterback rodeo in Indianapolis has a new competitor. Matt Ryan steps under center for the Colts after spending his whole career with the Atlanta Falcons. At 37, it might not be the wisest thing for the Colts to make Ryan carry the Colts offense into playoff contention. However, the youth and inexperience at the receiver position may force Ryan to put a little more on his shoulders than he wants to. Defensively, Gus Bradley comes over from Las Vegas and offers...Cover 3. That's really it. The Colts will play a lot more Cover 3 than they did last year. Adding Yannick Ngakoue to the pass rush unit should turn up the heat on opposing QBs, though. GM Chris Ballard and Head Coach Frank Reich have consistently made swings at the quarterback position, only for them to reset at the end of the season. Will this be the time that a QB gets them past the wild card? Let's win the division first.  –  J.P. Acosta

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 22

Total DVOA
9.8%11th
Offense
4.4%13th
Defense
-4.9%8th
Special Teams
0.4%14th
Weighted DVOA
13.0%10th
Unadj. Total VOA
12.2%10th
Pythagorean Wins
10.77th
Schedule Strength
-0.6%22nd

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
8.7 wins16th
Projected Schedule
-1.3%23rd
Projected DVOA
-0.6%17th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
37.1%16th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
15.5%16th
Win Super Bowl
2.4%15th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
37.1%16th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
15.5%16th
Win Super Bowl
2.4%15th

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021