Las Vegas Raiders

AFC West

C-

Overall Team DVOA

-5.0% 21st

The Raiders overcame a tumultuous early season, stayed in the Wild Card race with the help of opponent's COVID outbreaks and gobs of pass interference penalties, surprised the Chargers in the season finale and even threw a scare into the Cincinnati Bengals before losing 26-19 in the first round of the playoffs. But Pythagorean Wins and Estimated Wins suggest what anyone who objectively watched the Raiders already suspected: the 2021 Raiders were a 7-8 win team that caught a bunch of late-season on-field breaks. The offseason should bring a new braintrust and new direction to a franchise that needs to move on from Jon Gruden's vanity project and start competently rebuilding its roster from the ground up. -- Mike Tanier.

 

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 22

Total DVOA
-5.0%21st
Offense
-3.4%19th
Defense
0.6%17th
Special Teams
-0.9%21st
Weighted DVOA
-2.3%20th
Unadj. Total VOA
-3.0%20th
Pythagorean Wins
6.823rd
Schedule Strength
1.4%8th

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
8.2 wins18th
Projected Schedule
0.6%13th
Projected DVOA
-2.1%18th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
33.5%18th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
12.3%18th
Win Super Bowl
1.5%19th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
33.5%18th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
12.3%18th
Win Super Bowl
1.5%19th

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021